Martyna Fox

Still here for solid Russia/Eurasia content and new research voices.

[Allen Maggard @zerkzal]

Grateful to see @bbcchinese cover my latest for @C4ADS. Mainland Chinese enablers need to understand that their dealings with Russian defense industry actors remain under scrutiny. These dealings *will* be added to the record.

[Bear Market Brief @BearMarketBrief]

🧵By the Numbers: Highlights from the latest #BearMarketBrief
1) 23 terabytes - the amount of data the Belarusian Cyber Partisans and Silent Crow hacking groups claim to have exfiltrated from the Russian state statistical agency Rosstat on November 1. More below👇️

[Anton Barbashin @ABarbashin]

Russia spent two decades turning itself into a #grain superpower — the world’s top wheat exporter with roughly 21% of the global market and tens of billions in export revenue. Officials even called grain a “silent weapon.”
That model is now under real stress. Ukrainian strikes on Black Sea and Azov ports in 2026 have disrupted the routes that normally carry the bulk of Russian grain. Exports have fallen sharply, alternative corridors (Baltic, Caspian, even experimental Arctic shipments) cannot fully compensate, and domestic prices have collapsed. Many producers are selling below cost; a large share are operating at a loss. Importers in Africa and elsewhere are already diversifying.
Loginov’s analysis for @RiddleRussia shows how the war is forcing the Kremlin to prioritize military objectives over the full recovery of one of its few remaining high-value export sectors — with consequences for both Russian farmers and the global grain market.
Worth reading if you follow food security, commodity markets, or the economic side of the conflict:
https://t.co/rvpQMzbKv2

[Andrei Kolesnikov @AndrKolesnikov]

A Russia built on resentment. Some thoughts on the today's Russian identity. https://t.co/qDBvvl4cXh

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Re:Russia estimates that around 3,650 people were convicted in politically motivated cases in 2025 — 70% more than a year earlier. Data: @pzk_memorial @DeptFirst https://t.co/5XemmIQDNr

[Foreign Policy Research Institute @FPRI]

Lee Block and András Tóth-Czifra note three challenges facing the Russian Duma:
1. The government faces a fiscal deficit
2. Energy revenues are declining and uncertain
3. Receipts from corporate taxes are lower than expected

More in the latest #BearMarketBrief https://t.co/o3quEKPu8W

[Martyna Fox @MartynaAFox]

@JonahDispatch Pippa the ballster

[OSW – Ośrodek Studiów Wschodnich @OSW_pl]

W najnowszym raporcie nasi eksperci podsumowują zmiany, jakie dokonały się na Białorusi po 2020 roku.

https://t.co/ld6oT7xhHU

[The Moscow Times @MoscowTimes]

Novaya Gazeta, Russia's last independent newspaper, announced that it was closing due to Kremlin pressure.

In an April interview, former editor-in-chief and 2021 Nobel Peace Prize winner Dmitry Muratov discussed Novaya Gazeta's work and challenges: https://t.co/n7JItJvJkT

[Foreign Policy Research Institute @FPRI]

Tune in to #ShiftingGround for Amy Nelson's comments on the present-day strategic nuclear environment and why we are no longer able to calculate strategic stability (16:00). https://t.co/qmMguC2Lbc

[Meduza @meduzaproject]

«Считай, нас продали. Но мы привыкли». Полтора года назад Россия освободила запад Курской области, оккупированный ВСУ. Мы туда съездили. Репортаж «Медузы»

https://t.co/z0DC4a81qg

[Ilya Matveev @IlyaMatveev_]

🚨 New paper alert 🚨

Dense empirical evidence on winners and losers of Russia's wartime economic transformation

Professional groups, regions, elites - all in one text. I've arranged the findings in a concise and accessible manner

https://t.co/L1XBtfspzl

[Riddle Russia @RiddleRussia]

Russia has built a new pro-war cinema canon since 2022 — state-funded films meant to explain the Ukraine war and “re-educate” liberals. They’re formulaic, heavily subsidized, and consistently flop. Why?
https://t.co/C9Jd3W85tm

[Alexander Kokcharov @alex_kokcharov]

In Russia, owners of non-state data centers will be required to reserve 10% of their capacity to help keep Russia's IT infrastructure running, according to a decree signed by Putin today:

https://t.co/JiMequIUao

[Martyna Fox @MartynaAFox]

@mkhammer @grapetime67 💯. Plus the purse, if like me you carried it on your left shoulder. It does not get any better with age 😪, so good for you for noticing this early so you can treat it.

[Andrei Kolesnikov @AndrKolesnikov]

The ‘State-Civilization’ Versus the Civilized State. Russian statehood is undergoing a reverse evolution, rejecting the experience of human development dating back at least to the 13th century.
https://t.co/6DNkqlLe6U

[Yigal Levin @YigalLevin]

Andrew Perpetua and his team have counted 106,951 Russian soldiers killed in videos published over 797 days of the war.

That videos released publicly capture only 20% of Russian military deaths.

If his assumptions are correct, the total number of Russian soldiers killed over two years and two months could exceed half a million.

The full-scale war has now been going on for 1,712 days.

Mediazona's estimates also suggest that Russian military deaths have exceeded half a million, even though their calculations have so far only reached 2025.

As a reminder, Mediazona has already documented 282,993 Russian soldiers killed, identified by name.

It is reasonable to suggest that this may be the first sacrifice of human lives on such a scale in history.

Hundreds of thousands of soldiers killed, with the death toll approaching a million, in exchange for negligible military gains.

[Kyle Chan @kyleichan]

China’s Fifth Plenum decision is out.

Beijing wants the Party to have more influence in private tech firms.

“Strengthen Party-building efforts in platform companies, technology-innovation enterprises, and other such firms; establish a mechanism for dynamically adjusting the elevation of Party organizations within internet companies to higher administrative levels of management; and ensure that responsibilities for Party-building are fulfilled.”

[Martyna Fox @MartynaAFox]

@DrFrancisYoung @SelsdonChapman on my side of the pond, we fight the good but losing battle to 'respect the bird' in November. No Christmas decor before Thanksgiving.

[Martyna Fox @MartynaAFox]

An excellent, in-depth report.

[Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty @RFERL]

The 31st meeting of the Chinese and Russian heads of government held in St. Petersburg on October 21 was notable for its focus on cooperation in the Arctic, where Beijing and Moscow are increasingly challenging the United States and its allies. https://t.co/LWl7UTb7HA