hidingeyes

Was cry=1 tender=5 conmon=1 shifty=-9
Now wnleft11=7 redyl13=7 futur4=2
Labour market stats & welfare

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@BellaWallerstei The free market is for thee, subsidies for me!

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@Tom_Richmond @thetimes So these are failing schools that were only viable because of subsidies from the state. The fact they are closing means the resources involved can be re-directed to more productive uses

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@johnmilbank3 Rise in non-Brit numbers quoted over 10/20 yrs to hide little change vs 2024
The 11.3% (62k) non-Brit pupils incls where parent(s) in UK. Only 25k have both parents abroad, 4.7% of total. Ofc this is big % of all boarders but mostly people joining in senior yrs not whole school

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@john4brexit Most of the rise in NEET was before the election

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@john4brexit Weapons-grade bollocks - share of under-25s unemployed nearly THREE times higher in mid-80s than now, more than DOUBLE in early 90s. Combined with similar or higher inactivity too

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@davidparry100 It's correct - lower NEET % in EU driven by (oft much) higher share of 16-24s in education. Once this no longer a factor our employment rate for 25-29s near record high
Graduate employment rate 88% & not falling. That grad unemployment stat is mostly frictional!

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

Graduate employment rates are - and always have been - very high. No evidence AT ALL that they have fallen

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@nickhillman The LFS up to end 2025 shows no change in the employment rate for HE students compared to 2020

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@LatimerEduin A point I've been making a lot today but still an overestimate. Legacy benefits & UC all allow some work while retaining eligibility, PIP isn't an OOW benefit, some claimants tell surveys they are studying
FRS close for total % on benefits but only a third claim workless benefits

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@resfoundation You've named-checked only those that have always offered lots of work-based study, but UK share still close to the OECD average. Most countries beat us on NEET by just keeping more in traditional education
Once that distortion is past, our 25-29 emp rate is relatively high

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@gm_stone @NewcastleCC @cpferguson87 Note that NEET = diverse group, most inactive not unemployed, many NEET spells short & don't need extra help, many not on benefits so if *do* need extra help can lack clear routes to get it. Would be best if *more* claimed the UC they're entitled to but ofc no-one likes that!

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@tomwhx Tho they actually did, albeit briefly - in 2022 the 16-24 employment rate excluding those in full-time education hit a record high (on the ONS series that starts in 1992) only beaten by 1989/90 at the top of the Lawson boom (which ONS say not fully comparable with later data)

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@CamillaTominey OMG all last week the right were complaining that social rents are unfairly low, now they are unfairly high!

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@resfoundation Unemployed UC strictly enforced & most spells short
Temp sick have WFIs
Only unable to ever work = no requirements
Germany uses (costly) sheltered work & non-insured more likely to fall thru cracks
Big issue is NEETs who don't claim benefits lacking clear route to help if need it

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@Helen_Whately @Conservatives Just a never ending torrent of lies

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@louderry The irony here is a big barrier to reducing the part of the NEET total that isn't frictional is many aren't on benefits so don't engage with the help that's there & that the govt is now expanding
We need *more* people to claim the benefits to which they are entitled!

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@Helen_Whately @Conservatives So a review that will be over quickly then!

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@0Calamity @David__Osland There are only limited circumstances in which people not in paid work are counted as in employment, none of which are likely relevant here
Unless they later tell the interviewer that the placement = training the people you are talking about would be counted as *actual* NEETs

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@RITB_ The unfilled vacancy & unemployed stats are just snapshots, massively dwarfed by all the flows of new vacancies & people flowing into work all the fucking time

[hidingeyes @simonmanytrees]

@_jaylawrence The UK has historically LOW youth unemployment, glad to be able to help