Goldie

Reggae fan, DJ, Model

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK Reform only got 7.8% of the vote in the Chipping Barnet constituency in last year's general election so getting over 20% in a ward in this constituency is amazing!

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK A Reform win but very rural areas like this one are far from being fertile ground for the party.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK I think the London Tories need to learn the hard way, when they lose every seat in London in the next local elections then they realize their party is toast and will look elsewhere.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@EliteTigers1 @ElectionMapsUK I doubt it, it's just that Green voters are demographically different compared to 2022, their support fluctuates in different areas.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK FindoutNow gave Reform 19% in London the other day so getting 20.5% in a typical London seat is very good.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK @FindoutnowUK Someone needs to tell the Tory voters in north-west London and the ones in Chelsea that they are literally the only ones in the country voting for them!

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK @FindoutnowUK 15% of non-white voters in London would vote for a Reform Mayoral candidate.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK @FindoutnowUK GB's FindOutNow Poll gave Reform 32.7% and this London Poll is at 18.7%. Which means Reform is polling 57% of the national average in London which is similar to 59% achieved in the 2024 GE.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK @techneUK When are we going to get any voting intentions for London? the last poll conducted was back in October and I assume there have been changes since then, plus with the locals in London next year it will be good to know.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@samar1174singh @ElectionMapsUK but they were averaging 12% just before the locals in May 2024, but still very good.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK @techneUK Moreincommon: Reform +3
YouGov: Reform +3
Findoutnow: Reform +4
Techne: Reform +3

The conclusion is that since the local elections Reform's support has gone up by 3% which is probably expected from a very positive result in the locals.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@andrew_lilico Its a bad look, it makes the deal related to the strikes. As India bombs Pakistan, it will make India look less peaceful.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@tomhfh @KitsonJ1 Short term basis doesn't mean 3 years? plus they can renew their visa. The idea of short term in immigration terms is less than 1 year so they won't be shown in the migration figures. This is long term.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@MikeTappTweets @tomhfh With net migration at a historic high people have a right to be sensitive to these deals, its important for the white paper to come forward so we can give Labour a chance and see if migration can fall to pre-covid times.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ValerieFoxxx @Nigel_Farage Existing Tory voters especially the ones residing in central London who are more loyal to their party than to their own partner will be faced the reality that their party is toast and need to make a decision where to go, either to the liberals or Reform, lets hope its the latter!

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@RubbishCourage @LeftieStats I don't know how these polling estimates are produced, but it could be a get starmer out factor, if not then the polling is flawed.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@LeftieStats As a massive reform supporter I cannot genuinely believe reform is at 21%, certainly around a 10-15% figure but not 21% unless there are significant local issues in play here.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@charliemansell @LeftieStats @OpiniumResearch @Survation Dates from 30th April to 2nd May, post-election would start from 2nd May so its 2/3 pre-election poll. We need to see polls starting their fieldwork post 2nd May to see the effects.

[Goldie @ruskinsam]

@ElectionMapsUK What is the highest winning vote share in the elections? My guess is Watling in Hertfordshire - the Tories got 67% of the vote.