The biggest risk in the short run is being invested when you need the money.
The biggest risk in the long run is not being invested at all.
Even the worst 30-year period in S&P 500 history - which included the Great Depression and World War II – produced tremendous wealth.
I served on the staff of Third U.S. Army as an operations officer, Chief of Future Ops, and Special Assistant to the Commanding General from 1998-2000. It’s the Army headquarters for Central Command. We planned and trained constantly for various scenarios that could occur in the Gulf region. The Strait of Hormuz is the single most vulnerable stretch of water in the entire region and nearly the world. Iran has spent decades fortifying their coast and preparing to close it. The idea that Trump and his sweaty bro idiot Hegseth launched this war seemingly unprepared for it to be shut down and the barrage of missiles and drones that would rain on the region is the most irresponsible and idiotic military mistake imaginable. Hegseth spent the last year working out and fighting wokeness instead of preparing for war. He must go. Now.
$CSU has suffered a -56% drop from recent highs. 5 year EBITDA growth CAGR is 24%. P/E (NTM) 15x.
$KO at 23x P/E (NTM), with a 5.8% EBITDA growth CAGR last 5 years.
Fear creates opportunity.
During periods like today with heightened fear and volatility, it's tempting to think you can get out of the market and get back in when the "coast is clear."
The only problem?
By the time the coast is clear, many of the best days and biggest gains will have already passed.
The $VIX ended the week at 45.3, among the highest weekly closes in history.
What has happened in the past following the highest $VIX levels?
Stocks rallied 100% of the time over the next 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 years with returns far above historical averages.
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