Nihar Sheth

Let’s discuss Trading, Macro Trends, Geopolitics, Computer Science & AI

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

🚨 Iran-Hormuz tension bias: Bearish CAD stocks/TSX (risk-off), Bullish gold/silver (safe-haven), Bullish oil/natgas (supply risk). USD/CAD eyes upside if talks stall Mon. Volatile week ahead! 📉🛢️ #CAD #Commodities

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

4/ 🟡 GOLD: The $5k Milestone
It’s here. Gold hit $4,983 this morning. As central banks dump USD and trade wars go nuclear, $5,000 is the new floor, not the ceiling.
• Move: Stay long $GDX.
#Investing2026 #Geopolitics #Gold5000 #IndiaGrowth #TradeWar

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

Geopolitics isn’t a headline; it’s the alpha. With Gold touching $5,000, Trump threatening 100% tariffs on Canada, and Iran’s "finger on the trigger," here’s the play:

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

3/ 🇨🇦 CANADA: The Resource Pivot
Trump’s 100% tariff threat over the CAD-CN deal is a "sell the index, buy the asset" moment.
• Trade: Long $WRLG (Gold), $VET (Gas).
• Logic: Canada is moving to bypass US via Asian energy exports. Own resources, not trade-exposed manufacturers.

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

Geopolitics > charts right now. Trump 2.0 tariffs are squeezing India/China, Canada is quietly re‑gearing supply chains toward Beijing, and EM FX is crowded and tired. Trade the fractures: long CAD vs EM, express India risk via USD/INR, and own oil vol over direction.

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

💡 Gold vs Fiat: The Hard Truth

Gold doesn’t just rise…
Fiat currencies lose value fast.

Over ~20 years:
🇨🇭 CHF → +611%
🇺🇸 USD → +703%
🇨🇦 CAD → +879%
🇮🇳 INR → +1,503%

Same story, different currencies.
Hard assets always win long-term.

#Gold #HardMoney #WealthProtection

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@Ayzacoder Claude

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

71% of H-1B visas go to Indians🇮🇳.
Trump’s new $100k fee punishes Indian talent & tech firms (TCS, Infosys, Wipro, etc.). Burden: $13M ➝ $1.3B.
Denial rates peaked at 24% in 2018 vs ~3% now. Indians power US innovation, not abuse it.
Blocking skills = slowing growth. #H1B #India

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@elonmuskTN Just for fun :)

(1x3)-(1-3)=5
(2x4)-(2-4)=10

My answer is 10

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@GrindeOptions Not sure about 160 any sooner but strongly believe double the price next year than it is right now.

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

What are the top investment sectors for 2025?
•Oil fueled 1900
•Cars redefined 1920
•Computers owned 1980
•Internet shaped 1995

My picks: Semiconductors, Cloud Computing & Cybersecurity, Healthcare Tech.

What are your picks? ⬇️

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@growthrapidly $SMCI and $INTC

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

Trump plans a 25% tariff on Canadian goods, citing immigration & drug issues, and a 10% tariff on Chinese imports. This could hurt Canada’s economy, raise prices, disrupt trade, and strain US-Canada relations. Retaliation risks loom. #TradeWar #Canada #Tariffs

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@Hightrys @Mr_Derivatives It’s very easy to say just go and see the data. How about you go and see that the US inflation raise the highest in 2022 since last 40 years. What other securities dropped more than half of its value? Such from a risk point of view are not safe investment assets.

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@deshjais @stockifi_Invest How is it a fair comparison when the Indian nominal gdp is 3.3 trillion compared to 25 trillion for US with debt getting more expensive than before and also with a population of 1.4 billion with most people being middle class and poor?

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@stockifi_Invest It will definitely kill if there is no risk management.

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

@DovishBoii @hawkishdude Nice arguements. I agree both have different pros and cons. Looking at the value of delta for a deep ITM call option would be close to 1. To lose entire premium cost, the underlying stock has to do a significant move. If one wants to hedge this risk, they could use covered call.

[Nihar Sheth @sheth_nihar]

Why do investors buy stock outrights rather than buying long-term ITM call options and keep rolling them over?

Let’s discuss.

#stockmarkets #OptionsTrading #equity