I really don't think enough people fully comprehend the worlds that are about to collide here.
You already have people in geopolitical circles warning about the threat of famine based on surging prices / availability of fertilizer components, and you also have long-term weather modeling all converging on a worst case scenario for a building El Nino event, which will peak near the end of the year. These are two slow moving but entirely predictable disasters that when coupled together will each make the other orders of magnitude worse. (This will take months to fully unfold, but at this point, the die is cast.)
There's no event in our history books that combines the current global population with the impending fertilizer shortage and the strength of the El Nino that's coming. We are about to witness an unprecedented event that will push crops around the globe to their limit.
Modelo europeu segue firme na projeção de #neve, o que altera muito são as áreas com possível ocorrência do fenômeno. Na última atualização mantêm sobre áreas de Santa Catarina e Paraná.
O modelo indica também em áreas do Uruguai.
“Near Complete Mortality” on the NOAA scale.
“States and Territories should be ready to intervene” says NOAA… as Degree Heating Weeks (DHW) is now up to 23 weeks of severe heat stress in/ around the #Galapagos. A combination of a developing Super El Niño on top of a warming climate, threatens much of the delicate #coral and dependent life on islands in the Tropical and Subtropical Pacific.
A entrada de uma massa de ar polar deve provocar a formação de #geada na Argentina, Uruguai; e nos estados do Rio Grande do Sul e Santa Catarina/BR.
MÍNIMA ABSOLUTA POR ESTADO:
PR: 8.2°C - Palmas [ICON]
SC: 1.5°C - Sao Joaquim [GFS]
RS: 0.8°C - Sao Francisco de Paula [ICON]
O modelo europeu na sua atualização das 12UTC indica possível risco de #neve na região serrana do Rio Grande do Sul no sábado dia 9.
Trata-se de projeção incerta pela sua complexidade, porém os modelos vem convergindo na atuação de uma forte massa de ar frio.
Today, there is a possible severe weather threat over parts of south America. Strong instability and sufficient shear/SRH should support strong tornadoes, wind and large hail. There may be some issues with initiation due to the weak forcing, however it should remain discrete
Esta es la última predicción del Niño de la NOAA. Ahora se espera que las anomalías de temperatura del Niño (RONI) este año superen los 2.6 grados. Si esto se hace realidad, rompería records. Ni 2015, ni 1982, ni 1997 alcanzaron esas temperaturas. #ElNiño#Record@primitivojc47
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Exploring the United States Groundwater Well Database (https://t.co/tYmLZU9JN2) with freestiler, @Mapbox's new PMTiles support in the latest release of GL JS.
12.47 million groundwater wells visualized with Mapbox's top-class performance and smooth animations.
Tiling took about one minute with freestiler's Rust-backed @duckdb interface.
Learn more about freestiler: https://t.co/3dM1iSDOdj