New episode out now 🎙️
This week, @jam_croissant and I are joined by @marvinjbarth of @ThematicMarkets for a lively and insightful debate on how the US navigates its debt burden going forward.
🎬 Watch the full video now:
https://t.co/kj43SQIn9S
Weird how people will say it’s delusional to think the Venezuelan oil can replace the Canadian oil being shipped to the US…but no one ever talks about how delusional it is to think that if Canadian oil doesn’t get shipped to the US it will instead get shipped somewhere else.
Everybody is about to find out why Bessent & team fed Druck that AI slop & put him up to the WSJ 🗞️ OpEd….
Warsh will now inevitably get asked about the OpEd @ Jackson Hole 🕳️… & to everyone’s surprise 😮, he will answer along the lines of…
“I think Druck has a point, we should let the market set rates, & if they are going to move higher 📈, Congress needs to begin to listen to what’s the market is saying & enforce more fiscal discipline!”
After an initial hawkish move, w/ the 30-year yields jumping, bonds will stabilize & the WSJ will begin to discuss how Warsh Is restoring credibility to the Fed & the dollar 💵 & actually forcing discipline to control long-run inflation risk.
But, as I have said before, this is all just an elaborate GOOD COP👮/BAD COP👮♂️routine.
(I ask you, do you really think Druckenmiller & Warsh think austerity is the answer?? Do you really think Trump & Bessent brought in Warsh to actually enforce monetary discipline??)
@BillAckman@NYCMayor Imagine a seed salesman comes to your town and wants to sell you seeds. He says you can plant the seeds and grow wheat, corn, apples, oranges, avocados and many other fruits and vegetables.
The townfolk then kill the seed salesman and eats all the seeds.
That's NYC.
Would-be defenders of capitalism: socialism is zero-sum, but capitalism is positive-sum.
And the defining essential feature of capitalism is competition(!)
"It's all oil prices -- they're going back up!" Inflation forecasters now oil traders. The real story in CPI is the continued overstatement of shelter costs. Core still coming down. Not a popular narrative, but correct:
Too many people buying VIX, VIX futures leveraged VIX and VIX calls to head to portfolio with more tech than the S&P 500 and they’re finding that it doesn’t inoculate them from negative alpha and that’s why you have so much selling pressure in the VIX by people who bought it mistakenly
🚨 Zohran Mamdani’s New York City is drawing heavy backlash after an MTA train was wrapped in the Iranian regime’s flag on America’s 250th birthday.
The move has sparked widespread criticism, with many seeing it as a slap in the face to America.
The train on the F line was wrapped as part of promotions tied to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but the timing on July 4th has fueled outrage over the optics in Mamdani’s city.
This is the kind of thing that makes people wonder what kind of leadership is really running New York right now.
Spread the truth far and wide!
#MamdaniNYC #IranianFlag
"'Gays for Gaza?' If a gay person goes to a Muslim country, they will be stoned to death. Feminists for 'Palestine'? If a feminist goes to Palestine, she will be beaten and forced to marry a Muslim man."
He's 100% correct.