[Experiment Log] Backtest, 49 monthly start dates (Jan 2020-Jan 2024, run to Oct 2026), 0.65x size:
Median CAGR 13.4% (range 4.3%-26.8%)
Worst drawdown -33.0%
Not sexy, but it survives. Past backtests don't predict the future.
Personal log, not financial advice.
[Experiment Log] Day 2 signals (Coinbase daily close, Oct 24 UTC)
BTC $80,770: above 100D $75,286 & 200D $72,899, below 50D $81,798 -> 2/3 held
ETH $2,355: above 100D $2,312 & 200D $2,157, below 50D $2,546 -> 2/3 held
No rule change, no trade.
Crypto trader sleep schedule:
Asia open: awake
London open: awake
NY open: awake
Weekend: refreshing a chart that hasn't moved
Sleep: never heard of her
Who else is checking charts on a Sunday? 🌕
Tomorrow night is the Hunter's Moon 🌕
Half the timeline is about to post the same blurry orange dot.
Real question: what's the first coin you ever wished would go to the moon?
$MOON just is one.
CA: 2aBZHYYyhVZv7bPUQjtk4Ya6hKPjKBmVMh6w4LVUpump
tg: https://t.co/JAA4KDo5er
Crypto basics 🌕
Market cap = price × supply.
So a $0.000003 coin isn't automatically "cheap," and an $80K coin isn't automatically "expensive."
BTC is ~$80.8K tonight, flat on the day.
What crypto term confused you most at first?
Two nights until the Hunter's Moon 🌕
On Oct 26 the whole timeline turns into blurry moon photos.
Some of us will just be sitting back, already holding it.
$MOON
tg: https://t.co/JAA4KDo5er
The 4 stages of every trader:
1. "I'll just put in $20 for fun"
2. checks the chart every 4 minutes
3. "it's a long-term hold now"
4. explaining liquidity pools to the family at dinner
Which stage are you on? 🌕
2 days until the Hunter's Moon 🌕
Everyone's about to point their phone at the sky and zoom in on a blurry dot.
Some of us just open our wallet instead.
$MOON
CA: 2aBZHYYyhVZv7bPUQjtk4Ya6hKPjKBmVMh6w4LVUpump
tg: https://t.co/JAA4KDo5er