The Terminal

This is a trading and investing journal, intention is purely educational.
Invest and trade at your own risk!

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

$SPY | Updated Analysis📊
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(Weekly / 1YR)

🟧740 on the SPY Unless markets get a sudden rebound going into the close, this is an unlikely stop. Resistance at this point would be reloading money into the semi trade into Monday

🟨712 on the SPY Most likely would indicate SpaceX Positioning IPO and should bounce upwards mid next week, right before the IPO.

🟥685 on the SPY This scenario is highly probable. Markets are simultaneously positioning for the upcoming IPO season and midterm elections. Expect capital to flow into Defense, Healthcare, and Infrastructure.

🟪Updated Shelf 730 - 720
Added as a potential support shelf following $MRVL’s after-hours bid on its S&P 500 inclusion. While the momentum of the recent selloff makes an immediate halt unlikely, a temporary pause remains a structural possibility. Watch the price action on $MRVL and broader semiconductor equities relative to defensive sectors. If Healthcare ($XLV) and Consumer Staples ($XLP) catch a pre-market bid, expect this support shelf to break down rapidly during Monday’s regular session.

🚨🚨660-665 is most likely Max Pain on the SPY.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@ThierryBorgeat Don't trade.
Invest.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@NoLimitGains I have been saying that about boeing since 2018. People still buy it.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@growthrapidly How much is Google paying them for compute?

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@JUST_KAWS It's all big tech.

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors are higher on the day.

Yes, technology is struggling, but this rotation is over a healthy development.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@MoInvestingHQ Too much debt.
I think it was an additional 40 billion.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

That is awesome.

My GF just started investing last summer, and her portfolio goes up almost everyday. It sometimes irks me she's so diversified.

She picked these herself
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+ Apple (since last August)

+ Churchill Downs, she got it right before the Kentucky Derby. She worked at a horse track for a long time.

+ Johnson & Johnson. Her dad worked for JnJ

+ Walmart (last week)

+ StoneX at about 80.00 (she heard about it while we were watching CNBC)

+ Netflix. She got the low after the split and is still up on this.

+ Nvidia. Her most recent acquisition.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

$CASY |> 🚀
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Behold! The God Candle.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

People who bought less than 1K in Palantir, Amazon, Facebook, Tesla, Google, Microsoft, Walmart, Visa or Nvidia on the IPO. Then just didn't touch it in 5 years, made more than most retail traders who "back up the truck" when the price looks better.

No taxes, no trading, no losing sleep, no reading articles looking for signals that might not exist. You don't even know it will go lower. You do know it will likely be worth more in 5-10 Years. I think Tom Lee is talking about investing, not trading.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@HeroDividend

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@HeroDividend My Uber Driver asked me about Tesla in May of 2022.
I told him it sounded like a great idea.
++

Wonder if he still drives Uber. lol

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@ParikPatelCFA Eroded Capital.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@stockmom 🥱

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@RealRandyMan @juleshyman @YahooFinance How will you know when it bottomed?

I bet people who bought 5 shares off the Facebook IPO, and didn't touch it, made more than anyone "backing up the truck" at the bottom.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

Yes. I am.
1. 1-4 shares is less than my rent.
2. I will get 1-4 more shares if it goes below 70.00
3. It is easier to hold 1-10 shares than 50 shares at 60.00.
4. Are they telling me SpaceX will not be up in 5 Years?
5. Are they trading or Investing?

I think, in 5 years, SpaceX will be up far more than the IPO Price.

I can handle holding 1-10 shares for 5 years, if it is not over 1K total capital invested.

I will not invest more than 500 into SpaceX off its IPO. I could instead try, getting 1-5 shares at the lowest point. But, do I really want to waste the time attempting market analysis on less than 1K invested?

Why not just get 1-5 shares on the IPO day. Then get another 1-5 shares if it follows the typical IPO trading pattern?

The most I can lose is under 1K over 5 years. I will take that chance on an Elon Musk Company, risk/reward favors me.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@BullTheoryio Elizabeth Warren wants to protect me from Elon Musk? 🤣

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

Yes. It's coming.

But try getting access to Quantum Computing.

But....

Nvidia Blackwell super node is very inexpensive compared to Quantum. The best low cost access to Quantum is getting accepted into an advanced CompSci program at UC Berkeley or MIT.

That's still out of reach.

[The Terminal @rtltrdr]

@MssCee @dieworkwear Fix It Again Tony.

[The Hard Cap Guy @21millionways]

Bitcoin Developers Want to Freeze 1.7 Million BTC Belonging to Satoshi 🕵️

The Bitcoin developers are scared of quantum. And they should be. So that's why they came up with BIP-361.
This new proposal would freeze roughly 6.9 million Bitcoin that still sit in quantum-vulnerable addresses. This would include 1.7 million BTC belonging to Satoshi.

People are reading this as fud. I disagree. What happens if the total supply of 21 million is reduced by 6.9 million?
What if there will only ever be 14.1 million BTC?

Much higher.