Michael Guzik

CEO/Founder @CLSTofficial | Founder @dcrypted_io | I make concentrated bets on the Web3 economy.

[Michael Guzik @mbutton]

If you are watching and trying to understand what is happening in Poland, read this.

[Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 @Kristof_Poland]

The Civilizational Significance of the Events in Poland 🇵🇱

What is happening in Poland goes way beyond the Constitutional Tribunal and the Polish government. It is even bigger than the EU. It is about whether nations, and human communities in general, can govern themselves, or whether they are all turned into a gray mass that can only be administered until we die out.

Everyone knows what being administered feels like. You have made this phone call. Your case is being processed. The woman on the line is polite, and she can't decide anything. Neither can her manager. Somewhere there is a rule, and nobody you can reach wrote it. Nobody lied to you. Nobody is responsible. You hang up feeling smaller, and you can't say who did it.

Now imagine that phone call as a country. Then as a continent.

This week the Tribunal's president was suspended and riot police stood at its gate. Let's be fair: PiS filled that Tribunal its own way – it had its reasons. The EU's top court ruled it isn't independent, Strasbourg ordered it to accept the new judges, and the Venice Commission effectively backed the government. Polish MPs chose those judges. Tusk has a real argument and plenty of paper.

But look where the paper comes from. Ask who has the last word in Poland, and the answer moves to Luxembourg, Strasbourg and Venice. And a year before Poles could settle it themselves at the ballot box, the argument arrives in riot gear.

Self-government was never about being wise. Peoples vote badly. They elect fools and build bad courts. Self-government means the mistake is yours, so the repair is yours too. And Popper put it most plainly, saying the question is not so much who should rule, but how to remove them without blood. Poles can remove Tusk in 2027 and Nawrocki in 2030. Who removes a judge in Luxembourg? Try it. Call them. Your case is being processed.

Administered Until We Die Out

A people and a population can look identical: same streets, same shops, even the same elections. The difference appears on the day they say no. A people's no ends the matter. A population's no gets processed.

And Tocqueville saw it coming, describing a power that doesn't break the will but softens it, until a nation is a flock of timid, busy animals with the government as its shepherd. Communism needed tanks, and it lost. The new gray needs only forms, and it gets thanked. Poles know that gray. We lived in it. The difference is that back then, you knew whom to hate.

Why Poland? Because Poland ran the experiment. For 123 years there was no Polish state on any map. Three empires administered the Poles, and they stayed a people, in language, prayer and memory. Then in 1980 the workers built a union and put the whole idea in its name: Niezależny Samorządny Związek Zawodowy Solidarność. Niezależny – Independent. Samorządny – Self-governing. And Solidarity. Poland knows from experience that a nation is not its state, and can outlive one.

But Poland isn't safe. Germany, the land of efficient administration, is just across the border, and it is stronger and richer than us. It doesn't need to plot anything – the forms do the job. And even to some Poles being administered may sound easier than the responsibility of self-government.

This temptation is as old as our civilization. Everything the West has built rests on one wild idea: that an adult answers for his own life, and a people for its own fate. Freedom is the pleasant part of that idea. Responsibility is the heavy part, and you can't have one without the other.

Take it away and you don't get a happier people. An administered people never grows up. It only grows old.

So the question is not whether Poland stays in Europe. It is whether anyone in Europe can still say "we", mean it, and answer for it.

Nations are no longer conquered. They are wound down, in full compliance, with a final report nobody reads.

[Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 @Kristof_Poland]

The Civilizational Significance of the Events in Poland 🇵🇱

What is happening in Poland goes way beyond the Constitutional Tribunal and the Polish government. It is even bigger than the EU. It is about whether nations, and human communities in general, can govern themselves, or whether they are all turned into a gray mass that can only be administered until we die out.

Everyone knows what being administered feels like. You have made this phone call. Your case is being processed. The woman on the line is polite, and she can't decide anything. Neither can her manager. Somewhere there is a rule, and nobody you can reach wrote it. Nobody lied to you. Nobody is responsible. You hang up feeling smaller, and you can't say who did it.

Now imagine that phone call as a country. Then as a continent.

This week the Tribunal's president was suspended and riot police stood at its gate. Let's be fair: PiS filled that Tribunal its own way – it had its reasons. The EU's top court ruled it isn't independent, Strasbourg ordered it to accept the new judges, and the Venice Commission effectively backed the government. Polish MPs chose those judges. Tusk has a real argument and plenty of paper.

But look where the paper comes from. Ask who has the last word in Poland, and the answer moves to Luxembourg, Strasbourg and Venice. And a year before Poles could settle it themselves at the ballot box, the argument arrives in riot gear.

Self-government was never about being wise. Peoples vote badly. They elect fools and build bad courts. Self-government means the mistake is yours, so the repair is yours too. And Popper put it most plainly, saying the question is not so much who should rule, but how to remove them without blood. Poles can remove Tusk in 2027 and Nawrocki in 2030. Who removes a judge in Luxembourg? Try it. Call them. Your case is being processed.

Administered Until We Die Out

A people and a population can look identical: same streets, same shops, even the same elections. The difference appears on the day they say no. A people's no ends the matter. A population's no gets processed.

And Tocqueville saw it coming, describing a power that doesn't break the will but softens it, until a nation is a flock of timid, busy animals with the government as its shepherd. Communism needed tanks, and it lost. The new gray needs only forms, and it gets thanked. Poles know that gray. We lived in it. The difference is that back then, you knew whom to hate.

Why Poland? Because Poland ran the experiment. For 123 years there was no Polish state on any map. Three empires administered the Poles, and they stayed a people, in language, prayer and memory. Then in 1980 the workers built a union and put the whole idea in its name: Niezależny Samorządny Związek Zawodowy Solidarność. Niezależny – Independent. Samorządny – Self-governing. And Solidarity. Poland knows from experience that a nation is not its state, and can outlive one.

But Poland isn't safe. Germany, the land of efficient administration, is just across the border, and it is stronger and richer than us. It doesn't need to plot anything – the forms do the job. And even to some Poles being administered may sound easier than the responsibility of self-government.

This temptation is as old as our civilization. Everything the West has built rests on one wild idea: that an adult answers for his own life, and a people for its own fate. Freedom is the pleasant part of that idea. Responsibility is the heavy part, and you can't have one without the other.

Take it away and you don't get a happier people. An administered people never grows up. It only grows old.

So the question is not whether Poland stays in Europe. It is whether anyone in Europe can still say "we", mean it, and answer for it.

Nations are no longer conquered. They are wound down, in full compliance, with a final report nobody reads.

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

🚨 JUST IN: Polish MEP Dominik Tarczyński STARES into the camera to drop this message for any American considering voting Democrat in 2026

"Socialism is DEATH, slavery and lack of any freedoms. PLEASE don't do it — don't go through 70 years of occupation like Poland did."

"You know what socialism is? Everyone is equal...Equally HUNGRY. And that's what we went through. Please, don't do it. Do not vote socialist for your next generations for your children and grandchildren!"

@D_Tarczynski 💯💯

Poles LIVED THIS: ration cards, empty shelves, lack of food and martial law by the commies

Now Democrats are running open socialists like Mamdani and ABDUL EL SAYED

Listen to the people who actually survived it! 🇺🇸🇵🇱

Everyone who fled communism does NOT want to go back. Americans must vote Republican.

[Michael Guzik @mbutton]

@hermanntertsch @grok verify

[Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 @Kristof_Poland]

The whole world has seen those hands trying to block the President of Poland 🇵🇱, duly elected by over 10M Polish votes, from entering the Polish Constitutional Tribunal.

Do you think those hands are Polish?!

Down with Brussels communism and post-communism!

Down with communism!! 🇵🇱🗽✌🏻

[Brivael Le Pogam @brivael]

What just happened in Poland is something every Western citizen should look at squarely. Because it's the trailer for what's coming to the rest of us.

Friday night in Warsaw, the president of the Constitutional Tribunal and his vice-president were "suspended" for a month. The announcement appeared on the Tribunal's own website, which the Tribunal's leadership says was unlawfully taken over. Right after, riot police deployed around the country's highest court and entered the building. The President of the Republic, Karol Nawrocki, was mid-flight to Senegal. He turned the plane around.

Read that again, slowly. In a European Union member state, in 2026, police walk into the constitutional court and the head of state has to rush home.

This is not an accident. It's the endpoint of a method. December 2023: barely in office, the Tusk government cuts the signal of the public news channel and puts public television into liquidation. Then it stops publishing the Constitutional Tribunal's rulings in the official gazette. When the Tribunal suspends one of its reforms, a ministry calmly replies that the court has "no legal basis" to operate. The justice minister moves to strip the court president's immunity. And when none of that is enough, they send in the uniforms.

The official story is "we are restoring the rule of law." It's always the official story. Nobody has ever dismantled a democracy while announcing they were dismantling a democracy.

Now zoom out. Why now?

Because the globalist project is losing its grip. They lost the media war: people get their information elsewhere, compare, verify, and no longer trust the official line. They lost the trust of the people. And the countries that are bouncing back, the ones finding their energy, their birth rates, their pride again, are precisely the ones that understood that the Brussels machine, as it runs today, is not the cure but the disease. Poles elected Nawrocki against the system's candidate. The message was clear.

When a system loses trust, it has two options: reform or harden. They chose. All-in.

Think of an organ transplant. The body rejects the organ. The surgeon doesn't conclude the organ is incompatible. He raises the immunosuppressants. Then raises them again. Until the body can no longer defend itself at all. That's the mechanism now in motion: platform regulation in the name of fighting "disinformation," Chat Control that keeps coming back to the table, the digital euro, a presidential election annulled in Romania in 2024, and now police inside a constitutional court.

And this is where history should chill us. No totalitarian regime of the 20th century began with people who thought they were evil. They all began with elites convinced they were right against their own people, and ready to suspend the rules "temporarily" to save the people from themselves. We know how that ended. Millions dead. I'm not saying it's tomorrow. I'm saying it's the slope, and you don't climb back up a slope once you've started sliding.

And don't think this stops at the Vistula. The tools are European, which means they're already in France, in Germany, everywhere. What's being tested in Warsaw is the answer to one simple question: how far can you go against an institution that gets in your way before anyone pushes back? If the answer is "very far," France in 2027 has been warned. And every Western democracy should be taking notes.

So they have to be stopped now. Not with violence. With what still works as long as we use it: the vote, free speech, refusing to self-censor, and demanding that our judges, our media, and our elections stay independent from ALL powers, including the ones claiming to protect us. This is the moment it's decided. Once the hard phase begins, it's already too late.

Watch Poland. And open your eyes.

[Michael Guzik @mbutton]

Time to accept that crypto tokens are a race against zero.

[Alex Imas @alexolegimas]

Peter Thiel might be onto something here…

https://t.co/tvymtPvKVr

FWIW I think he’s missing important dimensions like desire for human connection, empathy, shared understanding, which will be important for the future of jobs in healthcare, education, etc.

[Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 @Kristof_Poland]

Yuri Bezmenov – The Long March in Four Stages.

In 1984, a former Soviet KGB propagandist sat in front of a camera in Los Angeles and explained how to destroy a country without firing a shot: by sowing demoralization and unrest, using its own local socialists, useful idiots and the like. Most people laughed. Today the clip goes viral every other week.

1. Born in 1939 near Moscow, the son of a Soviet army officer. He studied Indian languages and joined the Novosti press agency – in his account, a front for the KGB. Posted to India, his job was deception and subversion: handle foreign journalists and intellectuals, show them what they were supposed to see, and shape what they wrote home.

2. In 1970 he defected – disguised as a hippie, slipping out of India with a group of Western travelers. He settled in Canada under a new name and worked in radio. In 1984 he gave the interview that made him famous.

3. His core claim: espionage is the small part. The big part is subversion – and it works through demoralization: changing a society’s perception of reality so that, despite an abundance of information, nobody can reach sensible conclusions in defense of themselves, their family or their country. And it isn’t carried out by spies. It is carried out by the country’s own people – local socialists, useful idiots and the like: professors, teachers, journalists, entertainers, activists, most of whom have no idea whose work they are doing.

4. Stage one: demoralization. It takes fifteen to twenty years – the time needed to educate one generation. The targets are the schools, the universities, the media, the churches, the culture: Gramsci’s institutions. The result is a person who can no longer process facts. Show him the evidence, and he refuses to believe it.

5. Stage two: destabilization – a few years of sowing unrest in the economy, the defense, the institutions and the streets. Stage three: crisis – a few weeks of breakdown, after which a new power arrives promising salvation.

6. Stage four: normalization. Central Europe knows that word. After Soviet tanks crushed the Prague Spring in 1968, Moscow called the occupation "normalization." Poland lived its own version after martial law. The abnormal, declared normal. And the useful idiots who helped the revolution? Bezmenov said they would be the first to be discarded once it won. The revolution devours its own.

7. Not every number he gave can be verified – he was a dramatic witness. But the mechanism holds. And there is one thing he missed. The Soviet Union died in 1991. The demoralization didn’t. It no longer needs the KGB. It runs on its own fuel now – grants, careers, NGOs, prizes. Münzenberg’s machine outlived him; so did Moscow’s.

In 2020 his interview opened a Call of Duty trailer. A new generation met him through a video game – and recognized its own world.

The interview is linked below. If you haven’t watched it, you have to.

Poles lived stage four. The West has been living stage one for half a century.

Demoralization takes a generation. So does the cure. It starts at the kitchen table: tell the truth, teach the children, have courage and refuse to call the abnormal normal.

[Ruben @rdominguezibar]

Alexandr Wang on enterprise perception

▫️Better products can still lose
▫️Big buyers rarely confront reality
▫️Palantir gave hires an acting book

Wang: Perception is more real than reality

[Naval @naval]

Don't partner with cynics and pessimists. Their beliefs are self-fulfilling.

[Michael Guzik @mbutton]

@A_Leutenegger Wonderful. Let’s meet! Please DM me.

[Digi @digiii]

Life is fucking electric bro. Don’t fall for the doomer shit. Thats for losers and normies scared of their own shadows. Walk around like God sent you and smile at everyone you see. Spread light and abundance. Build things and take chances. This is the best time in history!

[Michael Guzik @mbutton]

@patrickc No its real Patrick. That’s the reason why I am operating Fintech companies from Switzerland

[Sahil Bloom @SahilBloom]

My entire life changed when I learned to recognize things that don’t matter. The world will pressure you to care about every single thing. To chase every problem. To take every slight personally. To have opinions on everything. Reject that trend. Focus on a few, ignore the rest.

[DAN KOE @thedankoe]

When calories became cheap, convenient, and abundant, bodies decayed.

Thinking is now cheap.

[a16z @a16z]

An hour of agentic computer use may now be cheaper than an hour of human labor:

Computer-use agent: $6-8
Offshore outsourced talent: ~$10
US talent: $30-45

"The math only gets better - inference keeps getting cheaper, and open-source models are getting good enough for a growing share of these workflows."

The data on computer-use agents, from @fabrisera2000, @seema_amble, and @zephratic: https://t.co/eOO1JIrT1J

[Tai Lopez @tailopez]

After reading countless books, I'd say the greatest piece of self help advice is: ask and you will receive, seek and you will find, knock and the door will be opened to you. I can think of no words that can transform your life better than these.

[Mo Zarrinsadaf @MoZarrinsadaf]

Every storyteller betrays reality.

You cannot tell a great story without cutting, compressing, and reshaping the truth.