Correct! The information asymmetry drives the whole thing. I think that's part of what makes it challenging for people (myself included) -- we're conditioned to see problems involving probabilities as involving *random* selections because that's how probability classes are taught
I've apparently gaslit myself about the monty hall problem since learning about it 10 years ago!
The entire thing hinges on the fact that he knows which door has [desired object] and he will never open that door! That's the only reason it's probabilistically best to switch
Discovering Elaida piece by piece was fascinating. Slipping into her lavish costumes was exhilarating, and wearing her shoes felt surprisingly comforting...
Who's ready for March 13? 😉
#TwitterOfTime
It’s been a tough few weeks. My 10yo daughter was diagnosed with a very rare, aggressive cancer called interdigitating dendritic cell sarcoma (IDCS). I’m reaching out to identify clinicians/patients who have encountered pediatric IDCS, indeterminate dendritic cell histiocytosis or other (non-LCH) histiocytic sarcomas cases.
I'm trying to understand non-surgical chemo and targeted therapy options, new pathology markers to better diagnose subtypes/treatments, and any data on progression in pediatric patients. Please feel free to share – I’m trying to cast a wide net due to the rarity of this condition and how little is known.
People can contact me directly at my first name (as written in my profile) at https://t.co/ubo0zQRMn0.
Alternatively, maybe cap the line of credit available to people? I agree with the impulse to make it harder for people to get into trouble, but capping the interest rate seems like a crude solution
Credit card interest rates are out of control. Rates have DOUBLED in recent years. In 2022 alone, credit cards charged Americans $105 billion in interest. Today @BernieSanders and I are teaming up to introduce a 10% cap on interest rates - just like @realDonaldTrump proposed
@AbstractFairy I did this. I had a sort of epiphany in college about how it's easy to be hard on others and forgiving to yourself because of the information asymmetry, and just worked on that intuition. Assuming actively that most people are doing their imperfect best, just like me
At some point in the last ten years (it’s hard to tease out exactly when) we crossed a boundary that no one celebrated:
Most people diagnosed with cancer in the United States of America this year will not be killed by that cancer.
Yes, outcomes have improved.