non-real

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@IAPolls2022 let's not go crazy here. assuming Kansas goes R by like half a percent due to base republican turnout carrying it, this is 4 flips (3 polled + north carolina). so democrats have a bare bones majority of 51, which if Fetterman doesn't stay in line is just 50-50 exactly with R VP.

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@AngryPatriotX From a more Eurocentric view, yes, race mixing will produce a next generation unable to uphold the advanced societies created by Western, European civilized countries because they are contingent on the aggregate character of the population which is not the same in other races.

[non-real @nonreal14]

@AngryPatriotX race mixing is, in fact, wrong. each race has specialized adaptations suited to the environments and societies they have lived in. race mixing makes for someone who will fit into no society. speaking of societies being racial constructs, we should also reconsider mass migration.

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@j_whoopee @AlexThomp the real rebuttal to this is that NYT has become way more methodologically smart since 2016. Probably. IDK the internals of how their stuff works so I may be wrong

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@NateSilver538 oh, spooky, systematic polling error

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@stephenehorn finally someone going after Nikki Haley, excuse me, Nimarata Nikki Randhawa, in the right way and isn't a delusional leftist doing so as a way to slight the GOP. True GOP-ers don't endorse that neocon

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@OpenSourceZone @PatrickRuffini if these errors hold, Dems will flip NC, TX but lose MI. and notably won't win ME. republican states OH, IA, AK stay republican while democratic incumbents in GA, NH survive. assuming current polling margins for Ds hold until the election... which they might not.

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@BernieSanders screw angie nixon

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@AutisticClip this is why I'll never support Nick. like once in a while I need a reminder that this guy is a scumbag who happens to be right a few times, like a broken clock

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@PollTracker2024 sorta based actually. if she means it...

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@ToonHive ok let's just not look at how kung fu panda 2 box office did. or toy story 2 for that matter. oh yeah hotel transylvania 2. that definitely wasn't the paragon of quality. or the biggest example minions following despicable me 2 in less than two years...

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@RoKhanna @JDVance JD Vance is the only politician it seems that can anger actual racists, and people who think he's racist

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@Lady_Pheebs still has a few black guys btw

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@NateSilver538 yeah, that's a pretty logical and coherent story. Finally Nate (sort of) acknowledges one of my comments

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@NateSilver538 Kotek leads in the polling "average" while all 3 polls within the temporal range (and have more than 0.01 weight) have her trailing

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@milehighcarson @NateSilver538 uh.... president? in 2016, 2020, 2024 almost every state?

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@NateSilver538 probably his worst take in a while, 2 races in 2025 having a pro-R bias doesn't cancel out pro D bias in more numerous and more important elections

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@NateSilver538 I see 4 D bias, 1 R bias. in midterms there is 1 D bias, 0 R bias. 2025 had an R bias sure but that is the only odd numbered year included whereas previous ones were omitted, which is suspicious so I won't count it. A D bias is totally possible. Or maybe just last minute swings.

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@Nate_Cohn That's from R+18 to D+7, a 25 point swing. Hispanics are abandoning the GOP hard after their clear "situationship" in 2024

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@RedEaglePatriot fact is Democrats are still really unpopular!!! Republican popularity might be below 0 but people still wouldn't vote Democrats that much!