Confused Confucian Catholic

Tweets rashomon posts. Thoughts on Korea, NE Asia, gobbledygook, and Confucianism. Lived, studied, worked in Korea and US in research, IGO, journalism, business

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

I've lived a decently interesting life. I think that entitles me to make my own words and grammars.

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@SandyofCthulhu @XirVicin Whiners

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@Nextiva @richtechgroup @YouTube @Vonage @Zoom @RingCentral @SimplicityVoIP I've sent your a DM

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@Nextiva @richtechgroup @YouTube @Vonage @Zoom @RingCentral @SimplicityVoIP Please send a DM. I am dismayed that I have to resort to contacting you here on X to get my account cancellaed and not charged.

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

and voted for Raman instead of Bass when they saw that Pratt had a chance to come in second and that is what we are seeing. But even this is troubling to me as this would indicate some sort of widely known strategy.

Elections, especially in democracies, is only partially to determine who received more votes. Elections mainly are for governance, that is, to provide legitimacy and justification for a governing institution/systems. The maintenance of that requires most of the people in the society to accept the election and the process are valid. This clearly is not the case in our country right now, I am talking about the perception only. There are systemic changes that could help with changing the perception but political parties and other stakeholders seem opposed to this.

Added to this, election fraud is not an impossibility, e.g. I assumed that before, little bit of fraud happened here and there but it amounted to net zero gain and that it affected local elections and maybe at most senatorial. But I've changed my view after the covid era with the introduction mass mailing voting (and super close elections)..to, I don't know bc the system has radically changed.

For media and "intellectuals" not admit this is repugnant to me.

I would think that any international election watchdogs would find delayed counting and mass mailing votes as problematic.

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

It suggests arguments based on polls showed this and it "validates" the results is not a good argument. Specifically, this LA Times poll is not a good base to use to show that the actual results were predicted in the poll.

Polls can be useful tools. But are tools only.

[matt bernius @mattBernius]

@snowchi3 @emeriticus Generally speaking it's still the basic shape of the poll. It does suggest that the sample over-represented the share of votes of the 2 long shots.

Additionally, untill everything is counted, we cannot accurately judge the poll.

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@mattBernius I have read arguments as to why this is not unusual but find them inconclusive, not the least bc those who make them are partisan. TBC I don't doubt that late voters can have diff profile to others but I don't know if that could explain this. Maybe Dems held onto ballots late

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@emeriticus Considering that the current count is

Bass 34.8%
Raman 27.1%
Pratt 26.6%
Miller 3.7%
Huang 2.8%

How is it a good argument to note this Berkeley poll?

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@JamesSurowiecki @Masshopper34 Quite wrong here

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@JamesSurowiecki @barb010160 @baseballcrank You would be wrong here

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@bradpomerance With universal mail in ballots, not really

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@JamesSurowiecki @jrlaco11 The CA voting process is absurd

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@johnkonrad Mostly agree

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@theodric He knew he would lose so I guess he is not completely deranged

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

Guy thinks Trump will suspend elections in 2028 and remain in office. He probably thinks Trump will return from the dead to continue to be president

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@Elex_Michaelson What percentage of the cast ballots are scrutinized by humans for signature verification? And obvious followup question is of that percentage what percentage are rejected/withheld until the curing process takes place.

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

Not withstanding all the reasons for why CA ballot counting is so slow, the slow process will always raise suspicions of voting irregularities: this could even be called a rational response. The complex ballot counting process that CA has is a choice.

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@JamesSurowiecki Common respect

[Confused Confucian Catholic @snowchi3]

@jacobsoboroff Shouldn't take 30 days. Process needs to change