Pauls Raudseps

Dzīvoju Latvijā, rakstu komentārus žurnālam Ir

[Pauls Raudseps @raudseps]

Četri mēneši līdz vēlēšanām. Novembrī sanākušie nedrīkst aizmirst - vēl nekas nav beidzies.

[Pauls Raudseps @raudseps]

Vai @AndrisKulbergs domā, ka esošā Saeima apstiprinās jaunu valdību jau 5. oktobrī? Vai arī valdība pēc vēlēšanām nestrādās? Visdrīzāk tā ir vnk neuzmanības kļūda. Tomēr izrādās, ka tā matemātika nemaz nav tik ļoti vienkārša. 2/2

[Pauls Raudseps @raudseps]

Šis samulsināja. PM saka, ka valdībai palikušas 88 darba dienas, tai skaitā - oktobrī tikai 2. Taču pēc vēlēšanām jaunā Saeima sanāk tikai novembra 1. otrdienā (Satversmes 12. pants), un valdība turpina strādāt, līdz Saeima apstiprina jaunu valdību. 1/2
https://t.co/JzAeJZxY75

[Žurnāls IR @irLV]

Jaunajā "Ārskatā" "Ir" komentētāji @AivarsOzo un @raudseps spriež, kāpēc Putins saasina retoriku pret Eiropas valstīm. Viņi diskutē arī par Izraēlas operācijām pret "Hezbollah" Libānā un citām aktualitātēm.

🔗 https://t.co/DtxAdI8ATT

#SIF_MAF2025

[Pauls Raudseps @raudseps]

*Masūds Garahhani

[Pauls Raudseps @raudseps]

Gaidām, ka Norvēģijas Stortinga prezidents Masuds Garahani rīt izsludinās brīvdienu 🥉🇳🇴

[James Timberlake @24_architect]

@Mylovanov Sounds like the @DeptofWar under #Hegseth a cosplaying appearance ‘czar’ who believes performance is secondary to ‘looking the part.’

[Žurnāls IR @irLV]

Kā vērtēt jaunās valdības ministrus? Vai deklarācija ir izpildāma? Kāds ir baļķis Zemkopības ministrijas acī? Par šiem jautājumiem jaunajā “Šķiltavā” diskutē “Ir” kolēģi Ieva Jakone,@raudseps un @AivarsOzo.

🔗 https://t.co/dpyX0EMG3g

[Jay in Kyiv @JayinKyiv]

Russia's land bridge to Crimea is no more.

Videos like this are now coming in every 20 minutes.

Berdyansk.

[Florida Panthers @FlaPanthers]

SANDIS ARE YOU SERIOUS 🤯

[Caolan @CaolanReports]

What Ukraine is doing right now is working. I’ve been speaking to units recently and it seems the Russian southern front is in a dire situation. The main highway that supplies Kherson and Crimea has been totally cut. I’ve not seen it this bad for the Russians and it seems they literally have no way to stop this.

Russian military bloggers are going nuts. Analysts have stated outright that logistics across Zaporizhzhia and Kherson oblasts are completely disrupted. Ukrainian drones are striking rail junctions, fuel trains and supply convoys on a daily basis. Crimea is already facing fuel shortages and restrictions on basic goods. The land corridor Moscow spent years building is falling apart under sustained pressure.
In Oleshky, Enerhodar and other occupied towns near the front, Ukrainian drones have been constantly destroying Russian drone teams. I’ve been shown videos of this today’s

These are the same units that turned the killing of civilians into an open sport known as the human safari. They hunted people at bus stops, in markets and in farm fields with FPV drones fitted with explosives. Now they are being taken out at scale.

At the same time Ukrainian long-range systems are striking the very military facilities Russian state media once showed off with pride. Oil storage sites, command posts and radar stations in occupied Crimea and the rear areas are burning. This level of sustained damage to Russian rear infrastructure has not been seen since the beginning of the full-scale invasion.

Inside Russia the panic is obvious and spreading . Military bloggers are openly discussing the risk of a major Ukrainian breakthrough, possibly through the dried-out basin of the Kakhovka reservoir where the terrain has changed dramatically.

They are warning that if Ukrainian forces exploit the gaps created by the logistics collapse, Russian positions could unravel quickly. Reinforcements would have to be rushed in under constant drone attack, and the routes are already compromised.

If Ukraine continues this tactic, it’s going to be the worst year on record for Russia. They literally have no way to stop this.

[Žurnāls IR @irLV]

Latvijas Ārpolitikas institūta vadītāja Una Bērziņa-Čerenkova un "Ir" komentētājs @raudseps "Ārskatā" analizē, vai Trampa un Putina vizītēm Pekinā bija rezultāti. Viņi diskutē arī par ASV pošanos režīma maiņai Kubā un citām aktualitātēm.

https://t.co/ylpMf36K2R

#SIF_MAF2025

[Rob Lee @RALee85]

"Virtually all major oil refineries in central Russia ‌have been forced to halt or scale back fuel output following Ukrainian drone attacks in recent days, according to official data and sources.

The combined capacity of refineries ​that have fully or partially halted operations exceeds 83 million metric ⁠tons per year, or around 238,000 tons per day. That accounts ​for around one quarter of Russia's total refining capacity, according to data and ​sources who spoke on condition of anonymity...

One of Russia's largest refineries, Kirishi, with capacity of 20 million metric tons per year, has been fully shut since May 5, according to the ⁠sources."
https://t.co/szbYnTfIka

[Žurnāls IR @irLV]

Vai dažus mēnešus pirms vēlēšanām sastiķēta valdība varēs radīt stabilitāti laikā, kad praktiski katru dienu Latvijas austrumos tiek izplatīti brīdinājumi par dronu ielidošanu? Par to "Šķiltavā" diskutē kolēģi Baiba Litvina, @raudseps un @AivarsOzo.

🔗 https://t.co/Naj74LKzXk

[Acyn @Acyn]

Maddow: So in January, Trump buys hundreds of thousands of dollars of stock in Nvidia. Then a week later, his commerce department approves the sale of Nvidia chips to China. 

Also in January, Trump buys between 50,000 and $100,000 worth of stock in AMD. One week after he buys it, his commerce department approves AMD doing business in China as well. 

The following month, in February, Trump buys millions of dollars worth of stock in Dell. Nine days after he buys millions of dollars worth of stock in Dell, Trump veers off script in a speech in Georgia to tell the crowd literally, quote, go out and buy a Dell computer. 

Then in March, Judd Legum at Popular Information reports that Trump repeatedly buys up Thermo Fisher stock, and then he goes and visits Thermo Fisher on a presidential visit and praises the company.

That same day, Trump bought hundreds of thousands of dollars of stock in Apple. And then that same day he bought the stock, he did another event where he singled out Apple and Apple CEO Tim cook for praise. Apple a great company.

Then after that, Trump buys Micron stock. The very next day, he calls into the Fox News channel and tells them Micron is one of the hottest companies.

CNBC reporting Trump makes seven separate purchases of Palantir stock. Hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of Palantir stock. Then he gets on truth social and praises Palantir.

[PStrautins @PStrautins]

Latvijas bruto valsts parāds ir ~47% no IKP, labi zināms skaitlis. Finanšu ilgstspējas vērtēšanai svarīgāks būtu neto parāda rādītājs, šo rādītāju, atšķirībā no OECD valstu vairākuma, Latvija nepublicē. Sintētiskā gudrība vērtē, kas tas varētu būt ap 35% no IKP. Jo mazāks, jo labāk, bet tā nav mūsu lielākā problēma. Ļoti, ļoti tālu no tā.

[Giorgi Revishvili @revishvilig]

Estonia's Foreign Intelligence Chief Kaupo Rosin:

Russian President Vladimir Putin has few good options in Ukraine with his armed forces unable to advance significantly on the battlefield while Western sanctions are chipping ​away at his resources. 1/7

[Andy Schneider @AndySch64494719]

Bilder aus dem gestrigen Moskau zeigen klar, das ua auch von prognostizierte Szenario, dass die Ukraine auch ohne Taurus und Tomahawks Moskau früher oder Später erreichen können wird ,ist eingetroffen. Auch zeigt es das Selenskyjs Dekret die Parade in Moskau nicht anzugreifen

[Žurnāls IR @irLV]

Kāpēc Stārmera pozīcijas pasliktinājušās tik strauji? To jaunajā “Ārskatā” analizēja vēsturniece Una Bergmane un “Ir” komentētājs @raudseps. Viņi apskata arī somu reakciju uz dronu trauksmi Helsinkos un Putina nožēlojamo “uzvaras dienu”.

🔗 https://t.co/KrAiF45SGq

#SIF_MAF2025

[Edīte Brikmane 🇺🇦🇱🇻🇹🇼 @editeu]

Vēsturnieks, pēcdoktorantūras pētnieks Sodertornas Universitātē Kārlis Sils: "Ja mēs rūpīgāk sekojam līdzi procesiem, tad ieraugām, ka autoritāro režīmu it kā izslavētā efektivitāte salīdzinājumā ar demokrātiju visbiežāk izrādās tikai mīts. Šādu mītu ir arī iespējams uzturēt, tikai pateicoties preses cenzūrai, kas neļauj žurnālistiem ziņot par valsts pārvaldes kļūdām, neizdarību un korupciju – negatīvām parādībām, kuras zeļ un plaukst ikvienā autoritārā iekārtā. Tikmēr, jo ilgāk šādi režīmi atrodas pie varas, jo efektīvāki tie kļūst tikai vienam mērķim – autoritārā vadoņa noturēšanai pie varas." Viedoklis, kāpēc Latvija nonāca līdz 1934. gada 15. maijas apvērsumam @LV_portals https://t.co/ah9yxI4gP5