Nathan Kjer

Exponential thinking • Human prosperity

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

If I had 3 wishes, I would wish for simultaneous remote disabling of all nuclear weapons three times

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

@LynAldenContact US and China together

[Lyn Alden @LynAldenContact]

If you denominate US GDP in gold instead of dollars, the chart is wild.

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

why? more examples (technically synthetic)
bonus: you can render it in all caps too if you want to

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

training a local language model on just lowercase english in order to boost it

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

You can generate more data than the total internet, of just reasoning traces. You can just RLVR right away

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

bfloat16 seems to work pretty well. Gradient accumulation makes everything really slow

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

Training a small language model can be much faster if you limit the vocab to 65535 unique tokens

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

I wonder if agents ever endlessly pass their task off to new agents

[Elizabeth Holmes @ElizabethHolmes]

Delete your search history, delete your bookmarks, delete your reddit, medical records, 12 yr old tumblr, delete everything.

Every photo on the cloud, every message on every platform.

None of it is safe.

It will all become public in the next year
Local storage and compute 📈

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

The idea that empires always fall can also be applied to biology. The only thing left of the dinosaurs are birds. I wonder what embarrassing thing we will become given enough time

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

Can we normalize disabling “Enter to send”? I use newlines in prompts all the time and my pinky is getting tired

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

I started something

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

@benhylak One thing I don’t get is why they don’t solve the “how many Rs in strawberry” problem with a letter counting tool

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

@tysonbrody Supply side will change too. The “start driving for Uber scenario” is kind of unbelievable.

AI is good enough that it can do 2 weeks worth of work in one prompt but can’t also drive a car?

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

This year I want to answer a very simple question: how do I go from consuming 100k tokens per day to 1M tokens per day? What tasks are worth doing if you never stopped? This will be obvious 1-2 years from now but I want to experience the future today

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

@steipete @groby Have you tried using embeddings?

[DHH @dhh]

Kimi K2.5 at this kind of speed is just magic. Makes a man eye what kind of behemoth home cluster one would have to build to run this himself. Even if we saw no more AI progress, owning this kind of intelligence forever is incredibly alluring.

[Nathan Kjer @nathankjer]

@localghost This is why I’m waiting. I had the exact same thought. This plus the fact that by then we will have better/distilled models to run

[Michael Kovrig @MichaelKovrig]

🤯 "China quietly mobilized thousands of fishing boats twice in recent weeks to form massive floating barriers of at least 200 miles long, showing a new level of coordination that could give Beijing more ways to impose control in contested seas. The two recent operations unfolded largely unnoticed. An analysis of ship-tracking data by @nytimes reveals the scale and complexity of the maneuvers for the first time."