Olivia
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matelaqi
@matelaqi01
Joined March 2018
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A guy on Bitcointalk drew this in Excel in 2013 when bitcoin was $25. He never touched it again. It’s still 100% right ,let's see what it predicts...
On the 13th Feb 2013 a user called dacoinminster dumps whatever price history he can find into a spreadsheet, lets Excel fit a power trendline, and writes it down:
Price = 4.42 × 10⁻¹⁷ × (days since Jan 3, 2009)^5.6
He wasn’t building a theory of money. He was arguing 2011 had been the bubble and 2013 wasn’t. The line said about $27 that week. Price was $25.
Nobody refit it. No “updated for this cycle.” Same two numbers for 13 and a half years.
Let's take a look at how this formula predicts Bitcoin's price in the near future.
Detailed explanation in first comment below and see chart as well pls. 👇👇👇
https://t.co/8mT77O1GVc
My technical curiosity on @QuaiNetwork has been sitting in the back of my head for a while, but now the wait is over
I've spent many hours in the past few days studying $QUAI and $QI to write this article here -- hope you all enjoy it and learn something https://t.co/eFfMxWuJMl
TLDR on $VVV
Venice just surpassed 4 million users and $100 million ARR. The majority of free cash flow has been directed to token burns and the team and been explicit about that continuing to be the case.
The product is world class (case in point 4 million users and continuous double digit month over month growth).
The company balance sheet is the largest holder of the token. 2nd largest holder is the founder Erik Voorhees. 3rd largest holder is the executive team. In Erik's own words:
"Some revenues have begun flowing to the token, zero revenue has flowed to equity. Equity is the largest holder of token, and benefiting the token is one of the highest leverage things equity can do to serve its own interest...Outside investors own <9% of the company, and all have strong incentive in the token's upside, all of them with multi-year lockups."
OpenRouter was just valued at over $7 billion in its acquisition by Stripe.
It is my opinion that Venice's token is materially underpriced at a $1.02B FDV. Price target based on what I consider to be a realistic scenario (hybrid of base and bull case) is $43.89. We shall see.
Not financial advice
I never thought I had any unclaimed tokens left… until I tried this.
Turns out I had $190 in $SPK airdrop just sitting there that I completely forgot about.
Checked the chart, if I’d claimed it 3 months ago, it would’ve been worth ~$1,000 today.
So, I just want to share if you might have some forgotten tokens too.
Worth a check 👇🏻
https://t.co/ATpruMes6P
https://t.co/ctmNvkd8JO
Crypto TCG Projects Tier List 2026 🧵
This would be my selection based on market attention, TCG exposure, product direction, community momentum, and actual narrative fit.
S tier:
– @Collector_Crypt | $CARDS → One of the strongest crypto-native TCG plays right now. $CARDS already has clear mindshare around digital cards, collection, and trading activity.
– @phygitals → Focused on the phygital collectible angle, which I think is one of the most natural bridges between real-world cards and onchain ownership.
– @Courtyard_io → One of the cleaner real-world collectible platforms, with a strong focus on graded cards, vaulting, and onchain ownership.
Best for users who want exposure to the highest-quality TCG / collectible infrastructure plays.
A tier:
– Bonkuji @bonk_inu | $BONK → A strong Solana meme-native distribution angle, with TCG/gacha exposure through the BONK ecosystem.
– @upshot_cards → Interesting data and valuation layer for cards, which could become valuable if TCG liquidity keeps expanding.
– @renaissxyz → A project worth watching as the TCG and digital collectible narrative keeps heating up.
– @mnstr → Strong collectible/gaming angle, with potential upside if attention keeps rotating into TCG-style assets.
– @Beezie → One of the names getting attention in the TCG/gacha sector, worth tracking as the market expands.
– @gacha_game_ → Direct gacha exposure, which matters because gacha spend is currently one of the strongest signals in this sector.
– @Rosentica → Added after more recommendations from the market. Still early, but worth keeping on the radar.
B tier:
– @Slabzapp → TCG/collectible-related project with a more niche position, but still relevant to the broader card economy.
– @powergacha_sol | $GACHA → Directly tied to the gacha narrative, which could benefit if TCG speculation continues to grow.
– @pulldotfun → Another project playing around the pack-opening / card-pulling experience.
– @dyli_io → Interesting consumer collectible marketplace angle, especially if crypto users continue looking for tradable real-world assets.
– @Collector_roll → A newer name recommended by the community, worth tracking but still needs more proof of traction.
– @JKIndex_ → Seems more like a niche index / exposure play around collectibles, but still relevant to the TCG map.
C tier:
– @TCGSonar | $TCG → A lower-tier but still relevant TCG-related token to track.
– @GrailPF | $GRAIL → More speculative, but fits the collectible and grail-card narrative.
– @packs_supply | $PACKS → Pack-based exposure, which could work if the market keeps chasing gacha-style mechanics.
– @KabutoKing_ | $KABUTO → Pokémon-style speculative play, likely more community-driven.
– @collectdotrip | $TCG → Another niche TCG-related project, still early and highly speculative.
– @pfPokeFUN | $POKE → Pokémon-themed play, mostly relevant if the Pokémon 30th anniversary narrative gets stronger.
– @pokeyieldsol | $YIELD → A Solana-native Pokémon/TCG-style yield angle, but still very speculative.
– @pokeliq | $POKE → Another Pokémon-themed token to track, but I’d treat it as high-risk.
– @JigglypuffKing_ | $JIGGLYPUFF → Very meme-driven, likely dependent on community attention.
– @Gym_Battles | $GYM → Fits the Pokémon battle/gym narrative, but still needs stronger traction.
– @PokeRescue | $POKERX → Niche Pokémon-style project, worth watching only if the sector continues to expand.
– @Berriesdotfun | $BERRIES → Another community-driven TCG/Pokémon-style project in the lower-risk-adjusted tier.
The TCG space is expanding faster than I expected.
In May alone, TCG gacha spend hit a new ATH of $230M, a 22x jump from just $10.4M at the start of 2025.
With Pokémon’s 30th anniversary coming in 2026, I think this narrative still has room to run if attention keeps rotating into cards, gacha, collectibles, and onchain ownership.
But I want to be clear, not every project here will survive.
For me, the real question is not “which token pumps first?”
The real question is: who can make TCG feel like a normal consumer crypto experience?
Which TCG project are you actually using atm?
Bitcoin is preparing for the final dump before $200K.
The bear market is 65% done.
Now BTC is following the path I warned about:
$73K → $68K → $62K → $55K → $200K
Next stops:
→ $60K dump
→ Bear market bottom in October
Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.
The next call will be even more important.
When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
🚨 READ THIS TWICE
Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think.
Everyone is focused on price.
Nobody is talking about timing.
Days from cycle top → bottom:
2012: 405 days
2016: 362 days
2020: 376 days
We haven’t entered the historical timing window yet.
The highest-probability zone for the real bottom:
July–November 2026.
That single fact matters more than any level on your chart.
Most traders think like this: “I’ll buy at $40K.”
But the zone that feels safe is exactly where people do nothing.
My rules are simple:
Below $60,000, I’m a buyer.
July–November 2026, I’m a buyer.
Either condition. No hesitation.
Yes, I already started accumulating when we entered the $60K range 3 months ago.
The timing window isn’t here yet. I don’t care. The price was right.
Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60K.
People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric.
“BTC will never see $100K again.”
Now we’re here.
One more thing almost nobody is watching: NUPL.
Every generational bottom happened when NUPL entered the blue zone: 2018, 2022.
When we get there, you’ll know. I’ll make sure of it.
Remember, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
Felt very anxious for a while.
Realised it was a combination of doom-scrolling and caffeine.
So, 10 days ago I deleted Twitter and haven't touched it since (plus reduced coffee to ~60mg caffeine per day)
Huge difference in mental mood.
Only downside. I do like to share my work and life.
So, I added a mini Twitter tool inside my personal OS.
It let's me do the three most important things.
1) Post tweets
2) See tweet stats (nice to have)
3) See replies and interact with them.
That way, I can use Twitter as I want, without seeing all the doom the world has right now.
Took about 2 hours with Ralph.
(This runs on my old MacBook)
Being successful doesn’t mean life gets easier.
It means you have MORE work to do… but now you have the GRIT to pull it off.
Hyperscale just publicly proved itself at 500,000+ transactions per second!
This is the future of Web3, and YOU built it with us.
We could tell you Hyperscale hits 500,000 TPS.
Or you could watch it happen LIVE TODAY - 15:00 UTC
Public test. Multiple live dashboards. Real network stress for two solid hours.
➟Be there: https://t.co/ksBFOTgehg / https://t.co/IG8uEbZRkh
🚀 @radixdlt Hyperscale Public Test is coming!
@timanrebel just announced the first public Hyperscale test:
🗓 Saturday, Jan 31
🕒 15:00 UTC
🎯 Target: 500,000 TPS
🧭 Schedule
• Onboarding: 13:00 UTC
• Test start: 15:00 UTC
• Duration: ~2 hours
💬 “If you have decent technical skills, you can also participate.” – Timan
A test-run on Friday (12:00–17:00 UTC) will help participants prepare (sync, setup, questions).
📘 Guides (Win / macOS / Linux):
👉 https://t.co/1OG4jv1TLS
💬 Coordination & questions:
👉 https://t.co/vvAbk0aiMw
This is a big moment for Radix and Hyperscale. Be on time ⏱️
#Radix #RadixDLT #Hyperscale #Web3 #Blockchain #PublicTest #DeFiInfrastructure
TODAY 12:00 - 17:00 UTC: 𝗛𝘆𝗽𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗲 𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁-𝗿𝘂𝗻.
Download files, sync nodes, test setup, get help.
Be there. Be ready: https://t.co/paovwxcDl0
Tomorrow at 15:00 UTC we push for 500k TPS in a public test!
Details: https://t.co/SgMnMANJPp
When people talk about “scalability” in crypto, they usually mean one thing: 𝙝𝙤𝙬 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙩𝙧𝙖𝙣𝙨𝙖𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨 𝙥𝙚𝙧 𝙨𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙙 𝙖 𝙘𝙝𝙖𝙞𝙣 𝙘𝙖𝙣 𝙥𝙧𝙤𝙘𝙚𝙨𝙨.
But real scalability is deeper than TPS.
True scalability means a network can:
- handle massive global demand
- without congestion or fee spikes
- without breaking composability
- without centralizing control
Most blockchains fail here. Not because of tuning issues, but because of how they’re designed.
→This is the problem Radix set out to solve from day one.
We're testing 500,000 TPS this Saturday at 15:00 UTC
Public test. Open participation. Live dashboards.
Real-world conditions!
Details: https://t.co/ksBFOTgehg
@PVT_Paraverse they Using the term "web3" for marketing more web2 .
🚀 @radixdlt Hyperscale Public Test is coming!
@timanrebel just announced the first public Hyperscale test:
🗓 Saturday, Jan 31
🕒 15:00 UTC
🎯 Target: 500,000 TPS
🧭 Schedule
• Onboarding: 13:00 UTC
• Test start: 15:00 UTC
• Duration: ~2 hours
💬 “If you have decent technical skills, you can also participate.” – Timan
A test-run on Friday (12:00–17:00 UTC) will help participants prepare (sync, setup, questions).
📘 Guides (Win / macOS / Linux):
👉 https://t.co/1OG4jv1TLS
💬 Coordination & questions:
👉 https://t.co/vvAbk0aiMw
This is a big moment for Radix and Hyperscale. Be on time ⏱️
#Radix #RadixDLT #Hyperscale #Web3 #Blockchain #PublicTest #DeFiInfrastructure
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