@tkcarter82 so far there isn't much of a correlation. In fact there is a slight inverse relationship (probably spurious).
This is the opposite of what I would expect, the hypothesis being slower times->faster stream->greater Berks advantage
Of the 6,000 races held at HRR since 2019, Berks has beaten Bucks 53.5% of the time. However in the 900 close races (<1 length) the ratio is reversed and Bucks has won 55% of the time
The Thursday and Friday of the 2007 regatta were the slowest since 1999, with a median finishing time each of 8:06. By contrast, finals day in 2018 was the fastest with a median finishing time of 6:36.
The slowest winning time since 1999 at @HenleyRegatta was in 2008, where MH Pauls of @ImperialBoat won a semi-final of the Princess Royal with times of 03:06, 05:23 and 11:25 to the Barrier, Fawley and the Finish respectively.
Hello fellow rowing nerds. I've assembled a DB of all HRR results based on their lovely new machine-readable API. Would anyone care to guess the closest official verdict since 1999?
Why did this happen? We shouldn't blame individuals. As Deming said "apparent differences between people arise almost entirely from action of the system that they work in, not from the people themselves"
Great Britain finish 14th in rowing medal table, having led it at the last three Olympics. First time since 1980 they've come home without a gold and the lowest place on the table since 1972. Six fourth-place finishes, though, show how close they came to a very different ending.
@rebeccacaroe@fatsculler@Mike__Watts@LwtEmmaBird@drewginn that's a very plausible theory, but if that was the case should we not expect to see this effect replicated in other sports? Whereas actually (so far), we seem to be doing quite well on many fronts e.g. Triathlon, Swimming
@LwtEmmaBird I don't know to be honest. But what was different about this cycle compared to previous (esp London-Rio)? That's what confuses me. Why did so many drop out? The numbers did get lower due to COVID, but that's not all of it I don't think.
One further reflection: lots of people dropped out after Rio. But this is only a surface-level explanation. I haven't seen a good explanation as to why this happened. Departing athletes is a feature of every Olympic cycle. Need to apply '5 whys' thinking a bit more
For my part, I hope @BritishRowing and the GB Squad become more open and embrace the wider rowing community again. Things that led to @RowingVoice tweeting the below shouldn't happen again. After all, 'success has many fathers, while defeat is an orphan'
And I completely agree that Josh's outburst begs a very big question: why did he get to the point where he felt that way? It suggests unacknowledged anguish which he should have been able to talk about.
I hope the former rowers acting as mentors to the squad bear that in mind.
I often find James's articles unnecessarily inflammatory or one-track. But this is thoughtful and nuanced.
I saw from the outside the tendency he mentions to remove freedoms bit by bit, as much DTanner's doing as JGrobler or PThompson.
Worth a read.
https://t.co/4oQdCPuWgo
@jayeatman definitely plausible, but being an outsider it's very hard to judge. On M8, I think they performed creditably and actually turned themselves around during the regatta. Could they have beaten the Germans? Maybe, but they were both exceptionally close at WRC2 in May