Sterling Beck

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

@provocouncil Will they also be taking this approach on the mandate to wear clothing in Provo?

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

@ChannyMill Have you read https://t.co/XDOxJ7V717 ?

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

I think one of the oddnesses of our era is the fact that Rep. Bass' first name is Karen has to be a factor in the VP vetting process.

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

@AllanLichtman How did you determine that both short term and long term economic indicators are negative considering other indicators like the stock market are pointing to recovery?

[John Carmack @ID_AA_Carmack]

It is disappointing, but not really unexpected, to see this take on the epidemic simulation code release: https://t.co/qJsaYpvcjW If we accept it at face value, we have a retired software engineer making the case that non-determinism in a simulation shows incompetence. I am all \

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

I have no doubt that China's coronavirus numbers are fishy, but I find myself a little bit perturbed so far in the lack of specificity in the reporting over what they did exactly; hopefully that will come later.

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

Know how we chuckle at our ancestors for thinking bloodletting cured disease? Our descendants are really going to crack up at the insistence that masks were unnecessary leading up to all this.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

Charts showing the number of deaths are likely useful on balance, even though deaths may be underreported or misreported.

But charts showing the number of detected *cases*? No, not without a *lot* of context, when epidemiologists say reporting varies by 20x across countries.

[Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy]

How often do you get 93% of Americans to start doing *anything* within the span of a few weeks?

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

New detected cases in USA are slightly leveling off over the past 3 days:

Sat: 18,821
Fri: 18,678
Thu: 16,797

But that's partly/largely because the number of tests is also leveling off:

Sat: 109,071
Fri: 107,295
Thu: 97,806

https://t.co/6LHmD2T5ua

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

I tweet some version of this every day, so here's today's version:

It's still very hard to make overly precise interpretations about where you are on the curve unless you know a lot about tests: how many tests, who's getting tested, how and when results are reported.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

This is key. The federal, state and local governments all need to be thinking about what the post-lockdown phase looks like and not just circling a date on the calendar and hoping for the best.

[Andrew Yang🧢⬆️🇺🇸 @AndrewYang]

Pretty soon we are all going to need a haircut.

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

Corona corollary to Godwin's law, as a conversation with someone under quarantine goes on long enough sooner or later someone will bring up toilet paper.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

Other states need to do this ASAP. Data on the number of positive tests is at best marginally useful (and at worst misleading) without data on the number of negative tests also.

[C. Jane Kendrick @CJaneKendrick]

EARTHQUAKE!

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

This is one of those times when it's hard to adjust your priors fast enough, but there's a case that the past 72 hours should have made us more *optimistic*. The US's willingness to engage in mass shutdowns isn't something that could have been taken for granted, for instance.

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

+1 for vanilla.

[(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten]

Often Olive Garden or vanilla ice cream wins... even if it is unbelievable to some folks on this platform.

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

LOL, looks like Robinhood crashed again this morning on arguably one of the most important trading days of the year. Seems like it might be tied to the S&P circuit breaker?

[Sterling Beck @sterlingbeck]

Less than 1% of the tests needed have actually been done in the US https://t.co/zE7yi6WqAO