@Visa $V: models failed 42.8% of agent shopping tests. @Shopify $SHOP says AI orders are up 3.3x, but volume is still small.
Front doors and rails first. Not a checkout windfall before 2028.
Wrong if no major firm reports agent volume through 2027.
https://t.co/NtfYjl1U1k
@nvidia $NVDA. The Alice Huang game deals are on file. The path to Megaspeed is The Wire China's reporting, not ours.
That keeps a 6 to 12 month governance discount on the stock. Wrong if the 17 Nov guide holds and the inquiry is clean.
https://t.co/VtCuPbLHMj
@nvidia $NVDA priced a CEO the board has not removed. After hours: about โ8.6%, to $158.78.
The business can outlast Jensen. The stock now carries a 6 to 12 month key-person discount.
Wrong if the 17 Nov guide is cut below $108B.
https://t.co/BpnsGAiEf8
@AnthropicAI ($ANT) wants up to $100B from markets.
Same week chips fell 7.2% in a day.
Not the pin that bursts AIโthe biggest stress test yet.
https://t.co/4xQm3gtWEO
@GEVernova $GEV: $29.3B Q3 orders.
@Generac $GNRC: ~$4.5B data-center backlog.
Stocks: โ10% to โ18% in 3 weeks.
Demand's fine. Permission isn't.
Own what runs: @ConstellationEG $CEG over $SMR.
Wrong if most 3 Nov ballot limits fail.
https://t.co/ba8wyexaRf
Oracle is still investment grade. The bond market disagrees.
5y CDS ~314bp = junk-style pricing. S&P sits one notch above the line.
We think the agencies blink in 2027, not Dec 14. Proven wrong if CDS holds <200bp for a month.
https://t.co/RMCJYUqPW8
SK hynix just pre-sold >50% of 2027-28 output to 14 customers. With deposits.
The market still trades it ~49% below its June peak like the cycle ends tomorrow.
We're with the contracts. Wrong if contract prices fall 2 quarters straight.
https://t.co/EzransMWFR
The most-discussed stock on X fell hardest on the day, and the scare started outside the US. Every top-ten name wore a bullish tag, yet most failed to close higher.
Info only, not investment advice.
https://t.co/z8WWJsDwe7
Tuesday's index barely moved, yet the Nasdaq broke underneath: 408 new lows vs 47 highs. Bonds passed their reopen test and Bitcoin bounced. Tonight's CPI is the flip.
Info only, not investment advice.
https://t.co/Q7XE3Ukbwj
๐๏ธ The week ahead:
โข Tuesday: JPMorgan, Goldman, Citi and Wells Fargo report
โข Wednesday: September CPI
โข Thursday: TSMC, the real AI demand check
โข Oct 21: Tesla earnings