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The US launched new strikes on Iran early Wednesday after three merchant ships were hit in the Strait of Hormuz, and revoked the license allowing Iranian oil sales that was part of the interim deal. A US official called it "punishment" and said "it won't be over for a bit", describing the strikes as not proportional. Iran's top diplomat said Tehran won't resume talks. Weeks of bleeding war premium out of the market snapped back in a single session.
Crude oil $CL is the clean directional move, ripping to near $73 off the $67 base. Brent settled 3% higher at $74.16 and WTI +2.8% to $70.44, then both extended after the US pulled Iran's oil license, Brent popping to $76 and WTI to $72.25 after hours. The waterway handles roughly 20% of the world's oil traffic, so the supply premium is back on fast.
$NQ and $ES rolled over hard from Monday's record highs at 30,094 and 7,602, stair-stepping lower all session and sitting near the lows into the reopen. $Gold is the surprise, fading rather than catching the usual haven bid, slipping from $4,192 toward $4,102 as a firmer dollar and the oil-led inflation angle offset the safe-haven flow. Watch whether the strikes escalate further or the market fades it like the earlier flare-ups.
The US launched new strikes on Iran early Wednesday after three merchant ships were hit in the Strait of Hormuz, and revoked the license allowing Iranian oil sales that was part of the interim deal. A US official called it "punishment" and said "it won't be over for a bit", describing the strikes as not proportional. Iran's top diplomat said Tehran won't resume talks. Weeks of bleeding war premium out of the market snapped back in a single session.
Crude oil $CL is the clean directional move, ripping to near $73 off the $67 base. Brent settled 3% higher at $74.16 and WTI +2.8% to $70.44, then both extended after the US pulled Iran's oil license, Brent popping to $76 and WTI to $72.25 after hours. The waterway handles roughly 20% of the world's oil traffic, so the supply premium is back on fast.
$NQ and $ES rolled over hard from Monday's record highs at 30,094 and 7,602, stair-stepping lower all session and sitting near the lows into the reopen. $Gold is the surprise, fading rather than catching the usual haven bid, slipping from $4,192 toward $4,102 as a firmer dollar and the oil-led inflation angle offset the safe-haven flow. Watch whether the strikes escalate further or the market fades it like the earlier flare-ups.
Tech led the post-holiday session and the chips did the work today.
$NQ paced the tape with the Nasdaq 100 up 1.3%, and the Dow closed at a record 53,056 for its first push above 53K. $ES is pinned right at 7,600 into the Asia reopen.
The rally was semiconductor-driven, AMD +6.6%, Broadcom +3.7% on an extended Apple partnership, Micron and Intel both green, all bid ahead of Samsung's sales update and SK Hynix news Friday. Small caps joined too, with the Russell reclaiming 3K.
The dovish backdrop is still doing the heavy lifting. The soft 57K NFP knocked September hike odds down and Warsh signalling the Fed follows the market keeps yields cooperative, so risk stays supported across the board for now.
$CL is soft at $68.6, still unable to reclaim $70 cleanly, with OPEC+ lifting output a fifth straight month and the Strait fully reopened keeping crude on its own supply story, detached from the equity bid.
$Gold is holding firm just under $4,200, quietly keeping its breakout intact even with stocks ripping, the one asset respecting the fatter geopolitical tail.
$MSTR confirmed offloading 3,588 BTC for $216M, the first real dent in the never-sell thesis after adopting a monetization framework to fund dividends. However, $BTC answered with a light saber candle on the daily, flushed on the headline then recovered the entire wick to sweep 64.7K into a fresh high.
Now parked on 64K, which stacks the put wall and HVL at the same level, with the 65K call wall as the last ceiling overhead. Front 0DTE net GEX +45.84M, the strongest long gamma reading of the whole run, so dealers are pinning and the tape stays orderly into settle.
Hold 64K and 65K is the final wall before open air. Lose it and the wick fills back toward the flush lows.
Chart: https://t.co/cURSQOmbce
Tech led the post-holiday session and the chips did the work today.
$NQ paced the tape with the Nasdaq 100 up 1.3%, and the Dow closed at a record 53,056 for its first push above 53K. $ES is pinned right at 7,600 into the Asia reopen.
The rally was semiconductor-driven, AMD +6.6%, Broadcom +3.7% on an extended Apple partnership, Micron and Intel both green, all bid ahead of Samsung's sales update and SK Hynix news Friday. Small caps joined too, with the Russell reclaiming 3K.
The dovish backdrop is still doing the heavy lifting. The soft 57K NFP knocked September hike odds down and Warsh signalling the Fed follows the market keeps yields cooperative, so risk stays supported across the board for now.
$CL is soft at $68.6, still unable to reclaim $70 cleanly, with OPEC+ lifting output a fifth straight month and the Strait fully reopened keeping crude on its own supply story, detached from the equity bid.
$Gold is holding firm just under $4,200, quietly keeping its breakout intact even with stocks ripping, the one asset respecting the fatter geopolitical tail.