Dear wellwishers , #Dubai is safe and there is no cause of concern. Yes there have been news/ images of debris falling but the overall situation is normal. We hope and pray that this war like tensions cease soon, we are thankful for your calls and messages but no reason for panic
This is my fifth conversation with @GavinSBaker.
Gavin understands semiconductors and AI as well as anyone I know and has a gift for making sense of the industry's complexity and nuance.
We discuss:
- Nvidia vs Google (GPUs + TPUs)
- Scaling laws and reasoning models
- The economics of AI compute
- Why Blackwell's delay mattered
- The bear case on the AI capex buildout
- Data centers in space
- The mistake SaaS companies are making
Few people love investing more than Gavin. His closing answer about why he loves it turned into a full reflection on his investing origin story, which I had never heard before.
Enjoy!
Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
5:03 The Blackwell Transition
23:15 The Prisoner's Dilemma
27:12 The Bear Case: Edge AI
37:19 Meta, Open Source, and Model Depreciation
43:08 Geopolitics and Rare Earths
50:42 Data Centers in Space
56:06 Power Constraints as a Governor
1:11:31 The SaaS Mistake
1:16:17 Nuclear and Quantum
1:22:25 Gavin’s Investing Origins
@the_Lawrenz I think it’s a simple childish tech joke 7-8-9 (ie if you read aloud : seven ‘ate’ nine) . What’s funny is all these tech giants actually followed it, it’s nice in a way - keep the child in you alive.
@darthdevi We invested in one during Covid and still continue to use it, on weekends etc. Two tips : If you don’t have a big family, get a counter top one (your back will thank you); use it at least once a month for utensils with small apertures (tea strainers, graters) They come out new!
A billion plus pillows around the world have a tough night tonight, to somehow soak in the silent tears and give solace to the heartbroken Indian cricket team fans. This team just DID NOT DESERVE TO LOSE.
#India#CWC2023#BCCI#AskThePavilion
Chandrayaan-3 Mission:
'India🇮🇳,
I reached my destination
and you too!'
: Chandrayaan-3
Chandrayaan-3 has successfully
soft-landed on the moon 🌖!.
Congratulations, India🇮🇳!
#Chandrayaan_3#Ch3
It’s funny that I see people concerned about @DisneyPlusHS #HotStar in India is in trouble because of losing IPL and HBO. As long as they have #Anupama , their Indian household viewership numbers will still be healthy.
@ravihanda I kid you not. My first impression was left is male coz, well males pee as a projectile that often gets sprayed. And by exclusion right is female, maybe because their pee depends on simple linear gravity doing it’s work.
@frankiefreds Ask them to give without the school name / background / any indication of the school brand, as you need to submit for a mug shot .. might give you for free ;)
<insert that modern problems require modern solution meme>
@RoadsOfMumbai Not a new concept , has been around in business forever. Have a senior tranche for debt , and then go back and raise mezz type equity financing loan at the parent /hold Co level. Any bank that can account for such risk at retail level, can theoretically do this.