Ludovica Grossi

[Aleksandar Djokic (Александар Джокич) @polidemitolog]

Why did democracy fail in Russia, and was there ever democracy in Russia? A 🧵 on politics, not history.

[Dr. Diana T. Kudaibergen 🌻🍉 @CreativeCorazon]

Open letter from the Sakha Pacific association. Please read in thread 🧵

[Sergey Radchenko @DrRadchenko]

Putin deploys the terrorist framing, which helps domestically. A useful reference point: The 1999 apartment bombings,once blamed on Chechen terrorism but sometimes alleged to have been a false flag operation, helped raised Putin’s approval ratings and justify his war in Chechnya.

[Hanna Liubakova @HannaLiubakova]

There's no mobilization in #Belarus but "something" is going on. We receive more & more information that lists are being created of those who served in the army & are eligible for the draft. The orders to compile such lists were received at universities, clinics, even state farms

[Sam Greene @samagreene]

When Putin announced the mobilization of 300k reservists — and maybe 1.2 mln — many began asking how long it would take for Russians to rise up in resistance. What Twitter and the commentariat want to know now is why that resistance hasn't come.

A very, very long 🧵.

/1

[toomas hendrik ilves @IlvesToomas]

One of the most brilliant expositions of Putinized Russia ever, all crammed into an op-ed piece. Stop whatever you're doing now and just read @peterpomeranzev's stunning essay.

https://t.co/w6Tc4z2Zk0

[Sergey Radchenko @DrRadchenko]

A brief thread on mobilisation. Putin's order (ukaz) does not contain anything about "partial" mobilisation. The wording is as follows. Translation: the Ministry of Defense sets a quota for each region. No numbers here.

[ChrisO_wiki @ChrisO_wiki]

1/ Did a culture of institutionalised lying contribute to Russia's recent disaster east of Kharkiv, by giving its senior commanders a distorted and false picture of the true situation on the ground? A 🧵 reviewing the evidence.

[Dietmar Pichler @DietmarPichler1]

Myth: Ukraine's desire to join NATO triggered Russia's attack:🧵

Russia's neighbourhood policy shows a different picture

[Sam Greene @samagreene]

Has Putin gone soft?

TL;DR: Surprising as it may sound, Russia's nationalists once again fear they're being taken for a ride. They may not be wrong.

(A 🧵)

[Mike Martin MP 🔸 @ThreshedThought]

Time for a little round up of the Ukraine situation.

A thread (with some poorly drawn maps).

[Francis Scarr @francis_scarr]

In an extremely rare moment of candour on Russian state TV today, defence columnist Mikhail Khodaryonok gave a damning assessment of Russia's war in Ukraine and his country's international isolation. It's fairly long but worth your time so I've added subtitles.

[Michael Kofman @KofmanMichael]

Thoughts on Russian losses. A thorny subject I've stayed away from because its difficult to tackle and the information gaps are vast. Numbers get thrown about with broad ranges, and it is hard to say what to make of these estimates, or guestimates. Thread. 1/

[Sam Greene @samagreene]

Time, I think, to revisit the question of Russian opinion on the war, given some recent developments. TL;DR: There's evidence that the initial 'rally around the flag' may be fading.

[Han Skelsen @HSkelsen]

Da 60 giorni una parte dell'opinione pubblica ha scoperto l'esistenza dell'#Ucraina. In particolare quella appartenente alle galassie di estrema destra, no-vax e filo-dittatori vari. E sovente vediamo quest'ultimi ripetere il mantra dei 14.000 morti del #Donbass. Small thread 🧵.

[Tymofii Brik @brik_t]

We conducted an online survey in large cities of Kazakhstan: Almaty, Nur-Sultan, Aktobe, Karagandy, Oskemen, Shymkent. We asked what urban Kazakhs thought about the Russo-Ukrainian war. That’s what we learned 🧵

[Ilya Matveev @IlyaMatveev_]

Rare glimpses of honesty from senior Russian officials. (Another 🧵 on sanctions.)

Elvira Nabiullina, head of the Central Bank: logistical blockade hurts even more than financial sanctions. Supply chains are broken. (1/11)

[Claudia Squeglia 🇺🇦 @cla_squeglia]

Thread semplice semplice sull'indicizzazione di prezzo nei contratti gas. Storicamente, gli scambi internazionali di gas si sono sviluppati attraverso contratti bilaterali di lungo termine fra produttori e consumatori 1/n