I opet, na stranu sve, raspravljaćemo se oko igre i taktike, hvaliti i kuditi i ovo i ono, ali u mojoj profesionalnoj karijeri nije postojao bolji moment od ulaska na SoFi stadion jučer.
Barbell strategy for killing it in an age of superhuman AI:
Simultaneously get as close to AND stay as far away from AI as humanly possible.
1. Get close — play with AI models, use them to help you think, ask them to teach you about the world, get them to help you create, work with them to write code, understand what makes them tick, embed them into your everyday life, have fun.
2. Stay far away — learn to tell stories, make eye contact, build a team, lead with courage, connect far-flung ideas, build lifelong friendships, debate persuasively, think forbidden thoughts, handwrite ideas, confess your fears, fall in love.
Spend less time trying to master mental transformations that are purely mechanical — building spreadsheets, analyzing trades, balancing accounts, writing code by hand, following playbooks, searching for needles in haystacks. These are the emerging no-man's land, squarely the domain of AI.
Venture to the extremes. That’s where all the fun is anyway.
Today is White Armband Day, a day on which we remember the victims of the crimes committed in Prijedor. Those who were singled out and had to mark their homes. Those who experienced concentration camps and the horrors within. Learn more here: https://t.co/XXWgXabdZK
Germany is in panic over Chinese companies taking over its markets at home, abroad and in China. Having spent quite some time in China in the 2010s, I can’t help but thinking back to the arrogance and quite frankly racism of German expat businesses people. Chinese engineers with Ivy League degrees speaking fluent English and German looked down upon by German engineers with a degree from some German university, unimpressive English and less than two sentences of Chinese. The Germans didn’t see it coming because they couldn’t imagine Chinese people becoming better at what they are doing than themselves. An industry insider told me at the time how keen Chinese entrepreneurs were to collaborate with German car companies on EV development. But all the Germans worried about was they are going to steal our IP. Well, here we are.
https://t.co/ZNNP7Wp3dD
Suđenje Dušku Tadiću predstavljalo je mnogo više od procesuiranja jednog ratnog zločinca. Bio je to prvi pokušaj da se objasni mehanika zla. Genocid i zločin nikada ne počinje masovnom grobnicom. Počinje riječima, sastancima, plebiscitima, šaputanjem po kafanama, barikadama, nacionalnim velikosrpskim romantizmom, mitovima i rečenicom: ‘Moramo se zaštititi od njih’. A onda jednog majskog jutra osvaneš u Prijedoru, u gradu u kojem ti preko razglasa kažu da na kuću okačiš bijeli čaršaf. Od tog časa više nisi čovjek. Meta si.
Nikola Krstic
Mnogo štošta znamo o ratovima devedesetih u Bosni, Hrvatskoj ili na Kosovu, ali vrlo malo o tome šta se dešavalo u Sloveniji nakon što je ona proglasila svoju nezavisnost. Andraž Rožman nam osvetljava vrlo mračnu stranu slovenačke države koja je sprovela etničko čišćenje kroz birokratiju i tako uništila život 25.671 osobi (Srbi, Bosanci, Crnogorci, Albanci...), njihovim porodicama i okruženju tako što im je poništila identitet.
Andraž kroz mnoštvo ispovesti i intervjua ljudi koji su taj zločin osetili na svojoj koži donosi jedan vrlo razarajući mozaik o potonuću ljudskosti. Njihove priče su duboko emotivne, potresne, pomalo i crnohumorne, međutim, one su i nadahnjujuće, motivišuće i poprilično ohrabrujuće da čak i kada deluje da su sve lađe potonule – potrebno je nastaviti sa guranjem u životu. Međutim, lako je to pričati i pisati iz ove pozicije, ali ovi ljudi, čiji glasovi se čuju u ovoj knjizi, deluju kao da su se borili sa vetrenjačama, dok su se u stvari borili za sopstveni život, jer im je giljotina sve vreme visila nad glavom.
Lidija Dimovska to vrlo koncizno u svom pogovornom tekstu objašnjava: „A kako li je tek kada te izbrišu potpuno? Ne samo na poslu, u profesiji, umetnosti ili nauci, već u svemu tome zajedno, kad izbrišu tvoj identitet, tvoj integritet, tvoj život od a do š, kad izbrišu tvoj JMBG, adresu, dom, egzistenciju, kad izbrišu tvoje planove, snove, susrete, odnose, puteve? Kad probuše tvoju ličnu kartu i time probuše tvoje biće, telo, dušu? I tako probušenom ti ne ponude prvu pomoć, iako krvariš iz tih rupa i polako umireš pred očima krvnika. Iza tebe je čitav red ljudi koji će na isti način biti izbušeni. Toliko si zbunjen i u bolovima da im čak ni ne kažeš da odu kući. Jer ni ne znaš da ih čeka isto kao tebe. Veruješ da si sam kriv, da si rupe možda zaslužio.“
U tom vakuumu, njihovi životi su se pretvarali u preživljavanje u džungli, bili su obeleženi, progonjeni, ponižavani, vređani, uplašeni i u potpunosti izgubljeni u magli novonastale države koja je ovu grupu ljudi želela da dovede do linije odustajanja od samog života.
„Teško je razumeti da neki čovek poništi identitet drugog čoveka, a da pritom ne pomisli na posledice poništenog čoveka. Izbrisani stanovnici Slovenije trebalo bi da se zovu ’poništeni bušilicom’. Iz svih njih, bez obzira na to da li su živi ili mrtvi, da li su im vratili status ili ne, da li su dobili odštetu ili ne, krv kaplje, a trauma se prenosi na njihove potomke“, piše Dimovska.
Važno je pričati i znati o ovom zločinu, jer se nalazi, između ostalog, u temelju slovenačke države nakon krvavog raspada Socijalističke Federativne Republike Jugoslavije, što je očigledno trend za, maltene, sve zemlje nastale nakon tog kolapsa.
There's no doubt that the world can consume tokens as fast as they're produced, even in the most maximalist infrastructure buildup scenarios imaginable. That's not the question. The question is whether the economic value of those tokens can match their total cost of production.
I think there’s a misconception about how AI will break and change things.
The Mythos hype has convinced people that AI is about to be so advanced that it can overcome our great cybersecurity defenses. It’ll creat new zero-days and use them to attack everything.
And that it’ll be so smart that it can out-innovate our brilliant companies and genius human workers. So it’ll replace hundreds of thousands of companies and millions of workers by exceeding their quality.
I think that’s wrong.
The reality is that most companies are very poorly run. And their human workforces are extremely mediocre. The company vision isn’t clear. It’s hard to sell the product. And most of the workforce just tries to do as little as possible to earn their pay. And it’s been this way for decades.
The only reason existing companies and workforces have survived this long is because most of their competition is just as bad.
With cybersecurity, it’s not that everyone is so secure and there just aren’t any attackers smart enough to bypass their defenses. Most companies are actually easy for an a decent attacker to breach if they applied their focus and attention for a few days or weeks.
So, people in general, including most people in AI, are thinking that human companies and workforces and cyber defenses are at 9.5/10. And Mythos is a 9.7 out of 10!
In fact our current state of running everything, from companies to cybersecurity, is more like a 3/10.
And AI for running a business, doing knowledge work, and attacking companies, is about to come in at a 5. Or a 6. And then a 7.
But with the crucial difference that the 5 can be spread and scaled across the entire internet/world very quickly.
A 9 attacker in 2019 could only hit very few companies. A level 9 attacker can now/soon build a level 7 AI Harness to smash millions of companies that have level 3 defenses.
And it’s the same with human worker replacement. An AI that’s competency level 7 at doing general knowledge work isn’t all that impressive. But it’s revolutionary if it’s going up against level 5 human workers who are costing the company 20x what they’d pay for the AI.
My takeaway and recommendation:
Don’t think of the current state of things as a 9 that needs a level 10 AI to surpass it.
As a species, we’re at a 3. In most things. It’s rather a miracle anything works at all.
And here comes AI at a 5.
5 isn’t great. It’s weak and flawed too. But it CRUSHES a 3.
And this is the worst version it’ll ever be. Maybe it’s a 6 in 2027. Or an 8 in 2029. Who knows what those numbers would ever mean.
But humans took thousands of years to go from 1 to 2, and then centuries to go from 2 to 3. So humans aren’t going suddenly jump to a 6 to counter AIs at a 5.
This is why we should take AI a whole lot more seriously, in general.
It’s not competing with the best of us humans, or the best us humans can offer.
It’s competing with what we have been able to piece together so far: which is a hobbled-together and fragile mess.
It’s not 9.5 vs 9.7. It’s 3 vs 5/6/7.
@IsabellaMWeber Besonders sichtbar bei:
- Energie
- Wohnen
Und unsere Reaktion? Preisdeckel und Mangelverwaltung.
Die eigentliche Frage bleibt: Warum reden wir so wenig über die Angebotsseite?
3/3
He said the commercial race FORCED us into a premature deployment of a technology we barely understand, and the window to get alignment right before the next generation of agents shows up is two to four years.
The CEO of Google DeepMind just admitted that if the decision had been his, we would've cured cancer before anyone ever used ChatGPT.
And that's not even the scariest thing he said on a recent interview.
Demis Hassabis is one of the most important people alive in AI.
He won the Nobel Prize last year for AlphaFold, the system that cracked the 50 year protein folding problem. 3 million scientists now use his tool. Almost every new drug being developed will touch it at some stage.
In a new interview, he was asked about the moment ChatGPT launched and Google went into "code red." His answer was one of the most revealing things any AI leader has ever said on the record:
"If I'd had my way, I would have left AI in the lab for longer. Done more things like AlphaFold. Maybe cured cancer or something like that."
Read that again.
The man running Google's entire AI division is publicly saying the commercial AI race we're all living through was a MISTAKE. That the industry got hijacked by a chatbot when it could have been solving the biggest problems in science and medicine.
His vision was simple:
Build AI slowly, carefully, like CERN. Use it to crack root node problems one at a time. Cancer. Energy. New materials.
Let humanity benefit from real breakthroughs while the foundational science was figured out over a decade or two.
Then ChatGPT dropped in November 2022 and everything changed.
Demis described what happened next as getting locked into a "ferocious commercial pressure race" that none of the labs can escape from. On top of that, the US vs China dynamic added geopolitical pressure.
The result is everyone sprinting toward products instead of breakthroughs, shipping chatbots while the scientific opportunity gets buried under marketing cycles and quarterly earnings.
But he's not saying progress isn't happening...
He's saying the progress got redirected away from the things that actually matter most.
And then it got even scarier:
Because when Demis was asked what he worries about with AI, he laid out two threats.
The first is what everyone talks about: Bad actors using AI for harm. Terrorist groups. Hostile nation states. Cyberattacks at scale.
But that's not the threat he's most worried about.
His second worry is AI itself going rogue. Not today's models. The models coming in the next two to four years as the industry enters what he calls "the agentic era."
Systems that can complete entire tasks autonomously. Systems that are increasingly capable and increasingly hard to control.
His exact words:
"How do we make sure the guardrails are put in place so they do exactly what they've been told to do, and there's no way of them circumventing that or accidentally breaching those guardrails? That's going to be an incredibly hard technical challenge if you think about how powerful and smart and capable these systems eventually get."
A Nobel Prize winner who runs one of the 3 most advanced AI labs on Earth just said publicly that within two to four years, we're entering a phase where AI alignment becomes a real problem, and the technical challenge of solving it is enormous.
And almost nobody is paying enough attention.
He called for international cooperation between labs, AI safety institutes, and academia to tackle the problem. He said this is the thing even the experts aren't thinking about enough.
He said the only way to get through the AGI moment safely is if everyone starts treating this with the seriousness it deserves.
Most AI CEOs give you careful PR answers about "responsible development" and move on.
Demis said something different...
He said the commercial race FORCED us into a premature deployment of a technology we barely understand, and the window to get alignment right before the next generation of agents shows up is two to four years.
If the man who built the system that might cure cancer is telling you he wishes it had happened first, maybe we should listen to what he says is coming next.
There was a plan for this boy never to be born, for my own children never to be born, for any of our children never to be born. Their laughter is our greatest revenge.