@derekdrew@daytradingrauf@edgeful DTR = @daytradingrauf TBR = Time-Based Range (8:12–9:12 NY). Same thing in this context.
@edgeful is publishing statistics that don't match the actual NQ data.
They should probably audit the methodology before more people start making decisions based on incorrect probabilities.
@MNY939@daytradingrauf@edgeful Indeed, the stats shared by @edgeful are wrong. This is easy to verify in Python: after a break of one side of the DTR range, price reaches the other side only ~40% of the time. To get closer to 70%, the target needs to be equilibrium, not the opposite side of the range.