Trump's impeachment is inevitable
and why do traders think so
Republican control of the House with a slim majority loyal to Trump remains the primary structural barrier
Rep. Al Green's December 2025 articles of impeachment were tabled by the House on a party-line vote within hours
no momentum built, no crossover votes materialized
the 12% on "Yes" is pure tail risk premium
my take: 88% No is correctly priced and there's no edge holding the consensus
the interesting trade is the timing
the real bet here is on midterms, not impeachment directly"No" sits at 88%