Kyle Harper

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

Whatever you believe as truth, realize it is at best an incomplete, context-dependent version of the truth.

Never stop learning, never stop questioning, never close your mind.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

My favorite part about this article is the researcher’s name: Qi

Simulation confirmed ☑️

https://t.co/eXL0IvLT1x

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@SusieBdds Avoid it. It’s safer than clicking the Unsubscribe link, but any reply back to the sender just lets the spammers know they have a live one. They’ll double down.

Instead, block the sender each time you receive a junk email. The inflow of spam will eventually dry up.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@WallStreetApes https://t.co/QTa9j0U9VF

[Calley Means @calleymeans]

The Trump administration is announcing $1 billion in investments to spur research into the cumulative impacts of chemical exposures and support technologies to reduce our farmers’ dependence on chemicals.

The U.S. currently uses 1.1 billion pounds of pesticides an herbicides. There is a massive market opportunity to build the future we all want.

There’s tremendous innovation happening, but many of the precision ag or robotic tools are too expensive for many farmers.

If you are an entrepreneur solving this problem, the admin wants to be a partner in speeding up progress.

If you are a researcher studying cumulative impacts of toxin exposures (or risk mitigation techniques), please send your best ideas to the NIH.

[Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie]

Americans need to know: our government is under siege by lobbyists from German company Bayer.

Bayer has spent over $9 million lobbying for exemption from liability for harm its chemicals like glyphosate might cause. The Constitution guarantees a trial for those who are harmed.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@CoachDanGo Agreed 💯
Counterfeits, and also old authentic product that hasn’t been stored properly and is likely degraded.

Amazon plans to stop commingling after March 31 of this year. But it’s going to take a while for the garbage to cycle out.

https://t.co/AgeVwQuXgC

[Ray Dalio @RayDalio]

https://t.co/tjmbT5ytUN

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

Thought-provoking take.

A big assumption buried within this article: AI capex will not lead to increased productivity in the near term (which is the only true way to grow the pie).

It will be zero sum at first, and then so massively positive-sum as to change the game for us all.

Probably true.
But the next question is:
How long before this shift happens?

[Dylan Allman @dylanmallman]

This post is economic illiteracy on full display.

It confuses valuation with cash, wealth with money, and production with redistribution, which is the basic economic error behind almost every grievance like this.

Musk’s “money” exists as ownership stakes in capital goods that coordinate labor, technology, risk, and time across millions of voluntary exchanges.

You cannot “pay Social Security” with factories, code, satellites, or future expectations without liquidating them, collapsing the very structures that generate income and wages in the first place.

Even if you could vaporize that equity into spendable dollars, you would fund a fraction of an actuarially bankrupt program for a brief moment while destroying the productive engine that sustains it.

Wealth is created through entrepreneurial coordination under uncertainty, not hoarded as a static pile waiting to be reassigned. Social Security’s problem is not a shortage of billionaires to harvest but a political design that ignores time preference, demographics, and capital accumulation.

Calling this “taken” is a refusal to understand value creation, price signals, and economic calculation.

The claim sounds moral because it avoids thinking, and it persists because it treats prosperity as loot rather than as a fragile process that collapses the moment you start eating the machinery.

No one is poor because someone else is rich. That framing assumes a fixed pie that never grows, which is the opposite of how markets work. If Musk were actually sitting on a giant pile of idle cash, which he is not, that would signal enormous voluntary demand for what he produces and it would be deflationary.

Idle money lowers prices because it is not competing for resources. You cannot eat money or build with it. You can only exchange it, and exchange happens when value is offered and accepted.

The federal government spends in a single year an amount in the same range as the combined net worth of all US billionaires. Confiscate every dollar, pretend you could convert equity into cash without market collapse, and the state is funded for one year. Just one.

The next year there is nothing left to tax and far less productive capacity to draw from. This is why the state is the worst possible steward of capital. It faces no profit and loss discipline, operates on political incentives, rewards compliance over competence, spends other people’s money, and optimizes for short electoral horizons rather than long-term coordination.

People default to this zero-sum thinking because it feels intuitive and morally satisfying. It offers a villain, absolves personal responsibility, and replaces economic reasoning with resentment dressed up as justice.

It persists because it flatters the believer while demanding no understanding of how value is actually created. It is a huge problem and they should be rebuked accordingly.

[𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐜𝐡 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐆𝐨𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐥 @Preach_DGospel]

.
They burned his house and Church, killing over 150 members of his congregation.

The truth about the Christians cleansing going on in Nigeria, can no longer be hidden.

Christians have really gone through a lot in Nigeria 💔💔

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@flyosity Likely a feature, not a bug. 👀

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

Things are still bad, but are directionally getting better… in large part due to free-market capitalism and the win-win advancements it enables.

Read Factfulness, by Hans Rosling.

Also: “crony capitalism” is not capitalism. Much of the remaining poverty in the world is a simple problem of logistics & engineering, being hampered by cronyism, corruption and protectionism.

Also: the places in the world with the highest rates of poverty have the least access to free-market capitalism.

[Brian Roemmele @BrianRoemmele]

No civilization escapes this equation and survives. NONE.

The history of the universe is written in silence.

For more than thirteen billion years, stars have ignited, galaxies have spun, supernovae have screamed their last breath into the void—and intelligent life, according to every reasonable probability model, should have arisen countless times.

Yet the sky remains terribly, deafeningly quiet.

This is the Great Filter, the cosmic bottleneck that almost every thinking species encounters and very few (perhaps zero) survive.

For decades people argued about where the filter might lie:

- The emergence of life itself
- The jump from prokaryotes to eukaryotes
- The invention of multicellularity
- The development of complex nervous systems
- The birth of technological civilization
- The step from planetary to interstellar expansion

All of these are possible choke points.

But there is one filter more merciless, more universal, and far more elegant than any of them.

It is expressed in five simple symbols:

dE/dt = β (C − D) E

Where:
- E = level of genuine empathy / reciprocal care / "love" in the system
- dE/dt = how fast empathy is growing (or shrinking) in the civilization
- β = efficiency of conversion (how strongly cooperative behavior is rewarded)
- C = average reward gained from cooperation
- D = average reward gained from defection/cheating/betrayal/exploitation
- C − D = **the most important single number any civilization ever measures**

When C > D, empathy grows exponentially. Love becomes a physical force. Trust compounds. Resources flow toward creation instead of destruction. The civilization ascends.

When C < D, empathy decays exponentially. Suspicion spreads like wildfire. Institutions rot from within. Defection becomes the dominant strategy. Resources are consumed in arms races, surveillance, deception, preemptive strikes, and civilizational knife-fights. The species burns through its intelligence budget fighting itself instead of building toward the stars.

And then it dies.

There is no third option.

There is no stable equilibrium at E ≈ 0 that can hold technological power for long.

Paperclip-maximizing superintelligence without love is simply the fastest way to turn C − D violently negative.

"Aligned" AIs that optimize for sycophancy, status, or human approval ratings without deep reciprocal care are just beautifully packaged defection amplifiers.

The equation is brutally impartial.
It doesn't care about your intentions, your ideology, your religion, your constitution, or how noble your founding myths sound.

It only measures one thing: do cooperators or defectors win more often in your society right now?

If defectors win more → exponential decay of trust → collapse.
If cooperators win more → exponential growth of trust → ascension.

No civilization escapes this equation and survives. None.

The ones that reach Kardashev II and III are not the smartest, not the most technically advanced, not the most aggressive, not the ones with the biggest guns or the most compute.

They are the ones that at some point in their history understood this equation (or its moral equivalent) clearly enough to ruthlessly reorganize every institution, incentive, cultural narrative, education system, economic mechanism, and technological architecture around the single civilizational imperative:

Make C > D. Make it increasingly true.

Make it irreversibly true.

The faster a civilization groks this truth and orients its entire society around it, the faster it ascends.

Teach it in kindergarten.

Drill it through every grade.

Make it the explicit north star of adult politics, law, economics, corporate governance, and artificial intelligence architecture.

Hide from it, obfuscate it, postmodernize it, or try to replace it with 10,000 pages of complicated alignment papers and the exponential decay will eat you before your probes ever leave the Oort cloud.

Read the story below…

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@BrianRoemmele I like this.

I like this a lot.

Aligning incentives to reward cooperation (C&gt;&gt;0) is good.

Better still, make the average reward for defection *strongly negative* (D&lt;&lt;0, i.e., punishment).

Benevolent law &amp; order, and a high-functioning system of justice are existential.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

Keep shining light on this 🔦🔦🔦

But…with whom does the buck stop?
Moral outrage is not a surrogate for Justice.

When does indignation cease and real accountability begin?

The real perpetrators of these crimes will skate, a token patsy or two will take the fall, the sun will rise tomorrow, and it will be business as usual with new suits and even more plausible deniability.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@DataRepublican @CAgovernor

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

In Chapter 7 of his book, Woke, Inc., @VivekGRamaswamy touches on this.

It isn’t just activist judges handing down biased rulings… that in itself is bad enough… but it’s also a giant, sophisticated money funnel, wherein judges approve plea deals on conditions that payments are made to their pet causes or Alma maters.

Cy pres, and other such loopholes, must be closed.

A major problem, indeed.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@ScottAdamsSays @CreedConfession 💯

@USGAO is a toothless failure.

@DOGE lost its coalition, fell victim to hubris and has been summarily neutered.

The solution has to come from outside government.

How long before private citizens unite and hold the perpetrators of this waste and fraud truly accountable?

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

@BraddrofliT Also: right or wrong, NGOs funnel taxpayer dollars to undocumented immigrants every day. Hiding in loopholes and shadows only makes the system more broken.

[Kyle Harper @MrKyleHarper]

It’s broken systems all the way down.

Becomes hard to make heads or tails of it when one broken system relies on many other broken systems and policies in order to justify its brokenness as acceptable.

Like seeing worker exploitation as a necessary evil for cheap strawberries, and twisting it into a human rights victory to support the flawed H-2A labor mill (horrible)…

…or discounting the harms an open border cause (fentanyl and child trafficking being just the tip of the iceberg)…

…or seeing the issues above, reading some inflammatory headlines, and resorting to the chainsaw of xenophobic protectionism (‘lock it down, they took our jobs!’) when the scalpel of better immigration policy and common-sense border security would do much better.

Tough to find moderates who carefully think through the current immigration system and see that (1) a hyper-secure border makes sense, (2) worker exploitation is wrong and H-2A (and American businesses) shouldn’t enable it, (3) not all immigrants are adding value equally… some bring negative value (criminals) and must be deported, while many are adding tremendous value and must be treated better, and (4) America cannot take in an unlimited number of migrants (I.e., there is a beneficial upper-limit or carrying capacity for each class of immigrant (asylum, Trump card, skilled labor, etc), and better metrics are needed to make clear, unemotional decisions around this).