@_Dave__White_ Yes I think so. Most retail traders want to turn very little into a lot. Not buy something for $1 that they think should be worth $1.07 (even though they can't really play this game)
@tarunchitra @nope_its_lily X has been updating toward y and will likely continue but bayes shouldn't be autocorrelated but your end party expects it to be reported as if autocorrelation exists
They have taken us for 🤡
@AlamedaTrabucco I mean the ev parameters you've chosen will obviously make one path better but volatile doesn't mean +ev and if it's somewhat closer to marginal the variance drag will eat you
@macrocephalopod There's a bit of a path dependency problem with btc puts though. Deribit settles in only btc meaning if your teenies pay out you are sitting on a ton of worthless btc