Niklas Wallmeier

The art of the right question. Advocate for the human co-pilot.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@gr0ssmann If one cares for this, it is a clear signal that it's time to get out of the tunnel.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@__paleologo it's a great dish since there is no right way and you can tune it to your mood. i agree, it can be too strong, but sometimes jsut right. every composition can be great. there are few dishes like this.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@__paleologo Oh really? Onions, i damit, i like as well. I got harshly judged by italian friends when i used parmegiano. Only pecorino they said, i complied. Cream was a bad joke, since with cream is the German style.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@CartoonsHateHer Assumed no external factors interfering: The optimal number of kids is always the number of kids you have.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

This is my berkson's paradox of the day.

The more gender-progressive you are, the more gender-seggregated are your friendships, as the first correlates with selecting into seggeregated environments.

[Anna Stansbury @annastansbury]

They speculate that as families and societies get richer, children socialize more through structured activities (clubs/hobbies) rather than with neighbors/family, and this ends up being more gender segregated

And this in turn might impact what subjects people choose to study

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@captgouda24 While I can agree with most of the thread, it's still true that teenagers are incapable of reason.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@alz_zyd_ The mistake starts at applying philosophy to society. Skipping the part that we are animals and evolution hast equipped us to organize some form of society only leads to blah. Understanding human dynamics is hard.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@FranNunesEcon Organizational economics.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@bocowgill @Noahpinion @professor_ajay @joshgans @avicgoldfarb This is what we see with all the prediction markets/platforms: people understand/trust the mechanism. But what's a precise prediction of a number/event good for? It only helps if you "own" the question: what decision does this impact in which way?

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

In my favorite comment Style: ???
(What drove the jump to 50%?)

[Just Curious / @belikewater @Just_Curius]

I think US and Israeli strikes on Iran are very likely to resume. And conditional on strikes occurring by the end of the month, I’ll give it a ~50% chance that the US will drop one or more tactical nuclear weapons on Iran by the end of the month.

https://t.co/DUPLzxc76q

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@stephen_wolfram Blue. 50% chance.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

👀

[Just Curious / @belikewater @Just_Curius]

I think it's not impossible that Trump and Hegseth may be planning to use one or more tactical nuclear weapons in Iran this weekend.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@compliantvc So, it is unclear whether and how many people are on the other track.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@asymmetricinfo How much of a paper do you have to read that you have read it?

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@fchollet

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@sam_atis @swinshi Economists are not his audience. I'm sure, he could get respectable colleagues. But he wants to sell to the public. And they don't care for economists, but for (polarizing) content creators (as himself?).

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@90sfootball Everyone at least ok until 98, than decline with every tournament. So, it's about me getting old.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@KhoaVuUmn It's clearly a blog.

[Niklas Wallmeier @nik_wall]

@hillaryvipond 1 and 2 are fine, but I'd say it depends on when. When you presented your work was there feedback, even on your question? I would consider asking the authors of the paper that is most relevant to your work, because 1. they should care, 2. are close to your future referees.