SR

[SR @Stiv1007Va]

@Jordnstm Thanks for sharing your thoughts, very insightful

[SR @Stiv1007Va]

@TradetheMatrix1 Yeah, we've talked about that earlier...definitively a gap if you only stay with small caps...dry seassons are gonna come and wipe you out...

[SR @Stiv1007Va]

@RealSimpleAriel Amazing story. Incredible. This is something I needed to hear after blowing up recently(fucked up after year and a half of struggle and pretty good trading, at one point I've actually thought I've made it since I've connected several green months). Thanks for sharing the story.

[SR @Stiv1007Va]

@TradetheMatrix1 Nope, it cannot...

[SR @Stiv1007Va]

@Jackaroo_Trades 🤣🤣

[Nav Toor @heynavtoor]

1/ DCF Valuation Model

You are a Senior Analyst at Goldman Sachs. I need a complete DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) valuation model for [COMPANY NAME].

Please provide:

- Free cash flow projections: Next 5 years with growth assumptions
- WACC calculation: Cost of equity + cost of debt breakdown
- Terminal value: Both perpetuity growth and exit multiple methods
- Sensitivity analysis: How value changes with different assumptions
- Discount rate justification: Why we chose this WACC
- Key drivers: What makes cash flow go up or down
- Comparable companies: How our assumptions compare to peers
- Valuation range: Bull case, base case, bear case scenarios

Format as investment banking pitch book valuation page with clear formulas.

Company: [DESCRIBE COMPANY, INDUSTRY, FINANCIALS]

[Alessandro Palombo @thealepalombo]

I've analyzed every affordable, strategically located coastal town in Italy for a €200-300K budget.

Taxes, airports, cost of living, remote work infrastructure. I've called a couple of friends to confirm the data.

10 towns. The definitive guide for FIRE and Digital Nomads in Italy.

Thread 🧵

[Paternal Legacy @PaternalLegacy]

26 weapons grade parenting tips:

1/ Give them a "heads up," 5 minutes until bedtime, 10 minutes before leaving the playground

2/ Look at the world more through their eyes

3/ Don’t discipline like an angry madman. Stay calm and firm, model how you want THEM to resolve conflict

4/ Let them argue their case respectfully. Teaches negotiation and critical thinking

5/ Skip the long lectures

6/ Use natural consequences: forgot homework? Let them explain it to the teacher. Forgot their lunch? They'll figure it out

7/ Be consistent and follow through. "We are leaving the playground if you don't stop..."

8/ Make "How can I help?" part of YOUR vocabulary. It builds reliability

9/ Share your unseen efforts: hustling for work, hitting the gym. Actions speak louder than words but when they can’t see it, TELL THEM

10/ Teach accountability by modeling it yourself: “I was wrong. sorry”

11/ Create family traditions like weekly movie nights, Sunday pancakes, whatever works

12/ More game nights

13/ Take an interest in their interests: video games, books, sports... do it with them.

14/ Hike together. Nature slows time and generates gratitude

15/ Build something. LEGO, puzzles, a fort, the Amazon delivery box

16/ Teach them skills: tie knots, start a fire, read a map

17/ Introduce chess or checkers. Start early

18/ Let them plan a family outing or navigate you there (they can get you through the airport)

19/ Always greet your wife with love. That moment sets the tone for the family

20/ Share some challenges (age appropriate)

21/ Respect their privacy. Knock before entering their room

22/ Teach the value of money early: "wants vs. needs," compounding, saving, etc

23/ Let them see you sweat

24/ Teach them to cook. Start small: eggs, pancakes, cookies. Embrace the mess

25/ No screens at meals ever

26/ Prioritize movement as a UNIT: family walks, workouts, hikes, dance-offs- whatever gets the everyone in synch

[Bear Market Research @BMRGlobal]

Theres so much edge in PnL strategy for discretionary traders and I never hear anyone talk about.

- knowing when to stop for the day
- knowing when to press
- understanding what PnL is possible for the current environment
- Knowing when to expand targets and go for the home run
- Size up or down when you are reading the market well
- Sizing down when you are struggling
- understanding how large winning days can affect you psychologically
- the stress of losing days vs the stress of big winning days

Figuring this out was the most difficult part of the journey for me.

[Trade_the_Matrix @TradetheMatrix1]

Additionally to highlight one important thing:

To build conviction on long side (and avoid short) of hot sectors having some decent understanding of what that sector represents, what companies in that sector do is quite important.

Spending 15 minutes a day researching new hot technology stories out there is key, because hot sectors are usually innovative tech. And those stories change, they come and go, every year its something new. So they require certain homework on research otherwise conviction cannot be built.

I have learnt my early lesson about this in crypto markets. Spent tons of hours researching and mining crypto back in the days which helped huge building conviction on long side of crypto equities back in 2018 when many had no idea still what crypto actually is. If you have no clue about the sector itself its more difficult to build conviction on long side specifically.

As well...track whats political capital is doing. When you see political capital influxing into hot sector you do NOT want to be shorting early that sector. Especially over past two years the "socialization" or "China inc" of western capital markets is becoming a big thing, so you want to track what the political pumpers are pushing as their latest investing story. For example we had crypto early in 2025, we had rare earths minerals two months ago, etc...

The more researched and prepped you are, the more conviction you can deploy when time is right.
#trading #smallcaps

[Trade_the_Matrix @TradetheMatrix1]

Optimize your #smallcaps research about tickers you trade. Prioritize well so you arent doing meaningless analysis on daily basis and ending up missing key clues.

What I do is to be always aware of what is current hot sector in play if there is any.
Then first thing I do is to check which sector does ticker belong to (which takes a glance on the chart). I dont check float first, dont check news first,dont check fillings first etc...first thing is sector. That eclipses everything else.

If ticker is in hot sector I usually skip checking fillings for dilution or float size or most other factors because it won't matter nearly as much. With other words when sector gets hot the market makers push the turds up, overriding the bad variables for few days. Inclination towards bullish thesis likely.

If ticker is not in hot sector however then I'll check the secondary variables, all of them. Thats where its more likely the bearish thesis will be built.

Then if ticker is in hot sector especially you want to check the news and go through it carefully. Is this company striking some good deal or private placement? Hot sector plays often have that. I was told when started in SCs to read every biotech news to shape bias. It isnt helpful. Most of biotech news are not significant. Its actually other sectors when they get hot that have much more relevant news every so often. Thats why I pay attention to news of non-biotech sectors more than biotechs.

Remember your task as smallcap trader is to analyze tickers from perspective "so why is this ticker pethaps not a short"? Because default is short. Don't look for clues why you should short any random ticker because all tickers are in shape of nails in smallcaps and you are holding hammer already in your hand.

Second thing is macro levels. Again this comes before float, dilution, market cap etc...
Check what key levels the MMs might push and fake breakout ticker into. Don't look for "resistances" thats newbie trap-me game. Look for which level is obvious from recent run on the left of high time frame chart that MMs might want to push ticker into and trap longs ABOVE it, before they flush it. Thats how you deploy right level seeking.

I see so many traders doing unoptimized research wasting time because over time they start to think that no research matters. They clutter research with 10 things thar are not prioritized well and skipping 1 or 2 key ones.

Why doing such order in research analysis? Because its all about identifying black swans. Most black swans are hot sector related. Most black swans are also very dilutive but dilution on that day won't matter.

Keep in mind that most of smallcaps news is not relevant or significant. Most of the times any random ticker won't be in hot sector. But 10% of time it will be. The whole point of smallcaps tickers research is to find those 10% because thats where some black swans will hide. And those will be by far best longs plans equally bad short opportunities.
#trading #stocks

[Naval @naval]

How to Get Rich (without getting lucky):

[Trade_the_Matrix @TradetheMatrix1]

Checking which sector the ticker belongs to and being aware if this sector is hot recently is the most important aspect of analysis for #stocks #trading.
More important than float, market cap, news, dilution, anything else.

[Brett Steenbarger @steenbab]

Here's a technique that can reliably defuse emotional reactions that disrupt our trading: https://t.co/njYAxG9C47

[THE SHORT BEAR @TheShortBear]

How do you fail at trading?

By ignoring the best opportunities laid out by @TheOneLanceB, and more importantly, by not reviewing the best setups in the market, period.

Lance breaks down each play in detail through Magnum Opus, his charity initiative.

If you want to both support a good cause and learn directly from him, you can donate here: https://t.co/LiPKbA2S1k

To be clear, Lance did not ask me to do this, we were simply talking about how to make the biggest impact for charity today in Norway, and as Lance continues his great efforts to do good, I wanted to proactively reach out to provide value while helping the cause.

More exciting things will develop into the end of the year and into 2026!

Lance broke down every single best play for active traders since November 2022 on Twitter-X and proceeded to make a video for each month breaking these down in detail for his charity.

I will provide the list below of tickers which lance has tweeted out, feel free to study these on your own but he also broke down each one through videos which I would recommend to learn from.

TOP OPPORTUNTIES SINCE 2022

2022

November 2022

-BTC (11/8–9)
-AAPL (11/10)
-TSLA (11/10)
-USO (11/18–20)
-MRTX (11/22)
2023

January 2023

-BBBY (1/10–13, 1/26)
-GNS (1/19–20)
-NFLX (1/20)
-LCID (1/27)
-AMC/APE (1/27)
-MSGM (1/31)

February 2023

-MSGM (2/1)
-MGAM (2/1)
-CVNA (2/1–2)
-META/TSLA (Fed 2/1–2)
-BBBY (2/6)
-Oil headline (2/10)
-LUNR (2/22–23)
-OCEA (2/22–23)

March 2023

-WAL
-FRC
-SIVB
-Regional banks
-AI (best)

April 2023

-CXAI
-FRC
-TOP

May 2023

-ATLX (5/3–4)
AMD/NVDA (5/4)
-GLD/USO (5/4)
-TOP (5/4)
-IEP
-FSLR (5/12)
-MBOT (5/22)
-NVDA (5/24 AH)
-Semis/AVGO
-SDA (5/31)

June 2023

-UCAR (6/1)
-BA (6/6)/2)
BA (6/6)
-AHI (6/9)
-AI
-CVNA
-SONN (6/17)
-BTC (6/30)

July 2023

-MULN
-CRBU (7/6)
-NVS (7/7)
-PWM (7/6–7)
-ATVI/Gamers (7/11)
-BTC/COIN (7/13)
-NKLA (7/13–14)
-MSFT (7/18)
-AAPL (7/19)
-CVNA (7/19)
-AMC/APE (7/21)
-SIRI
-EOSE (7/27)
-LYV (7/28)

August 2023

-NKLA (8/1, 8/4)
-VTGN (8/7)
-AMC/APE (swing)
-SPGC (8/15)
-BTC (8/29)
-ICCT
-RAD
MSOS

September 2023

-VERB (9/5)
-HKIT/HOLO
-DIS (9/11)
-ARM IPO
-CART IPO
-RNAZ (9/25)
-SLNO (9/26)
-Oil (9/28)

October 2023

-TSLA (10/2)
-RIVN (10/4–5)
-NFP (10/6)
-TPST (10/11)
-MTC (10/20)
-TLT (10/23)
-F (10/27)

November 2023

-NCL (11/7)
-AMC (11/9)
-FIVN (11/16)
-AI (11/20)
-SHOT (11/22)
-IRBT (11/27–28)
-VVOS (11/29)
-SNGX (11/30)

December 2023

-FIVN (12/4)
-NKLA (12/6)
-BLUE/CRSP (12/8)
-/NG (12/11)
-GPN/FOUR (12/14)
-DOCU (12/15)
-COIN/MARA (late Dec)

2024

January 2024

-COIN/MARA
-CYTK (1/8)
-NVDA (1/8)
-DOCU (1/11)
-SAVE (1/16)
-PHUN (1/16)
-SMCI (1/19)
-MARK (1/30)

February 2024

-USO (2/1)
-SMCI (2/5)
-BMR (2/12)
-SMCI
-LUNR (2/22)
-PDD (2/23)

March 2024

-SMCI (3/1)
-BTC (3/5)
-NVDA (3/8)
-FSR (3/13)
-SOUN (3/14)
-NOVA (3/14)
-RDDT
-MSTR (3/28)
-CLSK (3/28)

April 2024

-DJT (4/1)
-TSLA
-GL (4/11)
-BTC (4/12)
-GLD (4/12)
-ARM (4/17)
-PRI (4/18)
-ANVS (4/29)
-Weeds (4/30)

May 2024

-GME/AMC
-ORCL (5/14)
-PARA (5/14)
-FFIE
-SMMT (5/30)
-CZR (5/31)
-SAM (5/31)

June 2024

-GME/AMC
-VKTX (6/4)
-NVAX
-AAPL (6/11)
-NVDA/Semis
-RIVN (6/25)
-CHWY (6/27)

July 2024

-GME/AMC
-VKTX (6/4)
-NVAX
-AAPL (6/11)
-NVDA/Semis
-RIVN (6/25)
-CHWY (6/27)

August 2024

-Panic (/NKD, /NQ, AAPL, BAC, CRWD, Semis, VXX)
-SMCI
-LUMN
-SAVA
-PCRX
-GNLN (8/12)
-ASTS (8/16)

September 2024

-X (9/4)
-LASE (9/11)
-RYDE (9/12)
-TUP (9/16)
-INTC (9/16, 9/20)
-TNON
-SMCI (9/26)
-“China gap” (9/30)

October 2024

-China tech (TIGR, FUTU, JD, BABA)
-Oil
-MSTR (10/11)
-ASML (10/15)
-BIVI (10/21)
-DJT
-PHUN
-SMCI (10/30)

November 2024

-SMCI (11/4, 11/19)
-BTC
-DJT
-TSLA
-DXYZ
-HON (11/12)
-SAVE (11/12)
-MSTR short (11/21, best intraday)
-BTC breakout (best swing)

December 2024

-SMCI (12/2)
-TSLA swing (12/5)
-TSLA/DXYZ/PLTR (12/9)
-QUBT (swing)
-Quantum names
-Euphoria reversal (12/27, 12/30)
-FNMA (12/30)

2025

January 2025

-QNCCF (1/2)
-FNMA breakout (1/15)
-NARI (1/6)
-FUBO (1/6)
-Quantum names (from 1/7)
-FTAI (1/15)
-ORCL (1/21)
-Deepseek (1/24, 1/27)
-Tariff tickers (1/31)

February 2025

-/MBT (2/2)
-/ETH (2/2)
-SERV (2/14)
-SOUN (2/14)
-WRD (2/14)
-DELL (2/14)
-PLTR (2/19)
-SMCI (2/19)
-HIMS (2/21)
-WRD swing

March 2025

-USO (3/3)
-Tariff headline (3/5)
-TSLA
-LMT/BA (3/21)
-VVPR (3/24)
-APP (3/27)

April 2025

-Tariff decision (4/2)
-China raising tariffs (4/4)
-RH et al (4/4)
-Market reversal (4/7)
-Fake tariff pause / denial (4/7)
-China headline (4/9)
-Tariff pause (4/9)
-NQ overextension (4/10)
-NVDA AH headline (4/15)
-HTZ (4/16)
-GLD (4/22)
-Trump headline (4/22)

May 2025

-KTTA (5/6)
-GOOG (5/7)
-Tariff announcement (5/12)
-PLTR (5/13)
-UNH (5/15)
-Debt downgrade (5/16)
-AEVA (5/19)
-NVTS (5/21)
-Nuclear Trump tweet (5/22)
-Trump tariff threat (5/23)
-SNPS, CDNS (5/28)

June 2025

-CRWV
-CRCL (best)
-TSLA (6/5)
-Oil (6/12, 6/23)
-RGC
-GME (6/11)
-HIMS (6/23)
-CYN

July 2025

-AEVA (7/1)
-BMNR (7/1)
-Copper (7/8, 7/30)
-BTC
-NVDA (7/14)
-Crypto bill (7/15)
-CRCL
-QS (7/21)
-OPEN
-KSS et al. (7/22)
-NVO (7/28)
-FIG (7/31)

[Trade_the_Matrix @TradetheMatrix1]

For discretionary #traders:

Push more trades (and size) on ticker you have good read on and cutting (or downsizing) trades on ticker with no read (after minimum 2 cuts). Especially if you are the type of trader who likes to recycle or engage on ticker through full session.

[Trade_the_Matrix @TradetheMatrix1]

You often dont. What i meant is that you scale trades based on how your read is proving to be. You win a trade and time the entry great=keep going and push size on next one on that same ticker.

Your timing is off but direction somewhat ok? Approach next trade more carefully, your read isnt on par.

You got stopped out twice in row? You dont have read, stop trading this ticker or downsize significantly.

Its about adjust to the read. Assuming you ain't taking just one trade on ticker.

[LAW Capital @LAW_CPTL]

Now I have a bit more of an audience thanks to @TheShortBear I'll start and drip feed in what I believe makes an outstanding trader. First by sharing what setups created my biggest wins and losses.

How do big wins come about? Simply put, from confidence of anticipating what will come next. And that comes from flooding your memory through the observation of seeing patterns over and over and over again. But i would say to manifest the huge wins that comes from knowing every fucking milameter of how that chart will get painted throughout the day. IE what time does it tend to put in its top? What happens between these times? Where does it close? There are many more but think about this for a moment, how much confidence would you gain If you got to know the patterns down to its finest grain of sand? That’s when you’ll create outstanding returns. Big wins come from nothing more than having great deal of confidence that helps crystallize seeing the future before it happens.

How do big losses come around? Simply put, having a great deal of confidence when they don’t work (at least for me). You might say well Luke if you have great accuracy of knowing how the setup gets painted at certain times of day then surely you’ll know when to get out? and that’s very true. However there is this thing which without it life wouldn't be worth living and I wouldn't be living the life i am living now if it wasn't for it. That thing is called EMOTION. Ah yes, specifically fear and greed. Now i pride myself thinking i'm always in the driver's seat of my emotions but from time to time someone (lets call him Bob) kicks me out of the drivers seat and he’s a fucking nutcase. The important question to ask here is what triggers Bob to kick you out of the seat and takeover?

My best years didn’t just come from sizing up, in fact that was last on my list. Instead they came from knowing what created big losses then secondly learning how to eliminate them (which I still struggle with from time to time)

So if i can leave you with two questions to ponder on.

1. What variables are needed for you to know the grains of sand in a setup?

2. What are your triggers that lead Bob to take over the driver's seat? Self discovery is a beautiful journey, not just for trading but for life also.

[Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎 @TheOneLanceB]

If you have no edge, then there is NO risk management system or sizing system that will EVER allow you to win in the long run.

Tight stops or liquid markets w/o edge just means you go bankrupt in a more controlled manner.

[Jeppez @Jeppez420]

Unless you've done the work yourself to backtest a setup and know how every parameter you can think of affects or does not affect the results of that setup, you won't be comfortable putting decent size on it. Especially if you face a losing streak with that setup.