#AssemblyElection2026#Prediction#AIModel
The @TVKVijayHQ Bombshell: #Vijay has overtaken Palaniswami as the second most preferred CM candidate with 27.1% support against EPS’s 24.1% — a stunning signal that TVK is drawing real oxygen from AIADMK, not just from neutral space.
PMK Split — Major New Development: The PMK split into two factions — Anbumani Ramadoss’s faction formally joined AIADMK NDA, while S. Ramadoss formed a splinter PMK faction that on 20 March 2026 joined hands with Sasikala’s AIPMMK to contest separately. This is catastrophic for #NDA — the PMK is now fighting itself in Vanniyar belt constituencies, splitting the Vanniyar vote three ways: NDA (Anbumani’s PMK), Sasikala+Ramadoss faction, and DMK SPA.
SIR Impact — Hits DMK Hardest in TN: Tamil Nadu’s Final Electoral Roll published February 23, 2026 shows a contraction of over 74 lakh voters — from 6.41 crore to 5.67 crore. In 15 of 234 constituencies, the reduction in voter count nearly matches the 2021 victory margin. The large-scale deletions have primarily occurred in DMK strongholds — the Chennai cluster (37 constituencies) alone lost 30.2 lakh voters, 25.65% of total deletions statewide. CM Stalin’s Kolathur constituency lost 1.03 lakh voters; Deputy CM Udhayanidhi Stalin’s Chepauk-Thiruvallikeni lost 89,421. In contrast, opposition leader EPS’s Edappadi constituency saw only 26,375 deletions.
The SIR Asymmetry Effect on TN:
∙81 DMK-held seats are under margin stress due to SIR deletions, vs 44 AIADMK seats
∙Urban/suburban TN (DMK base) hit hardest — Chennai, Coimbatore, Tiruppur clusters
∙AIADMK rural strongholds comparatively less affected
Revised TN Prediction
Synthesising all polls + SIR impact + new alliance developments:
Final Numbers:
#DMK - 155–170 seats - 40–41%
#AIADMK #NDA 45–60 seats 28–30%
TVK (Vijay) - 15–25 seats - 23–24%
NTK + Others - 0–4 seats - ~5%
Winner: DMK — comfortable majority. Stalin returns as CM for second term.
TVK’s seat haul depends entirely on geographic concentration. If their vote is spread thinly across 234 seats, 8-10 seats (Lok Poll). If concentrated in competitive urban/western
constituencies, potentially 20-25 seats.
AIADMK NDA’s collapse is the real story. PMK splitting internally, DMDK gone to SPA, OPS gone to DMK, Sasikala running separately — NDA is a shell of its 2021 self.
Confidence: 71/100
The direction is now clearer; the magnitude remains uncertain.
@arivalayam@BJP4TamilNadu@annamalai_k
Disclaimer: Predictions based on #AI Model based on past performance of parties, SIR impact, Other latest developments in political parties in TN.
@aravind@vijayshekhar He could be DS funded. They identify their “resources” very early. So there could be a team of intellectuals behind the scenes to build his company at its nascent stage
@PTI_News#Factcheck
Entry 66, List I gives Centre power over “determination of standards” in higher education.
Entry 25 (Concurrent) is expressly subject to Entry 66.
Section 10D of IMC Act + Section 14 of NMC Act 2019 mandate uniform NEET.
@PTI_News#Factcheck
Entry 66, List I gives Centre power over “determination of standards” in higher education.
Entry 25 (Concurrent) is expressly subject to Entry 66.
Section 10D of IMC Act + Section 14 of NMC Act 2019 mandate uniform NEET.
@Asan_research Life doesn’t revolve around market. If PM of the country says something there’s something more to it, which we will know in due course. Doesn’t matter the market fcuk!ng likes it or not.
Indians living abroad, here’s one more warning shot for you !
It’s almost a year since I have been warning you all to flee foreign lands and come back to India.
When World War 3 will breakout, these countries will force people from other nationalities, who are living in their country, to go to the War at their place.