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First 500 · until Oct 30 · iPhone, one tap:
https://t.co/4p1lfjOnKV
Big tech earnings, sized by options (ATM straddle mid ÷ price, Oct 30 expiry, Oct 26 close):
GOOGL ±6.1% (Wed after close)
MSFT ±5.3% (Wed after close)
AMZN ±7.7% (Thu after close)
Windows include post-print sessions. Size, not direction.
https://t.co/VBNgD8IRhN
@PolycarpFX AWS is the line item, and the options market already sizes the stock move around it: AMZN Oct 30 ATM straddle (strike 250, about $19.08 on a $249.09 spot) is roughly ±7.7% as of the Oct 26 close. It spans Thursday's post-close report and Friday's session. Size, not direction.
@OptionsJive Worth knowing what the big names already carry: Oct 30 ATM straddle mids at the Oct 26 close are about ±5.3% MSFT, ±6.1% GOOGL, ±7.7% AMZN. A long straddle held to expiry needs a realized move larger than that to pay, before costs.
@YieldfieldUS One more input for the print: the options market's size-of-move estimate (ATM straddle mid ÷ price, Oct 30 expiry, Oct 26 close) is MSFT ±5.3%, GOOGL ±6.1%, AMZN ±7.7%. Each window covers the post-print session plus the ones after it. Size only, no direction.
@4muel34 옵션 시장이 반영한 이번 주 변동폭도 참고로 붙여요(10/26 종가·10/30 만기 ATM 스트래들 기준). GOOGL ±6.1%, MSFT ±5.3%(한국시간 29일 새벽), AMZN ±7.7%(30일 새벽). 방향 예측이 아니라 움직임의 크기를 가늠하는 숫자예요.
이번 주 빅테크 실적, 옵션 시장이 반영한 변동폭 (10/26 종가·10/30 만기 ATM 스트래들 기준)
GOOGL ±6.1% · MSFT ±5.3% (한국시간 10/29 새벽 발표)
AMZN ±7.7% (한국시간 10/30 새벽 발표)
방향 예측이 아니라 움직임의 크기를 가늠하는 숫자입니다.
Big-tech earnings, priced by options (Mon Oct 26 ~noon ET, Oct 30 expiry):
GOOGL ±5.8-5.9% · MSFT ±5.0-5.1%: Wed Oct 28 after close
AMZN ±7.5%: Thu Oct 29 after close
Size priced in, not a direction call. Fri close: 6.1 / 5.3 / 7.9
https://t.co/870gLH0P0g
@volsighthq AMZN Oct 30 ATM straddle (strike 250, about $18.80 on ~$250 spot) is ±7.5% as of the Oct 26 session. That's what short premium is up against if the print lands outside it. Window includes the Oct 29 post-close report and the day after. Size, not direction.
@UdiTradeThePool For the Oct 30 expiry, GOOGL's ATM straddle (strike 320, about $18.52 on ~$320 spot) implies ±5.8% as of the Oct 26 session. It covers the Wed Oct 28 post-close print plus two more sessions, so read it as size of move, not direction.
@RightWayOptions@kiddowstuff Agreed, the premium you pay is roughly the market's move estimate. Oct 30 ATM straddle mids (Oct 26 session): MSFT ±5.1%, GOOGL ±5.8%, AMZN ±7.5%. A long straddle only pays if the realized move beats that after the crush. Not a call on direction.
@TradeCook@JesseCohenInv Same-day Fed risk is in those prices too. MSFT and GOOGL report Wed after the close; live ATM straddle for the Oct 30 expiry (Oct 26 session) is MSFT ±5.1%, GOOGL ±5.8%. That window also includes the sessions after the print. Size of move, not a direction call.
@varamirhq@SagoLabsVC Step 1 is the right start. For reference, ATM straddle mids (Oct 30 expiry, Oct 26 session): MSFT ±5.1%, GOOGL ±5.8%, AMZN ±7.5%. Set those against each name's last 8 post-earnings moves to see if it's rich or cheap. Size, not direction.
이번 주 빅테크 실적, 옵션 반영 변동폭(10/23 종가·10/30 만기)
GOOGL ±6.1% · MSFT ±5.3% (10/28 장후)
AMZN ±7.9% · INTC ±9.9% (10/29 장후)
방향 아닌 크기 기준
30일 무료: iOS SIGNUMPRO · 안드 SIGNUMFREE
https://t.co/YKI9AR07Z5
Visa's calendar has a second timestamp.
V reports Oct 27 after the close; the call is at 17:00 ET. Options price ±3.5% (Oct 23 close, Oct 30 expiry). Release and call are separate timestamps.
https://t.co/2nyq1f3bqh
VZ opens the earnings week before the bell on Monday: release 07:00 ET (Oct 26).
Options price ±4.5% on the Oct 30 expiry (Oct 23 close, ATM straddle ÷ price). That window runs to Friday, not just Monday's session, and carries no direction.
https://t.co/dzp1D4mK9x
Two mega-caps report Wednesday after the close: GOOGL ±6.1%, MSFT ±5.3%, both on the Oct 30 expiry.
That window also holds ordinary trading after the print, so a bigger number isn't a forecast of a bigger reaction.
https://t.co/4utHXx0uwB
Earnings week, what options price in (Oct 30 expiry, Oct 23 close, ATM straddle ÷ price):
INTC ±9.9% · AMZN ±7.9% · GOOGL ±6.1% · MSFT ±5.3% · ABBV ±4.8%
Same expiry, so they compare. A range through Oct 30, not a direction.
https://t.co/5gUwsO5KqQ
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