@ALikhodedov@VKMacro Thoughts on the product spreads? RBOB Jul/Aug looks incredibly cheap given the pace we are drawing stocks and seasonal demand increase from now through Aug
@staunovo I can't grasp Iran agreeing to free passage in Hormuz after 2 months of them reiterating 'Hormuz will never go back to it's previous status'. Maybe they don't charge but would have to imagine they are still coordinating traffic flow.
Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi:
Fees will be charged for services in the Strait of Hormuz, and these services will no longer be free.
This important matter has been confirmed: payment of fees is required.
@HFI_Research Wait, you don't want to be max short this?!
I think the RBOB gas stocks have been overlooked the past 2 weeks while we have shown modest builds in finished gas but large draws still happening in RBOB; which is the deliverable to NYMEX.
@marklevinshow He won't release the terms bc he is embarrassed at the deal he is forced to accept. No one wants this. Should have never stopped bombing.
Beyond the headline gas/distillate builds we still drew on RBOB gasoline stocks and modestly built diesel stocks. Historically over the next 4 weeks of data summer demand ramps up 3-5%. With refinery utilization at 95% and record low product stocks the only way to slow the draw is price; which isn't even close to demand destruction.
@HFI_Research "Officials say most terms are settled, but final authorization from top leadership on both sides is still pending, with Trump reportedly taking a few days to decide."
The fine print here is incredible!
@ericnuttall Every IRGC member says they will not discuss Uranium at this point and Hormuz governance is absolute.
Every US/Isreal talking point is Uranium removal must be part of the deal and Hormuz must return to previous state.
How are macro markets reading this so poorly?
@FirstSquawk What is this the 3rd, 4th, 5th peace agreement headline within 24 hours in the past week? Besides it won't be a peace agreement it will be a glorified ceasefire extension