Mitch FF

Lover of all things Fantasy Football. Building insights from NFL data so you can win your league.

[Mitch FF @MitchFFData]

📊 Find exactly what you need on my page:
🔵 QB → search: from:MitchFFData #qbdata
🔴 RB → search: from:MitchFFData #rbdata
🟢 WR → search: from:MitchFFData #wrdata
🟡 TE → search: from:MitchFFData #tedata
🎯 Red Zone → search: from:MitchFFData #rz
💪 Goal Line → search: from:MitchFFData #gl

[Rich Hribar @LordReebs]

Target per route % in 2025 on routes with an actual team target attempt...

A lot of older guys out there still drawing looks when playing.

Added Parker Washington propaganda.

One day Garrett Wilson. One day.

[Hayden Winks @HaydenWinks]

The TEs who are 1st or 2nd in ADP among their team's pass catchers (this historically has mattered)

Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, Colston Loveland, Tyler Warren, Tucker Kraft, Harold Fannin, Kyle Pitts, Mark Andrews, Isaiah Likely (!), Chig Okonkwo (!), Greg Dulcich (!!!)

[Fantasy Points Data @FantasyPtsData]

RBs who saw the highest % of their backfield's red zone carries in 2025:

1. Jonathan Taylor - 89.7%
2. Ashton Jeanty - 89.5%
3. Christian McCaffrey - 84.3%
4. Derrick Henry - 76.8%
5. Javonte Williams - 70.1%

[Max Adam @MaxAdamFF]

Lowest % of receiving volume from first read + designed targets in 2025 (min 250 routes, Data via @FantasyPtsData):

Sterling Shepherd 57.2
Andrei Iosivas 57.5
Olamide Zaccheus 59.4
Jalen Tolbert 59.8
Ladd McConkey 61.2
Ryan Flournoy 64.5
Rashod Bateman 64.5
Jahan Dotson 65.5
Van Jefferson 68.6

[Ryan Heath @RyanJ_Heath]

Highest first-read target shares on plays that DON'T include motion

[min. 25 targets, since 2021]

1. Garrett Wilson 2025 - 59.1%
2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2025 - 51.9%
3. A.J. Brown 2024 - 48.5%
4. Davante Adams 2023 - 44.0%
5. Ja'Marr Chase 2025 - 43.4%

@FantasyPtsData

[Rich Hribar @LordReebs]

Trey McBride ran 694 routes last year.

121 more than the next closest TE (~4 games worth).

It was the most routes run by a TE in the TruMedia database, jumping 2021 Mark Andrews (623).

The average TE1 is runs ~32 routes per game.

McBride ran ~ 22 games last year of routes.

[Adam Koffler @AdamKoffler]

High as SHIT

As a ROOKIE, Colston Loveland averaged six catches for 84.7 yards and 0.7 touchdowns in six games he had a route participation rate > 80%

He also averaged 90.5 air yards in those six games and was targeted 10 times in the red zone

This kid is only 22 years old

[Adam Koffler @AdamKoffler]

WRs ranked by current Underdog ADP and their @FDSportsbook receiving yds prop:

🥇 Chase - 1350
🥈 Puka - 1375
🥉 JSN - 1350
———
4. ARSB - 1225
5. CeeDee - 1225
6. Jefferson - 1150
7. London - 1100
8. AJB - 1100
9. Nico - 1050
10. Pickens - 1050
11. Olave - 1050
12. DeVonta - 975

[Jacob Gibbs @jagibbs_23]

Massive opportunity for A.J. Brown with the New England Patriots.

Watch this TD to Kayshon Boutte. Notice when Drake Maye releases this ball.

When Maye identifies 1v1 for his first read, he's comfortable letting that thing fly and trusting his WR to get to the spot.

[Jeff Mueller, PT, DPT @jmthrivept]

Quinshon Judkins doesn’t appear to have any movement limitations coming off of the ankle dislocation.
Clearly very comfortable with 3 full months to go until Week 1.

I’m fine removing any “injury fade” & leaving it to just “offensive fade” reasons.

[Jacob Gibbs @jagibbs_23]

Justin Herbert leads the NFL in rushing yards per scramble (9.4) over the past two seasons.

Only Josh Allen had more scramble yards than Herbert in 2025.

[Jacob Gibbs @jagibbs_23]

Rushing yards per start (2024-25)

58 - Malik Willis
49 - Jayden Daniels
45 - Anthony Richardson
42 - Lamar Jackson
41 - Justin Fields
41 - Jaxson Dart
34 - Jalen Hurts
34 - Kyler Murray
33 - Josh Allen
30 - Drake Maye

[Ian Hartitz @Ihartitz]

Let's draft everyone remotely involved with the Chargers offense in fantasy this year and see what happens

[Max Adam @MaxAdamFF]

IN DEFENSE OF DEVON ACHANE🐬🧵

The general consensus among Big Fantasy and your favorite niche analyst alike (unless im your fav <3) is Devon Achane is the worst pick in the first two rounds, or possibly on the whole board. That’s generally agreeable. His team is horrible and he goes from playing with a screen merchant statue to a mobile gunslinger. However, Devon Achane is one of my favorite players so I wanted to do some research to see if these claims actually hold up analytically.

TLDR: Perception is overstated in reality the range of outcomes is just expanded.

This contrarian Achane bull case was my inspiration (shoutout Quent).

[Mitch FF @MitchFFData]

@MaxAdamFF This is really great! You're incredibly underrated Max Adam. This deserves more recognition.

[Nutshell Sports @NutshellSportz]

A look at which running backs consistently moved the chains both on the ground and through the air

Christian McCaffrey continues to dominate as a receiver

[Brandon PT DPT @FantasyFootyPT]

🏈🤕 Everyone is talking about Malik Nabers’ knee "cleanup" surgery, but the public is completely misinterpreting the timeline.

As a PT, I dove into the peer-reviewed research on his exact injuries.

If you are drafting him at his current ADP, read this thread first. 🧵

[The Coachspeak Index @CoachspeakIndex]

“He's everything and that much more than I hoped he would be, and I had tremendously high hopes for him, and I think that he's gonna be a huge part of what we're gonna do for years to come”

#Rams HC Sean McVay had a lot to say about Terrance Ferguson in his end-of-season presser

[Fantasy Points Data @FantasyPtsData]

Most Efficient Runners by EPA/Run [Since 2021]
+ @FantasyPtsData

1. Josh Allen (0.43)
2. Patrick Mahomes (0.31)
3. Jayden Daniels (0.29)
4. Jalen Hurts (0.24)
T5. BROCK PURDY (0.23)
T6. Daniel Jones (0.23)
7. Justin Fields (0.22)

[Tampa Bay Buccaneers @Buccaneers]

We know y'all have been waiting for this one... THE Emeka catch 😮‍💨