Meet Bob Diamond, ex-CEO of Barclays ($80B+ AUM)
> 15 years building a top investment bank
> Now Chairman of @HypeStrat
> Bought +$1.5B worth of $HYPE
> Shilling Hyperliquid to Wall Street & media every week
Smart money knows.
@rediamondjr knows.
Hyperliquid.
As we do price discovery over $69 as the best performing crypto major this year, I want to give a shoutout to those who stuck through one or both of the -65% drawdowns the past 1.5 years.
We resisted the temptation to sell despite the allure and peer pressure. Enjoy the ride!
Quick update on HYPE:
We were initially positioned to reload sub-$17 to get ready for next cycle.
But the framework has now materially changed.
From a game theory perspective, the magnitude of the upside deviation should ultimately be mirrored by the magnitude of the downside reversion. In other words, the more reflexive and overextended the move becomes on the way up, the higher the probability of a violent overshoot to the downside.
Our base case now is that HYPE cannot just revisit the $17-20 range anymore at this stage sadly, it will ultimately overextend well below $10 before establishing a true long-term cycle low.
More importantly, the entire structure has now shifted.
The $17-20 region is no longer looking like the optimal reload zone for the next expansion phase. Instead, there’s an increasing probability that this range ultimately becomes the distribution ceiling of the next cycle itself.
We’ve seen this exact reflexive pattern play out before, EOS during the post-2018 unwind, LINK after its macro euphoric expansion. What once looked like “value accumulation” eventually became lower-high exit liquidity in the following cycle.
Very interesting.
So essentially, remove your HYPE orders around $17. That level is too obvious now after the expansion, which means you will get front-run by the market before any meaningful reversal materializes.
We will keep you posted once HYPE forms a new bottom sub $10 (probably around $7-8)
We will find the bottom together, and there should be a nice long to do, until the relief back to $17-20. Not guaranted that HYPE bounces back to $20, but highly highly likely
This sould be an easy 2-2.5x at least
And with leverage, we could probably pull a 10x
Please be patient, we will revert in a few months
For now, short only
If you're not in HYPE and ZEC it feels bad but you must RESPECT the pump
Don't wish for it to go down so you can buy (you won't buy it if it dumps)
Wish for good to come to those holding the good coins
The last time HYPE was $50:
- BTC was $125K
- ETH was $4600
- SOL was $235
- HIP-3 didn’t exist
- HIP-4 didn’t exist
- PURR wasn’t bidding HYPE
- HYPE ETFs didn’t exist
- Circle wasn’t giving HL 90% of their USDC yield
- People assumed team unlocks was 10M HYPE tokens monthly