Richard Bailey

[GET A GRIP @docrussjackson]

Nigel Farage knows nothing about the real causes of white English working class boys underperforming. Unlike Farage, I was one. I left school at 16 with one 'O' Level, in Art. Farage attended one of the most expensive schools on earth.

The best expert evidence says white working-class boys in England tend to do worse at school mainly because poverty, gender and place combine in a particularly damaging way.

The biggest driver by far is socio-economic disadvantage: boys from low-income white families are much more likely to fall behind than better-off white pupils, and they often do worse than disadvantaged pupils from several other ethnic groups too.

A big part of the problem starts early. Many disadvantaged white boys are already behind in language, reading and writing by primary school, and those early literacy gaps then affect performance across most subjects. Boys also tend to do worse than girls in English, which pulls down overall results. Experts repeatedly point to weak literacy as one of the clearest and most important reasons for later low attainment.

Place matters as well. White disadvantaged boys are heavily concentrated in some coastal, ex-industrial and isolated areas where schools may struggle more, transport and enrichment opportunities are weaker, and there are fewer obvious routes into professional jobs.

This helps explain why the issue is not the same everywhere: some schools and areas with very similar intakes do much better than others, which shows the outcomes are not inevitable.

Family background matters too, but the evidence is often misunderstood. Researchers do find that parental engagement and educational capital are important, but that does not mean parents do not care. It usually means poorer families may have less time, confidence, money or familiarity with the education system, and may be less able to help children navigate school, university or career routes.

Studies also suggest many low-income parents start with high hopes for their children, but become less confident over time as barriers mount.

Another theme is that many white working-class boys see weaker returns from academic routes. University can look expensive, unfamiliar and uncertain, especially in places where good jobs do not obviously follow from qualifications. Some boys are more likely to enter lower-level vocational routes, but less likely to use them as a springboard into higher apprenticeships or degree-level study. That means the problem is not only low attainment at 16, but also weaker progression afterwards.

There is also growing evidence that masculine norms, peer pressure, mental health, stereotypes and low expectations from adults can make things worse. But this part of the evidence is less settled than the evidence on poverty, literacy and geography.

There is no strong evidence that the Equality Act has harmed white working-class boys' educational performance. That claim appears often in politics and commentary, but the serious evidence points elsewhere.

The main causes identified by researchers are still poverty, low early literacy, weaker school engagement, exclusion and absence, place, and limited progression routes. Some expert submissions go further and argue that stronger equality duties would help, not hurt, because class disadvantage, race, gender and school practices interact and need to be tackled together. The Act has NOT been shown to be a cause of the problem.

Some question the gap between disadvantaged white boys and disadvantaged non-white boys, which is real, but it is often described far too crudely, especially by populists who strategically use the white working class to set up a polarising 'Us' vs 'Them' narrative.

A lot of public debate uses "working class" when the data are really about a narrower group, usually pupils eligible for free school meals. Within that disadvantaged group, white boys often do worse than several minority ethnic groups, but not all, and the difference is not well explained by simple claims about effort or values.

The best explanations are that poverty seems to hit White British pupils especially hard, and that many disadvantaged white boys are concentrated in places with fewer opportunities, such as some coastal, rural and ex-industrial areas. These places may have weaker labour markets, fewer strong educational networks, and less visible payoff from academic success.

White disadvantaged boys also tend to have very weak early literacy outcomes and very high rates of persistent absence, suspension and exclusion, which then feed back into lower attainment.

Precisely why some disadvantaged non-white groups do better is harder to pin down, but the evidence usually points to different social settings rather than preferential treatment.

Some minority families are more concentrated in urban areas with stronger schools and closer access to universities and transport. Some groups may also have stronger study expectations, tighter peer norms around school, or what researchers call migration selection effects - meaning families who migrated may be unusually motivated or education-focused compared with the average population. That does not mean minority pupils face fewer barriers overall; many still face racism and other disadvantages. It means that class disadvantage does not operate in exactly the same way in every community.

Overall, the most reliable conclusion is that white working-class boys underperform not because of one cultural flaw, and certainly not because of the Equality Act, but because material disadvantage, early literacy problems, local opportunity gaps and weaker progression routes reinforce each other over time.

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

This is a scam I assume? @MartinSLewis

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

@MartinSLewis Did this very thing, starting with Chase as my original burner account. Have made £1100 over the last 18 months, although running out of options now!

[Kenan Malik @kenanmalik]

@DAaronovitch Thanks

[Liverpool FC @LFC]

Our new head coach 📸

[Feargal Sharkey @Feargal_Sharkey]

"Billionaire Trump donor in line to make millions from Thames Water bid."

Meet who is now the de facto owner of Thames Water. It's a tragedy in 3 acts and it does not end well. 👇👇👇

https://t.co/UsYap0AaiG

[Mohamed Salah @MoSalah]

I have witnessed this club go from doubters to believers, and from believers to champions. It took hard work and I always did everything I could to help the club get there. Nothing makes me prouder than that.

Us crumbling to yet another defeat this season was very painful and not what our fans deserve. I want to see Liverpool go back to being the heavy metal attacking team that opponents fear and back to being a team that wins trophies. That is the football I know how to play and that is the identity that needs to be recovered and kept for good. It cannot be negotiable and everyone that joins this club should adapt to it.

Winning some games here and there is not what Liverpool should be about. All teams win games.

Liverpool will always be a club that means a great deal to me and to my family. I want to see it succeed for long after I have moved on.

As I’ve always said, qualifying to next season’s Champions League is the bare minimum and I will do everything I can to make that happen.

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

@MartinSLewis Thought you should be aware that @outfox_energy are misleadingly calling their 'Price Cap Tracker 12M Dual - 5% Minimum Energy Discount - V2' tariff as 'The CHEAPEST Fixed Tariff in the UK for Renewal', when it's actually a discounted price cap tracker

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

@MoneySavingExp Thought you should be aware that @outfox_energy are misleadingly calling their 'Price Cap Tracker 12M Dual - 5% Minimum Energy Discount - V2' tariff as 'The CHEAPEST Fixed Tariff in the UK for Renewal', when it's actually a discounted price cap tracker

[Feargal Sharkey @Feargal_Sharkey]

Brilliant, brilliant exposé by Alex Thomson @alextomo on @Channel4News last night, blowing the lid of the corrupt, and it is corruption of the @EnvAgency allowing water companies to walk away from criminal charges, jail time, unlimited fines and all for nothing more than a slap on the wrist and some blood money paid to local charities.

It's time to put an end to this nonsense, it's time to hold people to account, it's time to send the fat cats to jail.

https://t.co/ph5PFXUph5

[Al Jazeera English @AJEnglish]

Double standards?

Why Iran’s nukes are scrutinised and Israel gets a pass https://t.co/0bm5Yg5kEv

[Hamza Yusuf @Hamza_a96]

Israel ruthlessly carpet bombed Lebanon today, killing at least 180 people and injuring more than 800.

How does the BBC report it?

“Israel says it hit more than 100 command centres and military sites in 10 minutes…”

This is how war crimes are laundered.

[Sarah Kendzior @sarahkendzior]

The paperback of THE LAST AMERICAN ROAD TRIP is out today. This is only a perfunctory announcement. My father died; I'm taking time off. But it's a good book: travelogue, history, memoir. If you like my newsletter, you'll like it. Now it's cheaper! https://t.co/9ngKHdIYvn

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

@y_ury_ They tried the same in Vietnam!

[Assal Rad @AssalRad]

The Onion 🤌🏽

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

@JonTolleyTweets Whoever allowed that advertising board to be stuck right in the middle of the pavement there deserves to be taken out and shot! (OK not literally) Constant menace for pushchairs and wheelchairs on busy shopping days.

[Bernie Sanders @BernieSanders]

One family, the right-wing Trump-aligned Ellisons, will soon control:

TikTok
CBS
CNN
HBO
Discovery Channel
BET
Cartoon Network
Comedy Central
DC Studios
Fandango
Miramax
MTV
Nickelodeon
Paramount
PlutoTV
Showtime
TBS
The CW
TNT
Warner Bros.
And more

This is oligarchy.

[Richard Bailey @rjwbailey]

@MartinSLewis @Ed_Miliband On a fixed rate til June but I suspect the winter is going to be another tough one... The only plus point is that at least we are not being bombed like the poor souls in the Middle East.

[Sarah Kendzior @sarahkendzior]

It's strange that people think Trump's Iran strikes are a personal reaction to his political problems and not 1) directed by Israel 2) approved by both parties, who are both heavily funded by Israel 3) part of a US/Israel plan set in motion in the late 1970s and rehearsed militarily last year.