Rob Levy

former CBOE/CME options MM | on-chain settlement for the win | building AMMs @oddsfi | taking event markets from 0 to 💯 @100sEvents | fair, lit markets for all

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@MarioNawfal Cmon man. You can’t say this is fact. Do better.

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

Claude is down…. again

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@gogogunny The stars are indeed aligned.

[Gunny @gogogunny]

Shayne wasn’t kidding.

Seriously, the timing of Poly’s roll out into short-term up/down markets couldn’t be better. Love to see it.

Some killer contributors building some very exciting twists to these “Hxro” markets on OddsFi.

Close to release.

$HXRO ~> $ODDS

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

Claude: "This isn't working right now. You can try again later"

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@hosseeb muh banks

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@thenarrator LFG

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@barneytheboi no doubt

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@mert Zoink. Scooby Doo theme as it’s Shaggy’s line. They are always unmasking the hidden/shielded. Theme has legs for branding - it’s approachable. “Stay masked” … “Stay shielded”…. Shielded transactions = mystery mode.

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@mert

[ODDSFi @ODDSFi]

As prediction markets demonstrate product-market fit and the iGaming industry seeks new blockchain-native solutions, the demand for fast-resolution, transparent event wagering has never been higher.

OddsFi provides the missing infrastructure layer that both industries have needed: a way to offer short and ultra-short duration events without compromising on transparency, fairness, or economic sustainability.

Welcome to OddsFi🧵👇

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

Congrats B!

[bartosz |🧊 @baalazamon]

Took Meshflow Acquisition Corp public today, @Nasdaq $MESHU

Actively seeking top operators & category-defining cos in infra, fintech, mission-critical sw to take public.

Building something big? Tag your co or DM.

In Abu Dhabi all wk meeting teams & eval opps.

[DCinvestor @DCinvestor]

this explains why much of TradFi is making a full court press all at once to get their customers into crypto. even less likely ones like Vanguard allowing ETFs and Schwab to add native asset trading

while most of CT has resigned itself to a bear market

interesting

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

Seeing signs of more and more alts that are not going down with every down tick in BTC. They’ve been beaten up enough and represent better r/r now. Would be exciting to see solid alts start popping off for real. BTC doesn’t feel like it’s out of the woods yet, but things could get interesting in alts

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@avery_bartlett who’s bearish

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

whether a circuit breaker or something else, the important takeaway is that the state of liquidity is nowhere near where it needs to be for the position sizing and open interest in perps across the exchanges.

it honestly reminded me of the jokes we would make 25 years ago as open outcry market makers in the trading pits, when electronic trading started taking over. we would talk about how easy it would be with electronic markets to press the "stop all quotes" button and walk away from the computer when the shit hit the fan... but when you had 100 guys in the pit... staring the brokers in the eye... when you had a specialist, a DPM, an LMM... you had dependable markets on the worst of days. after 9/11, during flash crashes... stuff wouldn't go to zero in 5 minutes.

looking at the charts of perps from yesterday's event across the biggest exchanges is a complete embarrassment. anyone who says otherwise is kidding themselves. all the multi-billion dollar exchanges... many with their internal market makers... or their close external market maker partners... it was a complete letdown across the board.

i'm sure we'll see some improvements after this unfortunate incident. we can do better. as market makers and exchanges.

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@Mikey0x_ Agree that these won’t scale like other types of PMs but I’m betting there will be some creative liquidity solutions

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

Different flavor of “rugging” in prediction markets. It will hit different. Ackman with honest financial advice for Eric Adams.

[Bill Ackman @BillAckman]

.@JoeBiden convinced himself with the help of those who surrounded him that he could beat @realDonaldTrump in the election.

It took a catastrophic debate for his believers to realize that Biden had no chance to win, but by then it was too late to put forth a viable candidate. The result has been an indelible stain on Biden, his family’s legacy, and his enablers.

Biden’s name has not been uttered in months. He has become worse than irrelevant.

@ericadamsfornyc Mayor Adams’ polls have only gotten worse since he announced his intention to run for reelection, and the betting sites show an even darker picture. And as we know, the betting sites have a much better track record in predicting the future than the polls.

Polymarket now gives Eric a 1% chance of winning and offers a 70-1 payoff for those who want to place a bet on him.

Polymarket gives @andrewcuomo a 15% chance to win and a 7-1 payoff for the win. Andrew’s odds improve dramatically if Eric drops out, and even more with @CurtisSliwa out.

The experts I trust predict the odds shift to approximately 50/50 in a one-on-one Cuomo/Mandami election. If the field narrows soon, the odds get even better for Cuomo.

If I were Eric Adams, I would look at myself in the mirror and ask myself whether I should continue to risk my reputation on a 1/100 moonshot when the alternative is taking the high road and doing what is best for NYC.

I strongly believe that what is best for NYC — Eric stepping aside — is also what is best for Eric Adams. Eric should know that goodwill is a very valuable asset and the alternative is a very costly liability.

Eric staying in the race is a disaster for New York City and a challenging future for him. I would not want to be the person responsible for handing control of the City to @ZohranKMamdani.

The mirror does not lie. Eric, please take a close and hard look.

And to fund your future, you could place a large bet on Andrew Cuomo and then announce your withdrawal from the race. There is no insider trading on Polymarket.

[Dumpster DAO @Dumpster_DAO]

1/ TGE related contracts for $WLFI were deployed over the weekend, including the vesting contract

The deployer also tested adding USDC, USDT, and USD1 Uniswap V3 liquidity for WLFI

[Rob Levy @robbylevy]

@hosseeb Proof of Humanity gonna be big