oscar

[oscar @notoscarod]

@carsonturner 0xc10d8c30c6aa4f954a73bc0accb4be074685c06e

[oscar @notoscarod]

@IceFrosst @Polymarket Regime would have to be completely toppled, trump doesn’t seem to like him, he doesn’t have full support in Iran, he has a life in Virginia. Fair value is 1-2%

[oscar @notoscarod]

@scottonPoly @QuotientHQ @Dapsyxbt @AigarShilvan Thank you!

This is my USDC (Polygon) address:

0x08a82FabC7d432e5ba7302A612e1a04913276db4

[oscar @notoscarod]

@scottonPoly No US x Iran ceasefire by...December 2026 @ 25¢
There is ev here:
Regime is weakened, but no signs of it toppling or giving in to US demands. There is a good chance the US will exit unilaterally, Iran holds enough leverage and Trump doesn't want a "loss" on his record....

[oscar @notoscarod]

@scottonPoly @A0plus69 It seems to be mostly based on spread, size, and the boolean of yes and no vs yes or no. Oh and also liquidity not double-sided is penalized if the midpoint is over 90/under 10.