@AlohaEd1@DanielSmidstrup Self driving cars (teaching a computer how to drive), alpha fold biggest breakthroughs in biology (solving protein folding probably the biggest biology breakthrough in our lifetime). Automating programming. We’re only like 3 year ish in.
The reason programming is such a big focus right now is to achieve recursive self improvement. Models improving themselves then those improved models improving themselves. The naysayers have no clue how programming is being completely turned on its head. Literally nobody programs by hand anymore. One person is able to do what formally took teams to do. Right now it’s still directed by people, but every couple of months new models come out and the improvement jump is dramatic. We still haven’t reached the limits of our current architectures.
Think about how we solve problems, if you have 10 of the best experts trying to solve something like cancer or whatever, it will probably happen, but it would take along time. Now if you have 10,000 experts working on the problem it would get solved much faster. That’s the kind of order of magnitude speed up that you can apply to pretty much anything you can think of. Right now it’s in a relatively primitive state but the nature of the technology is very scalable. We haven’t really scratched the surface from an architecture perspective. The thing is we can apply that same speed increase to the development of this technology.
@ProfessorPape Honestly it seems like the best outcome at this point, although we will see if this is just more “pretending to have a deal” to sooth the markets or not.
That should be what the conversation is about. I feel like “the way things are done” survival of the fittest ect. Rationales that have worked in a scarcity based system will have to go away. I do think we will go through a phase where we will see the logical conclusion of “of the scarcity paradigm” and how it’s incompatible with having effectively unlimited power. Ultimately it takes a lot for society to change. Most people I talk to say humans will never change, I think it will get to a point where we choose to change or we will destroy ourselves. I get the feeling this isn’t the first time this situation has happened in the universe, and how this is dealt with will decide if we move on to the next chapter phase or not. However burying our heads in the sand really isn’t an option imo.
Ya except it didn’t work, best case scenario is it was delayed in countries that tried to stop it. Although when all the other countries that didn’t “pause” dramatically outperformed them forcing them to adopt it. I do agree who controls this technology is way more important of a conversation than stopping it. Decentralized control seems like the best option (open source like what China is doing).
“Are the rewards worth is” most likely to put this in perspective it’s very possible we will see 1000 years of scientific breakthroughs happen over the next 10-15 years (it’s possible that’s underestimating it.) It’s not just replacing jobs (that in hindsight will look like plowing fields by hand). The existential dangers are what come with building an intelligence greater than ours. I do think it’s probably a good idea people need to be as self sufficient as possible over the next decade because I think it definitely has the possibility to be bumpy. The dangers are just as powerful as the potential upsides. Now if all the countries could work together to try and do this safely that would be great, but as of right now it’s more like the manhattan project.
To quote Putin from 2017 “Whoever becomes the leader in this sphere (ai) will become the ruler of the world.” That’s what the current stakes are.
@BVasquezart1@sundayroastirl@beeple I could answer but I get the feeling you would look for reasons to discredit my opinon so that way you can appear to be right... so instead ill let the guy who pretty much invented it explain exactly how it works.