The risk of a Black Swan event is at 57% currently. I will update my calculations in the coming days which depend on real time data, including the CPI data we will see later today
@TheRealPlanC p-values do not measure the probability that the studied hypothesis is true, or the probability that the data were produced by random chance alone.
if you’re down a lot today and feel depressed, please remember:
- it can and will get a lot worse
- my DMs remain close, don’t text me
- you’re an imbecile and I’m smart