@LinkofSunshine@Mirs_____ There is a consistent and large bias towards conservatism in political prediction - basically all probabilities >50 underestimated, <50 overestimated
@evans_cn@plzbepatient Air conditoners are refrigerators, with COP generally >>1 meaning much more heat moved than power used. Under steady state the heat the refrigerator is pumping to outside is matched by inflow over rest of house. Net air heating is then just the wall power, same as any appliance
@ElijahRavitz @BarneyFlames It doesn't disprove it because the poll is completely unrepresentative. Like, if you poll redditors "would you donate most of your money to charity if you were rich" you probably get a number 10-100x greater than reality!
@ElijahRavitz @BarneyFlames If ~10% of people pick blue IRL than picking blue is a horrible idea, and those that do intentionally are indeed very strange.
@ElijahRavitz @BarneyFlames Do you think that an english twitter poll without life or death stakes is representative of how the global population would act? This is the worst possible poll lol