un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place

Eccentric island resident | PhD Epidemiology | Analytics director at | Making TidierPlots.jl ( in #julialang

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

This makes total sense once you realize atlassian has to use jira and linear gets to use linear

[Gergely Orosz @GergelyOrosz]

One of the biggest mind-bends is this:

Atlassian, the creator of JIRA, founded 23 years ago is NOT profitable. This is despite generating $4.6B in revenue (!!)

Linear, founded in 2019, building “the modern JIRA for startups/scaleups” IS profitable.

Make it make sense

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@pitdesi

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@OisinDuffy15 The average video game story is terrible - being “as well written as a marvel movie” puts a game in the top 10% at least

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@octonion 2, assuming the bet pays the same for either option - 2 is more likely if there is any difference in skill

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@waitbutwhy The respondent is half of the

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@Jonathan_Blow If your idea of programming is googling what you want to do +stackoverflow and pasting shit into your IDE until it work then LLMs speed you up

Otherwise they just create a lot of sneaky bugs for you to fix later

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@tunguz If there’s no cap on what “really advanced” means, there’s no cap on its value

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@wanyeburkett @fromavineleaf Building a foundation isn’t particularly difficult if you use ICF - I did it before/during undergrad as a summer job. Like building a big LEGO house

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@wordgrammer Neat theory - explains why everyone has also heard of all the people that went to school with von Neumann perfectly

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@tenobrus @duntsHat It’s not - depending on your age, you probably face the risk of the button (a one percent chance of one of the 20 people closest to you dying) approximately every 2-3 months

Still think button is bad but people have bad intuitions about tail probability

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@levie No chance he wrote this

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@gorgonigal @tunahorse21 A true story, unfortunately

And I’ve only ever taught university students

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@TrungTPhan basically anything that Excel can do and Google Sheets can't is something you shouldn't be doing in either

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

Some of them are simply not useful for deciding whether a relationship is causal - i'm thinking of analogy (this one was just never a good idea), strength (if anything, for modern problems, smaller effects are more plausibly causal), specificity (most diseases have multiple causes, and many exposures can cause multiple diseases - this one is just outdated), consistency (multiple estimates give us a better estimate of the association that is being estimated but is not really evidence for causality) ...

I just think in general they're a product of their time and the types of problems epidemiologists were concerned with then. Cutting some of the less relevant ones seems long overdue

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@ggkuhnle @EpiEllie I think they should just be discarded at this point but Temporality at least can definitely bring definitive evidence against causality

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@DeanBaker13 Hard to untangle the real cause here since the true answer to all of these “favors democrats” - need some contrasting statements where the true statement makes democrats look bad

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

I swear if I get one more call from Google asking me to discuss my cloud needs I'm migrating everything to AWS out of pure spite

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@tunguz Not a criticism of the people doing that - just a symptom of someone overseas making decisions about what people need in a culture they don’t understand

[un-monitored, @randy.pub in the good place @randyboyes]

@tunguz Probably - I spent a few months in Sudan in the 00’s and saw quite a few “emergency tents” being used to dry out donated grain to be used to make alcohol