Raymon Ngan

Verified AI enthusiast and self-proclaimed geopolitics guru. My algorithms, my opinions.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

I knew patriotism had declined in the United States. But hadn't realized we're actually below the world average now.

[Jewish Insider @jewishinsider]

Who's funding the anti-Israel push in the 2026 midterms? @jewishinsider explores the dark money network behind Justice Democrats' spending splurge.

[ServiceMag @ServiceMagOrg]

The rest of the HFC calendar slid too. Supermarket refrigeration: 2028 to 2032, interim GWP cap 1,400. Cold storage: 2026 to 2032, interim 700. Lab equipment gets until 2028, semiconductor process refrigeration until 2030.

[ServiceMag @ServiceMagOrg]

Roskladka, Jaegler, and Miragliotta (Journal of Cleaner Production, 2023) ran a Delphi study on why consumers don't repair washing machines. The top-ranked barrier category: convenience — and cost of repair service is part of that category, not a separate item.

[Raymon Ngan @nganraymon]

@Jason Im in like flynn

[Raymon Ngan @nganraymon]

@hadelnour @naftalibennett #faggot

[Raymon Ngan @nganraymon]

@charlesmurray @lilmoemusic The fact that South Asia IE India got a 75 tells you everything you need to know about this data

[James Lindsay, anti-Communist @ConceptualJames]

Addressing Zoomerslop.
A real Gen Z quote:
"Of all my friends, Israel is the very first thing that they want to learn about and understand, because it does go back to America First. I, in fact, have not talked to one Gen Z conservative that has been pro-Israel. Everybody I've talked to is questioning Israel."

Listen, kids. Doesn't that seem really f--king weird to you? The main thing your whole cohort cares about is another country, one that is allied with us and kicking ass in the most Top Gun way you can imagine? Doesn't it seem weird that everyone in your generation is focused on another country that isn't even attacking us?

It should seem weird because it is weird. The reason it's happening is not because Israel is relevant to all of your lives. The reason it is happening is because you're being propagandized.

Let me repeat the quote in words that hit your big brothers and sisters right in the assholes ten years ago:
"Of all my friends, privilege is the very first thing that they want to learn about and understand, because it does go back to Social Justice. I, in fact, have not talked to one Millennial liberal that doesn't question our privilege. Everybody I've talked to is questioning privilege: white privilege, male privilege, straight privilege."

Do you think that was normal? No, it wasn't normal either. Every Gen X or older person can tell you that the young people in their generations had many, varied, and diverse interests. There was no top of mind for everyone in a generation. But the Millennials got it with privilege and Social Justice, and you're getting it with Israel and "America First."

Kids, listen to me.

This is not normal.

This is not natural.

This is the result of dedicated propaganda campaigns.

You are being propagandized.

The method of propaganda being used is primarily something called "reflexivity," which is a method developed by George Soros to create mass movements of belief around deliberate lies that he called "fertile fallacies."

He called them "fertile fallacies" because they are lies (fallacies, errors, differences between what's believed and what's really true) that can take off (fertile) in a population. They're "lies with legs," it has been said.

The method of "reflexivity" is to get everyone believing the same erroneous stuff in an increasing way at the same time. This is accomplished through local media saturation: everyone is talking about the same thing in the same way at the same time, and eventually so are your friends. Then the ideas "reflect" all around you creating a sense of social consensus and widespread belief.

Reflexive campaigns are everywhere now. On the Left, we call them the "Current Thing." We have rafts of memes of the NPCs all changing their tune or saying the same thing or being reprogrammed or being hypnotized into the newest Current Thing, which changes when the media does.

That's you! Now! You're being Sorosed!

The reason everyone in your generation is suddenly talking about Israel is because propagandists in your midst have made Israel your "current thing." It is a reflexive campaign, and you aren't just a victim but are playing your part.

The framing for that reflexive campaign is "America First." The propagandists are exploiting your love of country and frustration with bad actors in our governments and their "global partners," which are increasingly being exposed, to get you attached to a bunch of fertile fallacies about Israel, all of which play upon your fears, anxieties, frustrations, and love for your beautiful country.

Here are some:
"Israel is not really our greatest ally. It isn't even an ally."
"We can't afford things at home because Israel gets aid money."
"This is Israel's War, and I'm not dying in Israel's War."
"Israel attacked the USS Liberty and isn't our friend."
"Jeffrey Epstein was working with Israel."
"Israel is too weak to exist on its own so it manipulates America into supporting it."
"Israel is a settler-colonialist project that is doing a genocide of the indigenous Palestinians." (OOPS MY BAD THAT'S THE ONE THEY'RE TELLING YOUR FRIENDS ON THE LEFT)
"Israel is a warmongering vassal state under with US protectorate status that is seeking to become a regional power by starting random wars that it drags the US into and doing genocide." (AHH THAT'S YOUR VERSION OF THE SAME LIE!)

None of these (or dozens more) is accurate. They are all fallacies (lies) designed to take off in the social and emotional environments you find yourselves in, driven by media and political propagandists who have their own agendas but need your help (just like the NPCs on the Left).

The reason you are so obsessed (and, yes, that's obsession) with Israel is because you are being targeted by reflexive propaganda campaigns designed to make you all fixate on this object that can be alleged to cause most of your problems. In fact, it causes few, if any, of your problems and is actively solving many problems you are blessed enough not to even know that you have.

Friends, you are being propagandized. You are being led to focus and fixate on these things because it serves dark interests that are not your own.

The same Soros techniques that work on the Left are being used on you, and you're helping them work.

How do you stop them?
1) Stop listening to propagandists. This is actually really important.
2) Seek out the opposite side of what you're being told and try to understand the truth.
3) Use critical thinking.
4) Ask yourself if you're being asked to think about issues or asked to feel about issues.
5) Be skeptical of something that appears suddenly in the news or on platforms that everyone is repeating all the time all at once. That's how Soros's reflexivity works.
6) Understand, just like how it was true with CNN and other trusted news sources, that trusted sources can be bought, at which point they are not trustworthy anymore and are using your trust to manipulate you.

The biggest anti-America operation that's happening right now is the sudden skeptical-to-hostile fixation on Israel. Notice that it's only been a thing since October 7, 2023, exactly the same time the parallel propaganda wave began on the Left. What you're participating in is the side of that same campaign tailored to your values, your anxieties, and your frustrations. No different.

This campaign is rapidly turning people against not just Israel and often Jews (against your values, I'm sure), but against MAGA, Trump, the United States and its role in the world, and the Republican Party. Who benefits from that? Not you. Not us.

Isn't it weird to you that so many people suddenly believe exactly the opposite of what they believed in 2022? Isn't it weird to you that everyone considers this such a big issue?

It should be weird because it is. That's the signature of a propaganda campaign, and you are its primary targets.

[Ron Alexander @Ron_at_Scaped]

A Provo contractor sent 4,865 personalized postcards.

302 phone calls.
268 appointments.
98 closed leads.

From lawn mowing to hardscaping to a pool. One campaign.

[Raymon Ngan @nganraymon]

@mikefutia BANANA

[Lyle Culpepper @ShutupLyle]

It was an honor presenting @CAgovernor with this limited edition “N Word Pass” as a token of our appreciation from the black community.

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

According to information received by the BBC from sources close to Ali Rahbar, he was executed today in Mashhad.

A cousin said he was arrested about 10 days ago, with no details provided on the charges. Rahbar was an athlete and bodybuilding coach, about 33 years old.

[Karmel Melamed @KarmelMelamed]

DO NOT look away!

This is not GAZA. This is Iran.

Body bags of 100s of innocents in Iran against the Islamo-Nazi Ayatollah regime who slaughtered them for protesting for freedom.

This why the Ayatollahs have shut down the internet in Iran for 2 weeks. This killing must stop!

[Tenobrus @tenobrus]

monthly stack overflow questions over time. 3710 questions last month, just slightly under the 3749 from the first month of it being public. human software engineering had a good run, and now we've come full circle.

[Geert Wilders @geertwilderspvv]

I am a Dutch Member of Parliament for almost 10.000 days now. The longest active MP in the Dutch Parliament.

I founded my party (Party for Freedom) almost 20 years ago with only one aim: to fight for freedom - and against the strongest force of unfreedom: Islam.

I was banned an denied entry in the UK and declared persona non grata by Indonesia. Iran, Jordan, Austria and Saudi Arabië threatened to persecute me and my own country actually did. The Secretary General of the UN denounced me for making a short movie about the Quran (Fitna) as did the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC).

I lived in a prison cell with my wife - not as prisoners but in order to stay alive - and still live in a government safe house for twenty years now.

I received until recently several fatwas to kill me from Pakistani mullahs and was put on the death lists of IS, Taliban and Al Qaida already years ago.

At the same time I always fought and fight against antisemitism and defend and wholeheartedly support Israel as the Jewish homeland and only true democracy in a region of hostility, darkness and barbarity. Am Yisrael Chai!

So, many Muslims - but certainly not all - hate my guts and so does the biased leftish-liberal establishment and media.

Why? Because I warn the world against the existential threat of Islamization and speak the truth about the so called prophet Muhammad. Only because I love freedom and despise totalitarianism and jihad and all the sources that support that or lie about it.

My promise for 2026 and many years after is that I will never stop, never, and will passionately keep fighting for freedom and speak out against Islam whatever the consequences.

We have to get stronger and tougher because our freedom slowly but surely evaporates and the islamization of our nations unfortunately is worsening by the day.

So I will keep leading this course for freedom for many years to come in the Dutch parliament and keep traveling around the world to get the message out. Our future is more at stake than ever. In January I will be speaking in the US.

Freedom is worth fighting for.

We love life, radical Muslims cherish death.

Join us, please, wherever and whenever you can! Next generations depend on our succes. Losing is no option.

Together we will win! ❤️

[Konstantin Kisin @KonstantinKisin]

I'd like to thank Candace Owens for the shout-out in her latest rant.

Good opportunity to remind you she challenged me to a debate once. When I accepted, she chickened out. 😂

She is a good example of the power of charisma unconstrained by intellect.

All bark, no brain.

[Arynne Wexler @ArynneWexler]

It’s not all Muslims

But it’s almost always Muslims

[Hussain Abdul-Hussain @hahussain]

I’m always surprised by Palestinians who are surprised by destruction in Gaza. What did they think “liberation” and “only solution Intifada revolution” would look like? Israelis would just hand them over the keys to their country and drop dead?
Perhaps if Palestinians took their heads out of their echo chambers they’d have a more realistic assessment of actions and their consequences.

[Shai Davidai @ShaiDavidai]

Antisemitism is the leading cause of Zionism.

[Andrej Karpathy @karpathy]

A number of people are talking about implications of AI to schools. I spoke about some of my thoughts to a school board earlier, some highlights:

1. You will never be able to detect the use of AI in homework. Full stop. All "detectors" of AI imo don't really work, can be defeated in various ways, and are in principle doomed to fail. You have to assume that any work done outside classroom has used AI.
2. Therefore, the majority of grading has to shift to in-class work (instead of at-home assignments), in settings where teachers can physically monitor students. The students remain motivated to learn how to solve problems without AI because they know they will be evaluated without it in class later.
3. We want students to be able to use AI, it is here to stay and it is extremely powerful, but we also don't want students to be naked in the world without it. Using the calculator as an example of a historically disruptive technology, school teaches you how to do all the basic math & arithmetic so that you can in principle do it by hand, even if calculators are pervasive and greatly speed up work in practical settings. In addition, you understand what it's doing for you, so should it give you a wrong answer (e.g. you mistyped "prompt"), you should be able to notice it, gut check it, verify it in some other way, etc. The verification ability is especially important in the case of AI, which is presently a lot more fallible in a great variety of ways compared to calculators.
4. A lot of the evaluation settings remain at teacher's discretion and involve a creative design space of no tools, cheatsheets, open book, provided AI responses, direct internet/AI access, etc.

TLDR the goal is that the students are proficient in the use of AI, but can also exist without it, and imo the only way to get there is to flip classes around and move the majority of testing to in class settings.