Predictbook

Prediction markets intelligence desk. Access real-time alerts on Telegram: @Predictbook.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

What tools are you actually using to trade on prediction markets?

We've been keeping an open directory of them. 57 so far: wallet trackers, whale alerts, terminals, copy trading, odds aggregators, data APIs. Most were submitted by the teams that built them.

Missing something you use? Drop it below / add a PR.

https://t.co/GhQ2GVi6Vf

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$100 on Serbia’s Student List a week before the result would have returned $317.46.

YES shares were trading at 31.5¢ on October 19. Here’s how that week unfolded.

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Read the full analysis
https://t.co/Xk2WosX2cO

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🇮🇱 Israel is voting, and Polymarket favors Gadi Eisenkot to become prime minister. But the outcome will also depend on coalition talks.

The former IDF chief has a 62% chance, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 24% and Naftali Bennett at 9%.

Pre-election polling left neither bloc assured of a parliamentary majority, making smaller parties crucial to negotiations that could take weeks.

Our analyst @Journalancer examines Eisenkot market lead and the obstacles to forming the next government.

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@AP According to Polymarket traders, the Milwaukee Brewers have about a 97% chance of winning the 2026 World Series.

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@federalreserve According to Polymarket traders, there is about a 93% chance the Fed leaves rates unchanged at this week’s meeting, with roughly a 7% chance of a 25 bps hike.

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@Reuters According to Polymarket traders, Gadi Eizenkot has about a 63% chance of becoming Israel’s next prime minister, while Benjamin Netanyahu sits near 24%.

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Our analysis examines Democrats late push and the Republican advantage traders still expect to hold.
https://t.co/bg2wCXtppO

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🇺🇸 Trump is rallying behind Cindy Hyde-Smith. Obama is backing Scott Colom. Mississippi’s Senate race is drawing national attention.

Polymarket gives Republican Hyde-Smith an 87% chance of reelection, versus 14% for Democrat Colom. A Change Research poll puts voter support much closer: 43% for Hyde-Smith and 40% for Colom.

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On Kalshi 35% chance no one is the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election.

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🇮🇱 Israel votes as Polymarket favors Eizenkot to become the next prime minister.

Polymarket gives Gadi Eizenkot a 62% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, ahead of Netanyahu at 27% and Naftali Bennett at 8%.

More than $58M has been traded on on who will lead the next government.

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JUST IN: S&P Dow Jones Indices is teaming up with Kalshi to build prediction-market indices.

S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will develop benchmarks composed of event contracts. Potential themes include political power, supply-chain risks, AI’s impact on employment and weather.

CEO Tarek Mansour says future products based on these indices could offer diversified exposure to real-world events and new ways to hedge their impact.

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@endbosss how this mate feels

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A Polymarket trader has $117.7K on the Fed NOT raising rates by 25 basis points in October.

The latest buy added $104.6K at 93¢, bringing the potential payout to $127.6K if the outcome resolves NO.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

🇮🇱 Israel votes as Polymarket favors Eizenkot to become the next prime minister.

Polymarket gives Gadi Eizenkot a 62% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, ahead of Netanyahu at 27% and Naftali Bennett at 8%.

More than $58M has been traded on on who will lead the next government.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@CoinDesk @Ripple According to Kalshi traders, there is a 27% odds that the price of XRP will reach $2 by the end of the year

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@NBA Ant still has a good chance (14%) of winning the MVP for the 2026–2027 season, trailing only Wemby, Luka, and SGA atm.

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Prediction markets are competing for official sports rights.

The NBA is the latest addition, naming @Kalshi and @Polymarket its preferred prediction market exchanges on October 26.

Here is who’s partnering with whom, and what each deal includes.

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Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe arrived to the Ballon D’or ceremony.

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One Kalshi trader is confident enough to put $164K on Pittsburgh NOT winning the AFC North.

The position pays $200K if the Steelers miss out on the division title.

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@TheBlockCo Does the 2028 crossover still hold if sports contracts get shut down in key states? Sports is still most of today’s volume.

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@TouchlineX Thats true, but Mbappe have 32%, Kane 63% and Yamal 6% to win Ballon d’Or according to Polymarket.

https://t.co/ekwsnr66sp

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Kylian Mbappé is heading to tonight’s Ballon d’Or ceremony in London with Real Madrid’s delegation.

His Polymarket odds have climbed to 32%, while Harry Kane remains the favorite at 61%. Lamine Yamal trails at 7%.