Robert

Software Engineer, Investing Enthusiast

[Black Panther Capital @BlackPantherCap]

I second this from @investingluc.

The theme structure is half the equation.

The other half is HOW MUCH you put in each one.

Most people get the picks right and still destroy their returns because they size everything equally. 5% across 20 positions. Feels safe. Actually just guarantees mediocrity.

Here’s how I think about sizing within a thematic basket:

Your highest-conviction theme gets your heaviest weight. Not double. Meaningfully heavier. If I genuinely believe AI infrastructure is the defining trade of this decade, my $NBIS and $IREN positions should reflect that belief.

Emerging themes with asymmetric upside get smaller allocations. Still enough to matter if they run. Not so much that a slow start hurts you. $ASTS, $PL, and $ONDS are in that bucket for me right now. Early. Smaller. But if the thesis plays out, the sizing grows with it.

The telecom layer carries a different job entirely. It’s not about maximising upside. It’s ballast. $NOK doesn’t need to 5x. It needs to still be standing when the growth names are getting hit.

Here’s exactly how mine sits right now:

$NBIS = neocloud compute — 16.74%
$IREN = AI infrastructure — 16.17%
$OUST = robotics/lidar — 12.74%
$RKLB = space launch — 11.47%
$CIFR = AI infrastructure — 10.96%
$AAOI = photonics bottleneck — 8.12%
$PNG.V = subsea defense — 8.06%
$ONDS = autonomous defense — 6.35%
$NOK = telecom/AI-RAN — 3.79%
$ASTS = satellite broadband — 2.97%
$PL = earth observation — 2.49%

You’re not trying to make every position equal. You’re trying to make every position INTENTIONAL.

-BP

Not financial advice. Do your own research.

[TopSecretStocks 🤫 @topsecretstocks]

Hype Cycles - Which one do you think hits next? Drop your pick below.

❤️ Like & 🟦 Save

Markets run on narratives. Every few years a new sector catches fire, valuations detach from reality, retail piles in. The pattern never changes, only the sector does.

Here are the major ones from the last 30 years and what might be coming. 🧵👇

[Rastakhiz 🇮🇷 🇺🇸 @sedaye_iran]

A deal is near.

[Not Jerome Powell @alifarhat79]

Trump: I’m attacking Iran. I’m not attacking Iran. I’m attacking Iran. I’m not attacking Iran.

Markets:

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@ChairmansLedger https://t.co/dQIIKGSeXO

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

$onds
$rcat

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

US drone & counter-drone spending could jump from ~$16B (FY26) to over $70B (FY27) — more than a 4x increase, if approved. The FY27 request would normally be greenlit before the fiscal year starts Oct 1, 2026.

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

Goldman Sachs says the AI boom is bigger than investor think.

https://t.co/3nuA9BJ3MP

[The Observer @TheObserverCap]

A lot of significant news for Palladyne AI ($PDYN) in the last few weeks.

Today: exclusive U.S. licensing MoU with Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI), the company that invented loitering munitions 40+ years ago and still leads the category globally. Palladyne gets exclusive U.S. rights to manufacture and market HARPY, HAROP, and Mini-HARPY drones to the U.S. government. Up to 10-year term. They Americanize the systems and add SwarmOS swarming software.

First target: U.S. Army LRPM competition, $100-$200M prototype OTA expected in October 2026. Wolff says Palladyne is competing for 5+ funded DoW programs over the next 12 months.

Operational momentum:
→ Northern Strike 26-2 DoW exercise: SwarmOS demonstrated on four different drone OEM platforms simultaneously, one operator
→ Invited to 5 DoW joint exercises since April 1
→ Multiple new drone OEM SwarmOS partnerships in progress
→ Previously unannounced significant order for the BRAIN X2 flight computer

$PDYN today: ~$300M MC. Q1 2026 revenue $3.5M (+107% YoY), $17M backlog, $43.7M cash. 2026 guidance $24-$27M, implying 357-415% revenue growth.

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@retail_mourinho My age will be higher in 2030 than today.

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@DollarCostAvg It’s exponential and keep going for decades. Model after model. Smater and smarter and smarter.

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@ChairmansLedger

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@Billions777888 Just a stones throw away😁

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@CKCapitalxx @Billions777888 Yes it was him. Want me to ask to unblock you?

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@retail_mourinho What do you think. Good investment?

[Jason's Chips @jasonschips]

Leopold released his 13F and uhh... WHAT IS THIS?

Puts in $SMH $NVDA $ORCL $AVGO $AMD $MU $TSM $ASML

Bro turned into Michael Burry

However, the fact that he was in these positions on March 31st means that the following rally over the next six weeks absolutely obliterated him.

What is happening to Leopold (or what does he think is happening to us)?

[CK Capital @CKCapitalxx]

My favorite names in every sector right now. The full conviction list, three deep in each.

Humanoid Robotics
$AMBA
$OUST
$VPG

AI Infrastructure
$NBIS
$PENG
$CRDO

Defense
$EOS.AX
$MRLN
$KRKNF

Data Center Power
$CEG
$BE
$FCEL

Photonics & Optical
$AAOI
$LITE
$COHR

Memory & Semiconductors
$MU
$MX
$SNDK

Small Cap Data Center
$VIVO
$DGXX
$KEEL

Quantum Computing
$INFQ
$LAES
$IONQ

Satellite & Space
$ASTS
$RKLB
$OPTX

Different sectors. One theme tying them together. Real businesses, real catalysts, and valuations the market has not fully caught up to yet.

This is where I am positioned for the next few years.

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

US drone & counter-drone spending could jump from ~$16B (FY26) to over $70B (FY27) — more than a 4x increase, if approved. The FY27 request would normally be greenlit before the fiscal year starts Oct 1, 2026.

[Robert @robertvankirk29]

@ChairmansLedger I’ve been on X for while. You are already in my top. Agenda free. Sincere. When I read your posts I’m like where did this guy come from. You’re like Batman. Using your experience as strength to help others.

[Retail Mourinho @retail_mourinho]

Watching these levels for the next week:

$AAOI: $130-150
$ASTS: $70–80
$NBIS: $150–170
$ONDS: $9–10
$RKLB: $80–90
$KRKNF: < $5

I would add aggressively.

-RM

[CK Capital @CKCapitalxx]

Friday gave us some of the most amazing buys.

$NOK at $15
$NBIS at $200
$CRDO at $200
$HOOD at $80
$KEEL at $5
$AAOI at $170
$LITE at $850
$PENG at $55
$ADEA at $28

And many more.

Are you a buyer on Monday?