@IntuitMachine bingo. information is reduction of uncertainty, measurable in bits, and completely separable from meaning. that decoupling built the entire information age.
@Michael_Druggan the counterintuitive notion is that both parties gain from trade **even when one is worse at everything**. the gains live in relative cost, not absolute skill.
"April 1970, Apollo 13, halfway to nothing. CO2 climbing in the crippled lunar module because the command module's scrubber canisters were square and the LM's sockets were round. On the ground, an engineer named Ed Smylie had his team dump onto a table a copy of everything the astronauts had up there — and only that: a sock, plastic stowage bags, the cardboard cover of a flight manual, duct tape. They never once tried to make the square filter fit the round hole. The goal wasn't "fit the canister," it was "scrub the air" — so they built an adapter and routed around the hole entirely. Read the instructions up to the crew over the radio. The CO2 curve bent back down."
... implication being the right move is to discount experts forecasts relative to their explanations, and to weight more heavily the views of the practitioners who are currently shipping and updating, even if those practitioners are less credentialed.
wonder if expert intuitions are calibrated to the pace of the field at the time the expert was trained. that might explain why when the field accelerates, the intuitions don't accelerate with it.
you don’t need a gate for sloppy reasoning. science is a method anyone can apply and anyone can check. Faraday was a bookbinder, Mendel was a friar, Ramanujan had no formal training, Einstein was a patent clerk. the gate was wrong every time and the method worked anyway. if two people draw a bad analogy across domains, the answer is “here’s why the analogy fails” which is checkable by anyone.
@elonmusk commit to an open-source / open-weight roadmap and we’re all-in. you’ll make plenty of money with you privacy architecture for frontier performance. just give the community distilled grok coding models they can run locally.
@MattfbfreakMax@Jason cute insult. almonds rank near the top for dollars generated per unit of water among California crops. plus they are nutritious and delicious. alfalfa would be better choice, but the whole premise of singling out one crop is dumb. and data center water usage is dumber.
A perfect simulation of reality may require resources comparable to reality itself.
To simulate Earth exactly:
you may need something Earth-sized.
At the limit:
the universe may already be the most efficient possible simulator of itself.
sounds great ... if X ever ships true third-party feed generators or full firehose access for custom algos.
e.g. "I want an algo tuned exactly to surface thinkers in <niche> who pass my personal stress-test for collaboration"
grok prompts + lists are the crappy corporate kludge.