The most important change in the US government since Trump took office is that it has taken the initiative to jump off the stage of world leader and leave the world to a bunch of villains and dictators. The beacon of human freedom pioneered by Washington, Lincoln, Roosevelt, and Reagan has been lost. The United States is no longer the United States, but has become a second-rate country. Made American Ghetto Again!
2. 身份认同与“文明冲突”的内部化
政治学家 Samuel Huntington 在其晚年著作《我们是谁?》(Who Are We?, 2004)中已有预警。他认为,如果新移民(特别是拉丁裔)不接受以英美新教文化为主的核心价值,美国将面临国家认同的碎片化。当前的危机不仅是移民规模的问题,而是“熔炉效应”的失效。
1. 精英过剩与大众贫困化 (Elite Overproduction & Popular Immiseration)
社会复杂性科学家 Peter Turchin 在其著作《末日:精英、反精英与政治解体的路径》中指出,当社会产生过多的学位持有者和权力竞争者(精英过剩),而底层民众的实际收入停滞(大众贫困化)时,社会不稳定性会剧增。
I believe that: Liberal idealism originated as a progressive vision: by helping the weak, it sought to demonstrate forgiveness and inclusiveness. Its flaw lies in being overly idealistic and ignoring the world’s structural imbalances; Hamas represents a pocket of barbarism—stubborn, greedy, and ignorant. In such cases, tolerance becomes indulgence, and those who offer support become accomplices to brutality. The problem is not human malice, but the vast disparity in levels of civilization; liberal idealism ends up lowering the world’s overall standard of civilization
I read a post and was struck by how mainstream societies around the world condemn Israel for killing tens of thousands of Palestinians, yet speak only lightly about Hamas massacring so many young people in the West. Everyone is pressuring Israel to withdraw its troops and give Palestinians space to live, but they never demand the same of Egypt or other Muslim countries—though such attempts have been made before, resulting in the situation Lebanon faces today.