MoneyBall

• lover of leverage • managing a yard • Views are my own, no advice.

[Romy @Return2Order]

It’s like u feel for her a little but then u click on her page and realize she’s selling cat-shaped “worry stones” and then u realize there’s just some ppl who r ngmi

[Le ₿unker 🪖 @LeBunkerBtc]

Tu t'appelles Hans, t'as 31 ans et tu sors du match de la coupe du monde.

L'Allemagne s'est faite humilier par le Paraguay (il y a plus d'Allemands dans leur équipe que dans la tienne).

Le lendemain 6h45 tu retournes bosser, taxé à 60% pour financer la transition énergétique, les changements de sexe et les aides sociales distribuées par ton gouvernement aux migrants Érythréens qui se déclarent homosexuels pour rentrer dans les cases.

Cet été, tu le passes sous 38 degrés et sans clim clim parce que ton parti écologiste l'a qualifiée d'arme de destruction massive.

Au supermarché la bratwurst, tes saucisses préférées ont été remplacées par du soja gris KlimaFleisch subventionné par tes impôts pour sauver les Pingouins.

Dans ton open-space a 27 degrés tu as déclaré que tu étais du genre "divers" car c'est devenu le seul moyen d'espérer des promotions avec la discrimination positive et le DEI.

L'eau chaude coûte 18 centimes le litre depuis que le gaz russe est coupé, tu te laves en 3 minutes montre en main et ta propriétaire t'envoie des recommandés parce que la consommation dépasse le seuil énergétique fédéral. Tu pleures sous l'eau tiède.

À 16 ans tu manifestais contre les centrales nucléaires et t'as élu Angela Merkel qui a exécuté. Maintenant, le gaz russe est coupé, ton industrie du moteur thermique est en berne et l'électricité est un luxe: tu penses même à brûler tes meubles IKEA pour te chauffer cet hiver.

Pendant ce temps, ton cousin éloigné Friedrich au Paraguay paye 0% d'impôts, démarre son pick-up Ford V8 5 litres et s'apprête à fêter la victoire autour d'un asado en buvant de la bière allemande.

Ça va être un été de merde Hans, et c'est que le début.

[Citrini @citrini]

This was the next assignment we were going to give to analyst #3 to investigate but he said he’d rather go back to Iran

[normal @35yearoldfriend]

Bitches turn 35 and post semi-nudes along with essays about how they actually feel better than ever

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

Anthropic will win on branding alone.

You may not like it, but it’s true.

Anthropic makes people feel smart.

OpenAI just feels like nothing.

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

I can do the personality thing for like a month, then I’ll be walking in the west village and just get absolutely one shotted by what’s possible.

Back to square 1.

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

My timeline is so bearish that it makes you think a 1994-1995 type move is possible

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

All this money and people still forget they’re trading a cap weighted index

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

The way women over 30 use social media is repulsive

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

@Emarged She works at a strip club as a bottle girl just fyi

[Barely Investible Capital Management Ltd @LowAlphaHighVol]

Thoughts on market structure:
Retail - buy the dip mentality for 10+ years
Pods - degross fast but regross even faster in risk on
Institutions - portable alpha allows them to stomach drawdowns, effectively having super diamond hands
Long only - constant pressure to add winners

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

@bubbleboi Mood

[bubble boi @bubbleboi]

The pod cell wagies are seething that I beat all of Wall Street to the most important story in semis and have convinced themselves I just got “lucky.”
Intel was sitting out in the open for months. All you had to do was sit down and read 📖📚. But I can’t expect people who’ve never built anything that shipped and couldn’t tell a via from a TSV even if their PM held a gun to their head to understand what was happening in plain sight.

Good luck 👍 with your mediocre Sharpe, your 2-and-20 haircut, and your cocaine addiction. After you blow up aping into Samsung at the top, shorting Tower into a squeeze, and going long GlobalFoundries right before the next trough, you’ll get cut, fail to land at the next pod, and end up managing a $40M “family office” for some Greenwich dentist pitching him the same SOXL/SOXS pair trade you read off a sell-side note while your wife cheats on you with a guy who actually knows how to read a data sheet.

[liens of new york @liensofnewyork]

Volatility hedge fund closing amidst *checks notes* volatility

[dante @dantefofante]

You dont want a yacht. You dont want a big house. You dont want a super car, a $40,000 watch, or shoes you worry about getting dirty. You want free will.

You want to wake up naturally on a Tuesday and you want to go to bed when you’re done having fun. You want to say yes to everything that excites you without having to request time off. You want to go to the the gym at noon, in absolutely no hurry. You want to spend 18 hours a day doing what you love. You want to be exactly where you desire being, always. You want to spend as much time with the people you care about as possible.

You’re saying you wanna be rich? In what?

[Jason Applebaum @Jason______A]

Average retarded money twitter post from someone one that im sure doesn't have a 10m+ net worth

10M net worth at 62 is indeed impressive. Shit with how horrible people are at money management skills 1m net worth at 62 is impressive.

[SB.hl @swansonbenson0]

Didnt citrini release a famed substack at the bottom saying qqq will go -40% that was glazed by the masses ? Did i imagine this?

[Intern Pierre @internpierre]

The edge in modern markets isn't finding information no one else has.

It's synthesizing the same information everyone else sees into a narrative that makes the decision obvious.

That skill is, in his view, chronically undervalued right now.

[MoneyBall @Modtrade]

This chart is one of the biggest chart crimes in history.

[LUKEY 🦄 @VERYKOOLLUKEY]

Historically, every single time the market hits a P/E of 23, the next 10 years returned between 2% and -2% annualized

NO exceptions.

Best case (2% annualized): you don’t even beat inflation (3.3%)

Worst case (-2% annualized): you lose 40%

[The Icahnist @TheIcahnist]

How Henry Kravis started buying companies.