Cape Caution

OTC trader and Crypto believer. Daily profitable, low risk forex signals with copy trade. 📈

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@milnesafc86 @Miaavswpv You think?

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

FYI

[NoName @WhaleNoName]

🚨 SPACEX IS NOT DONE - THE IPO UNWIND IS 🚨

The first months after the IPO followed a very specific sequence

1. THE INITIAL POP

IPO launch: $135
Peak close: $201.80

The first move was pure demand expansion

2. DISTRIBUTION

Within five weeks, $SPCX had flushed almost 50% and traded below its IPO price

That strength faded quickly

3. THE SUPPLY SHOCK

Then came the Aug. 6 (Unlocks):

-911.5M shares
- ~$98.7B of potential supply
- 143% of the existing float

That sounds like the perfect setup for another collapse

Instead, $SPCX closed the day +6.1%

4. THE SHORT SQUEEZE

Short interest then collapsed:

34% -> 11%

The stock ripped back toward $141

But this is where people can misread the chart

Short covering creates buying pressure

It doesn't automatically mean new long-term demand has arrived.

5. THE REAL TEST COMES NEXT

There are still eight unlock tranches scheduled through December 8

By then, as much as ~40% of the company could become tradable.+

So I don't expect the market to immediately go vertical from here

The more important question is whether each new wave of supply can still push price lower

Because we've already seen something interesting

July 7: Nasdaq-100 inclusion brought massive passive demand - and $SPCX still sold off

August 6: 911M shares became available - and $SPCX still closed green

Good news couldn't save the price

Bad news couldn't break it

That is the kind of reaction I want to see near a potential bottom

And there's a historical parallel worth watching

For example:

Facebook went public at $38 in 2012, then dropped roughly 54% as lock-up fears hit

The November unlock brought another huge supply event

Facebook closed that day +13%

It eventually became the beginning of a much larger accumulation process

$SPCX just printed a remarkably similar reaction

But there’s one important difference:

A squeeze is not a bottom

At roughly 88x sales, this still needs time to digest the IPO excess

My read:

Remaining unlocks -> supply absorption -> $100-$120 base -> accumulation -> next expansion

The market may still look ugly while the actual bottom is being built

That’s usually how accumulation works

Be sure to follow me!

I'll warn you

[mr fundman @mrfundman]

When you can’t decide $TSLA or $SPCX

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

“The Deal with Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete. Congratulations to all!” President Donald J. Trump 🇺🇸

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@mkfilko Y'all don't go where you should. I would never touch $pl. Even for free

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

A man working as a welder at SpaceX for $28 an hour has just become a millionaire.

Juan Hernandez, who came from Mexico, welded rockets for SpaceX at $28 an hour.

SpaceX gave him $10,000 in stock when he went full time in 2015, and he bought more with every paycheck for 10 years.

$SPCX is now trading at $167, making his shares worth over $1 million.

[Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭 @ThierryBorgeat]

SpaceX starts trading this Friday.

Here's what history says happens next.

This is the post-IPO performance of every major tech listing of the last decade. Every name you know. Every name you use.

Look at the last column: maximum drawdown in year one.

– Facebook: -54%
– Snap: -56%
– Uber: -68%
– Pinterest: -70%
– Lyft: -79%
– Rivian: -88%
– Robinhood: -90%

Median first-year drawdown across the entire list: -54%.
Average: -55%.

Not the speculative junk. The whole class. Including the eventual winners.

Zoom eventually rose 142% in year one. It still drew down 40% along the way. Palantir gained 153%. It still fell 53% at one point. CrowdStrike, Datadog, MongoDB. All ended year one higher. All put their holders through a 40 to 67% drawdown first.

There has not been a single major tech IPO in a decade that didn't hand you a brutal drawdown in the first twelve months. Not one.

Now SpaceX joins the list, at the richest valuation in IPO history.

You don't have to buy it today.

The IPO is the seller's moment, not the buyer's.

Wait for the base.

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

The time is now. 🚀

[SpaceX @SpaceX]

Teams are go for launch with a $135 price per share for the SpaceX IPO → https://t.co/HlsF4GxRbI

[Unfiltered Finance @UnfilterFinance]

SpaceX IPO access is starting to take shape, but not every brokerage is handling it the same way...

Here's everything you need to know:

• Fidelity: $2,000 minimum, lowered specifically for SpaceX, with an Indication of Interest process.

• Charles Schwab: $100,000 liquid net worth requirement, with a Conditional Offer to Buy.

• Robinhood: No minimum, with access through IPO Access and a Conditional Offer to Buy.

• SoFi: No minimum, with Indication of Interest through its IPO Center.

• E*TRADE: Funded account required, with a Conditional Offer to Buy and allocations based on total requests.

The biggest takeaway: getting access does not guarantee an allocation.

And depending on the brokerage, the process, eligibility, and share allocation rules may look very different.

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

The future is now.. way to go 💪. Excited for June 11th,2026

[SpaceX @SpaceX]

SpaceX was founded to make life multiplanetary. We’ve been able to expand that mission with our Starlink constellation and AI solution

Learn more → https://t.co/PSCyWrMUYI

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@rotten_guts5 Good week here

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@mkfilko Congrats, my friend 🎊

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

Way to go 🚀

[Jon Erlichman @JonErlichman]

$2,600 invested in Tesla’s IPO is worth more than $1 million today.

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@antibearthesis 🤔

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@rotten_guts5 😁

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: S&P 500 futures surge to their highest level on record.

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@miscomputate Shit is beginning to piss me tf off. Have we lost democracy ??

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@rotten_guts5 I know this feeling. Lol

[Dr Russell McGregor @KillAuDeepState]

When a so-called retired Admiral goes on Fox News with such an obvious mask, it is done to expose how operations are conducted.

This is a wake-up event, not a mistake.

[Cape Caution @silentrader1]

@thommic Check your DM man