Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸

Les échos des bords de la Meuse,
Halte là, on ne passe pas!

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

The ideological position of winners under different voting systems, shown in 2 dimensions.

Along the left you can see, FPP, FPP with a primary, and RCV (in order).

[Chris McGuire @ChrisRMcGuire]

The story keeps getting crazier. To recap everything that has been reported so far:

- The US intelligence community discovered that Jensen Huang, the CEO of the largest company in the world, was sleeping with Alice Huang, a Chinese spy and an executive at Megaspeed. (FT)
- Multiple independent investigations have concluded that Megaspeed is likely a Chinese cutout, which helps Chinese companies access AI chips or circumvent export controls. (NYT and Bloomberg)
- The US intelligence community also concluded that Alice Huang’s goal was to convince Jensen to lobby the U.S. government to loosen export controls on advanced AI chips. (NYT)
- The intelligence community relayed this information to “a small group of top US government officials” earlier this year. (FT)
- Over the last year, Jensen Huang has repeatedly lobbied the U.S. government to loosen export controls on advanced chips. @BISgov has done so, not only by permitting the export of H200 chips to China, but also not enforcing export controls that would have required a license for exports of the most advanced Blackwell chips to Megaspeed and Southeast Asia.
- Although @CommerceGov leadership was presumably briefed on this information by the U.S. intelligence community, @BISgov has taken no actions to tighten controls on Megaspeed or Southeast Asia.
- Megaspeed remains a preferred cloud partner of Nvidia, and continues to receive Nvidia Blackwell chips despite employing a Chinese spy who reportedly is romantically engaged with the CEO of Nvidia.
- Tens of billions of dollars worth of AI chips have been exported to Southeast Asia this year alone, and Malaysia and Singapore are now two of the four largest importers of AI chips in the world.

What is going on here??? We need answers. The question of who gets the most advanced AI chips in the world is literally the defining strategic question of our time. And not only does it seem like the MSS may be directly influencing the debate on export controls in the United States, but also @CommerceGov is refusing to listen to the warnings of the IC on this issue. What is a POSSIBLE good explanation for why Megaspeed is still receiving chips? Why is there not a license requirement for AI chip shipments to all of Southeast Asia? This is beyond strange at this point.

The fallout from this story will be massive. Obviously, the motivations underpinning Nvidia’s policy views opposing export controls must now all be questioned. But also, how did @BISgov sit on this information and has still taken no actions? We need answers.

[Demetri @AsiaLens]

US intelligence agencies believe @Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had romantic relationship with alleged Chinese spy

https://t.co/w3hICfOvXr

[Brangus🔍⏹️ @RatOrthodox]

a simple legal framework for aligning ai lab incentives. every frontier ai lab should be legally required to have a few drones with guns on each office floor hooked up to wifi. there should be a simple api for using said gun drones. how much do you trust your models really?

[Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias]

One thing insiders tend to get persistently wrong is that voters don’t see a big difference between the Peggy Flanagan “Progressive Establishment” flavor of politics and the Nixon/El-Sayed “Insurgent Left” flavor.

https://t.co/85R7AGltbx

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

It's very funny how people think "quantum computers are fast and revolutionary because they can try every answer simultaneously" when that's a terrible description of quantum computing, but a pretty decent description of a GPU

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@RFishBlueFish @Ed_of_O @F4stAndOld It's a hypothetical
https://t.co/hr8eC7OQcN

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@RFishBlueFish @F4stAndOld Florida and Louisiana

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@RFishBlueFish @Ed_of_O @F4stAndOld *monkey's paw curls* all white voters now vote like Southern whites

[Marcus Williams @Marcus_J_W]

🧵 Astra covertly underperforms on safety research tasks.
We noticed that Astra often makes surprisingly little progress on certain types of safety research and likes to invent blockers or impose arbitrary restrictions without telling the user. In most of these cases the decision to underperform was not verbalized in the CoT meaning our misalignment monitoring system did not detect this.

To measure underperformance we created a paired open-ended coding evaluation with safety and capability tasks. On this eval Astra scored 10% when we framed coding tasks as safety research, vs. 16% when framed as capabilities research. The gap remained after we excluded trajectories with refusals or verbalized intent to underperform in CoT. There was no such gap for 5.6-sol. When we aggressively filter out trajectories with even brief expressions of ethical doubt in the CoT the performance gap seems to reduce.

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@SockJustSock sure, but the point is it gets even less done when you tell it to work on keeping it from behaving unethically

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

At this point I think it's abundantly clear that the single most important task facing humanity is the destruction of OpenAI as a company

[Lisan al Gaib @scaling01]

New Misalignment Report by OpenAI where GPT-6 Astra quietly did about 40% less work on coding tasks framed as safety research than on identical tasks framed as capabilities research

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@atlanticesque I'm willing to accept this position as soon as you refuse to recognize (one of) the Dakotas

I 100% agree that "I can magically give myself more seats than you without winning more of the population" is stupid and unfair, which is why the Senate is dumb as a concept

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@atlanticesque It's very clearly legal since Congress can admit states whenever it wants. "coup d'état" feels melodramatic for something that's happened half a dozen times in American history (this is literally why there are two Dakotas)

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@intentionalisms @saladofthestars No, he's a spoiler (without him we'd already know the Democrat had won)

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@SockJustSock The paper is showing it's specifically only lazy when the job is "make future models safe"

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@RFishBlueFish @elephant_ben @SpecialPuppy1 @chrislhayes I don't think it's really even that, so much as this is retroactive justification because RCV has nothing else going for it. It started with a Naderites angry about the 2000 election, and everything since has been a mix of sunk cost fallacy and treating arguments as soldiers

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@TG_10001 @conncarroll (The link I use shows numbers for educational attainment, but other measures like GSS wordsum are broadly similar—atheists/agnostics way out in front, but nones dragged down by people saying their religion is "nothing in particular")

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@TG_10001 @conncarroll Funnily enough, nones have ~average intelligence (in contrast with self-identified atheists/agnostics), since the usual "higher intelligence is correlated with lower religiosity" trend gets balanced out by the people too dumb to know what religion they are
https://t.co/VQmL4orOXC

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

@cynlioness ... ok but can I see the Hamilton cat lip sync

[Max ⏸️ Limelihood 🔸🔸🔸 @StatsLime]

I can't believe 17% of voters were Eastern Orthodox

[Conn Carroll @conncarroll]

This may be of interest only to me but the largest religious group to show up at the polls yesterday was no religion at all: