Peter

[Peter @ppadev]

@politicalmath @Abulinixish What about the additional 80k metric tons of Argentinian beef we're importing this year, per https://t.co/5F6u8UMvZq?

[Peter @ppadev]

@Cate_in_OH @cabsav456 ...because the signature on file is from 20 years ago, and their signature today might have changed enough to not match? How is the difficult to understand?

[Peter @ppadev]

@RichardBeckman8 @cabsav456 But that's not the law. It's not fraud, you don't get to declare it fraudulent because the law doesn't say what you want it to say.

[Peter @ppadev]

@dan_trembley @DanielPLarson @EdWhelanEPPC @thatsKAIZEN In fact, it's extremely reasonable for Pratt to get about the same vote share as President Trump did in 2024 - 26.5% - and for him to initially frontrun that since in-person votes skew R but are only about 20% of the vote. That's exactly what we see happening here.

[Peter @ppadev]

@dan_trembley @DanielPLarson @EdWhelanEPPC @thatsKAIZEN California has per-ballot signature matching and curing, that's part of why it takes them so long to count. And it's not like Bass is getting no votes, in fact her vote share is quite consistent

[Peter @ppadev]

@1VeryChillDude @dccommonsense OK, what's your model that shows that, statistically, there's a compelling case for fraud.

[Peter @ppadev]

@AISpaceIdeas @dccommonsense @ChipDiesel Do you think that all D voters across day-of, early mail, and late mail have the same moderate/progressive distribution? Because it's completely reasonable for that to be wrong and Bass-aligned Dems who are fine with the incumbent to vote early, with hesitant voters waiting.

[Peter @ppadev]

@1VeryChillDude @dccommonsense You have a statistical model that is based on a complete lie, which is that the voters who vote on election day, early via mail, and late by mail are basically identical. They aren't.

[Peter @ppadev]

@Quarktoro1 @dccommonsense Source: https://t.co/wAykADai9h

[Peter @ppadev]

@Quarktoro1 @dccommonsense Your 1-in-a-million anomoly depends entirely on the underlying sample being the same where it clearly isn't.
Also, it ended up flipping back, but CA48 in 2018 had one result for 2 and 3 on election day, flipped a week later, then flipped back a week after that.

[Peter @ppadev]

@DanielPLarson @EdWhelanEPPC @thatsKAIZEN Isn't that just the same leftward shift in action? The same background that pushes mail-in left and results in more D votes than Rs also mean that progressives benefit

[Peter @ppadev]

@ttxwe @willchamberlain @LJS527 Ah, so you've been able to prove that multiple sets of late-countet ballots come from an identical subset of the electorate, and there isn't some systematic difference between the subsets, such as people who voted earlier not being aware of late events when they voted?

[Peter @ppadev]

@DarthVenti @SoCalGirl1208 @kennethmulvena @Garrett_Archer

[Peter @ppadev]

@DarthVenti @SoCalGirl1208 @kennethmulvena @Garrett_Archer You know that drop had votes for him, right? It's just that some sites split it into two drops, so one with zero votes for him and one with zero votes for the frontrunner candidates.

[Peter @ppadev]

@GalladeGuy123 @LinkofSunshine @sfmhmmad No? You can just know that 20% simple interest takes 5 years to double (because 20% x 5 = 100%), and then compound interest is any amount faster to add up than simple interest, and you're there.

[Peter @ppadev]

@WitAscend @Panko328588 @Ablazeolive @LoLDev Bro I'm not reading ur Ai dogshit that you couldn't even both to put through a Markdown renderer firet

[Peter @ppadev]

@Panko328588 @Ablazeolive @LoLDev Do you think they can predict every players performance perfectly during matchmaking? You could easily see scores like this in an equally mstched iron lobby where a bad kat gets kills during an early invade and snowballs like crazy

[Peter @ppadev]

@SignDemon @drewlevin @Agurinlol You could vote yes on the surrender instead of no if you really think the game is unwinnable (it is and the only reason to vote no is to cheat the aegis system or hostage)

[Peter @ppadev]

@mateo_fsk boat

[Peter @ppadev]

@Hyhhuu7yhi @Deadlyey5 @RepDarrenSoto Are you saying that this isn't a partisan gerrymander?