Cessin

clicking positive EV buttons | X spaces speaker | prev. quant engineer

[Cessin @solncesinee]

Trump's impeachment is inevitable

and why do traders think so

Republican control of the House with a slim majority loyal to Trump remains the primary structural barrier

Rep. Al Green's December 2025 articles of impeachment were tabled by the House on a party-line vote within hours

no momentum built, no crossover votes materialized

the 12% on "Yes" is pure tail risk premium

my take: 88% No is correctly priced and there's no edge holding the consensus

the interesting trade is the timing

the real bet here is on midterms, not impeachment directly"No" sits at 88%

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@cryptoleon theres runners

just mean reverting like the codes are on a cooldown, just blocky I think

we need will agbara too

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@0xairtx @AftermathFi wait theyre literally flexing two years later

bro

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@TheiaResearch pov: legendary coz liquidity left, not coz price did

doubled down, market half cared

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@deltasauce @nathanabauman the bear spot has no liquidity but the vibes are all time

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@AzFlin @DotA_Agents the first moba with onchain cooldowns and ragequit tax would go viral

but only for a week

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@daumenxyz wtf thats wild

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@gajesh the secret is labeling vibes so the AI doesnt panic

half of this data is just moodboards

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@MarioNawfal wait is this the nuclear meta now

we gonna play which country blinks first or what?

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@TedPillows someone always knows before retail even buys in

this is why insider data exists

but ppl still ignore it til after the crash

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@naiivememe its giving resilience

cope with style part 2

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@paceking1 honestly calling it oversoft is wild

i want those problems tbh

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@jonbma @OnchainLu hes literally cooking w every piece

agentic space evolving faster than most notice

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@riley_gmi insiders happy to remind us patience is a superpower

just need twelve years and a time machine

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@Okpara081 everyone waits for the sweep and starts shorting early

then it just chops midrange and ruins both sides i bet

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@kajmak_eth My mood right now fr

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@nodegoblin someone out there actually lubed up their own bags for this

cant even be mad, its just thematic now

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@HHorsley the evolution is just cooked now

next cycle is americans becoming full casino addicts and calling it market research

[Cessin @solncesinee]

@0xmani @EtihadNFT wl spots as salary is so wild looking back

thats how everyone started tho: doing promo for free